catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, June 22, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

EMA was the most central name, carrying 3.26× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.185
Clustering
0.452
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EMA 1 0.00218 3.26× 32.1% 10.2% TU, BPOP, CSQ, ETR, FERG
BHF 2 0.00211 3.16× 33.9% 26.2% DE, SKT, VTR, PEP, CMS
APG 3 0.00210 3.14× 32.3% 12.8% PFG, ATO, TU, CMS, DRI
BNS 4 0.00207 3.09× 30.4% 15.0% EXC, HIG, RGA, BIP, WTRG
NWS 5 0.00201 3.01× 35.9% 17.3% ADT, WRB, APG, NHI, AXS
CSQ 6 0.00194 2.89× 29.6% 5.7% DOV, D, SBAC, LAMR, AVT
ED 7 0.00192 2.86× 29.2% 14.0% DOX, MAA, KMB, NWSA, ES
PNW 8 0.00189 2.82× 28.4% 18.5% AXS, NHI, SYK, ESS, BMO
BRK.A 9 0.00188 2.81× 28.7% 13.1% STWD, GBDC, ARCC, BATRK, BSX
TD 10 0.00186 2.78× 28.4% 9.2% BPOP, IDXX, ICE, PAA, CNO

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
SMCI 0.9828 8.93%
RGC 0.9825 6.81%
AAOI 0.9803 9.14%
AXTI 0.9793 12.47%
CRDO 0.9756 7.30%
CIFR 0.9754 5.39%
TSEM 0.9743 7.07%
COHR 0.9733 6.70%
ASTS 0.9730 6.89%
MU 0.9715 6.63%

Rising influence vs 2026-06-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CRUS 0.001410.00010 +0.00131
CF 0.001340.00010 +0.00124
GIL 0.001320.00010 +0.00122
MATX 0.001250.00010 +0.00115
ALGN 0.001230.00010 +0.00113

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MRK 0.000100.00139 -0.00129
VST 0.000100.00128 -0.00118
IVZ 0.000100.00127 -0.00117
CVBF 0.000100.00123 -0.00113
COO 0.000100.00123 -0.00113

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.81× the influence of an average node across 370 assets.

assets
370
Density
0.142
Clustering
0.383
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.01571 5.81× 73.2% 26.8% RAREUSD, JASMYUSD, INJUSD, POLISUSD, DRIFTUSD
PIRATEUSD 2 0.01266 4.68× 65.3% 11.1% BLZUSD, CQTUSD, ASTRUSD, AVTUSD, NOSUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.01229 4.55× 65.0% 22.8% RAREUSD, AEVOUSD, KEYUSD, DIAUSD, INJUSD
SBRUSD 4 0.01063 3.93× 49.9% 16.5% TRXUSD, LTCEUR, HFTUSD, COWUSD, ILVUSD
AERGOUSD 5 0.00996 3.69× 51.8% 10.6% BODENUSD, XAUTUSD, NYMUSD, LEOUSD, PONDUSD
MNGOUSD 6 0.00985 3.65× 49.3% 40.1% PROUSD, ALPHAUSD, SBRUSD, ASMUSD, CROUSD
SWFTCUSD 7 0.00980 3.63× 51.2% 10.6% QNTUSD, JUNOUSD, SUKUUSD, XAUTUSD, SBRUSD
BODENUSD 8 0.00910 3.37× 44.2% 36.6% WHBTUSD, MANAUSD, POWRUSD, LINKUSD, VELOUSD
XRTUSD 9 0.00847 3.13× 47.7% 29.0% NCTUSD, PONDUSD, ETHAUD, FORTUSD, EGLDUSD
SKYUSD 10 0.00786 2.91× 41.7% 21.7% LCXUSD, DYDXEUR, BTCPYUSD, SUPERUSD, FLOWUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-06-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ACSUSD 0.007090.00177 +0.00532
SWFTCUSD 0.009800.00474 +0.00506
PIRATEUSD 0.012660.00762 +0.00504
RENUSD 0.007570.00308 +0.00449
XRPBTC 0.006280.00180 +0.00447

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GOMININGUSD 0.006190.01772 -0.01153
REQUSD 0.001970.00949 -0.00752
OMNIUSD 0.003130.00973 -0.00660
KNCUSD 0.001730.00793 -0.00620
00USD 0.002700.00782 -0.00512

Foreign exchange

ZMWZAR was the most central name, carrying 7.52× the influence of an average node across 542 pairs.

pairs
542
Density
0.038
Clustering
0.402
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZMWZAR 1 0.01387 7.52× 15.5% 9.2% DOPGBP, XAUBRL, USDEGP, THBMYR, NOKRUB
ZARNGN 2 0.01101 5.97× 11.6% 9.6% XAUBRL, NOKRUB, ZARTRY, RUBMXN, RUBSEK
EGPZAR 3 0.00856 4.64× 10.2% 7.8% ZARTRY, LKRZAR, USDNGN, USDEGP, ZARNGN
UYUEUR 4 0.00844 4.58× 4.1% 1.1% EURMUR, GBPBTN, GBPNPR, MXNCLP, EGPEUR
USDMUR 5 0.00722 3.91× 4.1% 3.0% JPYRSD, COPMXN, CADZAR, GBPSCR, ARSJPY
EURINR 6 0.00691 3.74× 1.3% 0.6% USDMUR, SCRUSD, USDSCR
CHFTHB 7 0.00685 3.71× 5.9% 0.4% EURINR, JPYINR
ARSAUD 8 0.00672 3.64× 13.9% 9.4% XAGSAR, XAGBRL, XAGMXN, BWPZAR, XAGTRY
ZARJPY 9 0.00615 3.33× 3.9% 11.1% XAUBRL, HKDBRL, CADBRL, USDBRL, USDNGN
BWPCHF 10 0.00606 3.28× 6.7% 3.0% ZARGHS, BDTJPY, GHSUSD, TZSGBP, EURRUB

Rising influence vs 2026-06-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.013870.00437 +0.00950
ZARNGN 0.011010.00395 +0.00706
EGPZAR 0.008560.00228 +0.00628
ZARJPY 0.006150.00066 +0.00549
CHFTHB 0.006850.00169 +0.00516

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.004610.02528 -0.02067
XAGARS 0.001890.01020 -0.00831
KRWTHB 0.002960.01031 -0.00735
CADHUF 0.001250.00762 -0.00637
ARSCOP 0.002400.00868 -0.00628

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.