catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, July 13, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.57× the influence of an average node across 364 assets.

assets
364
Density
0.135
Clustering
0.361
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02081 7.57× 77.4% 23.7% RAREUSD, EWTUSD, MLNUSD, POLISUSD, HFTUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01757 6.40× 71.6% 22.0% RAREUSD, KEYUSD, BLURUSD, HFTUSD, POLISUSD
MULTIUSD 3 0.00961 3.50× 46.6% 26.2% WHBTUSD, SUKUUSD, GLMUSD, AMPUSD, AEROUSD
SBRUSD 4 0.00957 3.48× 43.3% 20.9% TRXUSD, HFTUSD, BCHNUSD, UNFIUSD, ILVUSD
AERGOUSD 5 0.00899 3.27× 47.4% 11.8% MDTUSD, PONDUSD, XAUTUSD, ONDOUSD, REPV2USD
LTCBTC 6 0.00856 3.12× 45.5% 5.5% PRIMEUSD, ALPHAUSD, CPOOLUSD, ALCXUSD, PAXGUSD
MNGOUSD 7 0.00840 3.06× 44.6% 37.5% PROUSD, ACAUSD, RARIEUR, SKYUSD, PNUTUSD
SKYUSD 8 0.00806 2.93× 41.3% 18.5% AXLUSD, PYRUSD, GMTUSD, VOXELUSD, GTCUSD
RENUSD 9 0.00780 2.84× 41.0% 28.4% POLUSD, SKYUSD, BEAMUSD, RAYUSD, FORTHUSD
FXSUSD 10 0.00775 2.82× 40.5% 11.3% RARIEUR, PAXGUSD, SWELLUSD, XAUTUSD, OXTUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-07-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MULTIUSD 0.009610.00330 +0.00631
FXSUSD 0.007750.00214 +0.00561
LTCBTC 0.008560.00362 +0.00494
C98USD 0.006820.00189 +0.00493
RENUSD 0.007800.00306 +0.00475

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GOMININGUSD 0.004100.01672 -0.01262
REQUSD 0.002030.00939 -0.00736
OMNIUSD 0.003270.01062 -0.00735
KNCUSD 0.002110.00823 -0.00611
LEOUSD 0.002390.00706 -0.00467

Foreign exchange

ZMWZAR was the most central name, carrying 6.37× the influence of an average node across 545 pairs.

pairs
545
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.415
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZMWZAR 1 0.01168 6.37× 14.7% 9.6% XAUBRL, DOPGBP, XAUZAR, NOKRUB, USDEGP
XAUAUD 2 0.01017 5.54× 14.7% 5.7% AUDIDR, PLNNOK, CZKNOK, RUBJPY, RUBSEK
ZARNGN 3 0.00976 5.32× 11.6% 8.5% USDRUB, BRLRUB, NOKRUB, SGDZAR, JPYRUB
EGPZAR 4 0.00788 4.29× 10.3% 8.8% SGDZAR, ZARSGD, KRWRUB, BRLRUB, RUBKRW
ARSAUD 5 0.00738 4.02× 14.7% 9.4% XAGBRL, XAGSAR, XAGMXN, XAGTRY, XAGGBP
USDMUR 6 0.00712 3.88× 3.5% 3.1% COPMXN, JPYRSD, CADZAR, KWDEUR, ARSJPY
EURINR 7 0.00659 3.59× 1.5% 0.6% USDMUR, SCRUSD, USDSCR
CHFTHB 8 0.00597 3.25× 5.7% 0.4% EURINR, XAUJPY
XAUCAD 9 0.00586 3.20× 11.4% 9.4% AUDIDR, PLNNOK, CZKNOK, RUBZAR, ZARRUB
BWPCHF 10 0.00583 3.18× 6.1% 2.6% BDTJPY, TZSGBP, GHSUSD, ZARGHS, EURRUB

Rising influence vs 2026-07-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUAUD 0.010170.00237 +0.00780
ZMWZAR 0.011680.00409 +0.00760
ZARNGN 0.009760.00296 +0.00680
EGPZAR 0.007880.00167 +0.00621
ARSAUD 0.007380.00190 +0.00547

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.003730.02217 -0.01844
ARSCOP 0.001790.00934 -0.00754
KRWTHB 0.002740.00944 -0.00670
SEKINR 0.000750.00534 -0.00459
COPMXN 0.002160.00648 -0.00432

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.