catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

AEP was the most central name, carrying 3.26× the influence of an average node across 1496 stocks.

stocks
1496
Density
0.194
Clustering
0.452
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEP 1 0.00218 3.26× 34.8% 21.2% CSQ, NHI, EGP, CNI, SNA
PBA 2 0.00191 2.86× 30.2% 16.6% EQR, SNA, GATX, TRV, IEX
EVRG 3 0.00187 2.79× 28.7% 14.2% STT, SJM, PSMT, FRT, ENB
CPT 4 0.00186 2.78× 34.7% 16.9% TRP, UDR, EIX, MLI, TJX
SLF 5 0.00185 2.76× 31.7% 16.2% FE, RNST, NOC, WES, CHD
DTE 6 0.00183 2.73× 29.9% 16.7% PBA, CWEN, FOXA, PAA, UNP
WBD 7 0.00179 2.68× 38.5% 25.3% CSQ, CWAN, WES, CPRT, PNW
ATO 8 0.00178 2.67× 29.0% 14.8% HUBB, ICE, KMB, BATRK, BRK.A
EMA 9 0.00178 2.67× 30.0% 12.3% CRBG, SPGI, NWE, VOYA, ADP
IDA 10 0.00177 2.65× 29.9% 16.5% STT, BATRA, TRP, KHC, BNS

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
BTDR 0.9751 6.78%
NVTS 0.9743 7.79%
LUNR 0.9689 5.98%
GLXY 0.9688 12.55%
PENG 0.9685 9.06%
AAOI 0.9666 14.09%
FLNC 0.9657 10.32%
AXTI 0.9655 11.13%
RDW 0.9648 12.50%
CIFR 0.9646 7.91%

Rising influence vs 2026-06-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AEP 0.002180.00081 +0.00137
TXT 0.001250.00010 +0.00115
INTU 0.001250.00010 +0.00115
CMG 0.001180.00010 +0.00108
BEN 0.001160.00010 +0.00106

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNX 0.000100.00132 -0.00122
FTNT 0.000100.00129 -0.00119
PWR 0.000100.00125 -0.00115
AMTM 0.000100.00123 -0.00113
LYV 0.000100.00121 -0.00111

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.45× the influence of an average node across 371 assets.

assets
371
Density
0.136
Clustering
0.383
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.01470 5.45× 68.9% 24.1% RAREUSD, DIAUSD, KEYUSD, JASMYUSD, EWTUSD
SBRUSD 2 0.01399 5.19× 58.1% 17.8% TRXUSD, LTCEUR, PIRATEUSD, HFTUSD, UNFIUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.01241 4.60× 63.8% 22.7% KEYUSD, RAREUSD, ORCAUSD, AEVOUSD, DIAUSD
PIRATEUSD 4 0.01229 4.56× 60.5% 11.4% BLZUSD, AVTUSD, CQTUSD, ASTRUSD, DNTUSD
BNCUSD 5 0.01163 4.32× 57.3% 25.1% APEUSD, HBARUSD, ACAUSD, ZRXUSD, HOPRUSD
AERGOUSD 6 0.01063 3.94× 51.6% 11.9% XAUTUSD, LEOUSD, NYMUSD, ZEXUSD, KP3RUSD
SWFTCUSD 7 0.01056 3.92× 54.3% 11.1% QNTUSD, ACAUSD, SGBUSD, JUNOUSD, SUKUUSD
MNGOUSD 8 0.00974 3.62× 51.6% 37.8% PROUSD, ASMUSD, ALPHAUSD, CROUSD, ACAUSD
SKYUSD 9 0.00968 3.59× 47.3% 21.1% BANDUSD, GMTUSD, OCEANUSD, DYDXEUR, LCXUSD
SGBUSD 10 0.00945 3.51× 49.7% 18.9% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, YFIUSD, REPV2USD, VARAUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-06-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BNCUSD 0.011630.00286 +0.00878
SBRUSD 0.013990.00743 +0.00656
SWFTCUSD 0.010560.00419 +0.00637
PIRATEUSD 0.012290.00700 +0.00529
ACSUSD 0.007120.00189 +0.00523

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GOMININGUSD 0.005450.01759 -0.01213
REQUSD 0.002660.01238 -0.00972
OMNIUSD 0.002700.00973 -0.00703
00USD 0.002230.00777 -0.00554
KNCUSD 0.001610.00706 -0.00546

Foreign exchange

ZARINR was the most central name, carrying 6.92× the influence of an average node across 541 pairs.

pairs
541
Density
0.033
Clustering
0.382
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARINR 1 0.01279 6.92× 3.1% 0.2% XAUGBP
XAUGBP 2 0.01267 6.86× 5.6% 15.4% XAUAUD, XAURUB, XAUKRW, AUDIDR, ZARBWP
USDMUR 3 0.00825 4.47× 10.0% 2.4% ARSCHF, MUREUR, AEDSEK, ARSZAR, ARSJPY
ARSCLP 4 0.00717 3.88× 3.3% 2.6% EGPEUR, USDGHS, PENARS, RUBDKK, RUBPLN
XAURUB 5 0.00677 3.66× 10.4% 6.9% ARSCAD, ARSMXN, ARSAUD, JPYHKD, INRJPY
XAUAUD 6 0.00657 3.56× 13.5% 6.7% CHFARS, ARSAUD, ARSMXN, ARSCAD, AUDIDR
ZMWZAR 7 0.00657 3.55× 16.5% 8.5% ZARTRY, MYRNZD, CHFARS, RUBKRW, ZARMYR
ZARTHB 8 0.00632 3.42× 10.4% 0.7% ZARINR, XAUAUD, XAUARS, XAUBRL
THBNZD 9 0.00623 3.37× 10.6% 0.9% ZARINR, XAUBRL, XAUAUD, XAURUB, XAUKRW
THBAUD 10 0.00620 3.36× 10.4% 0.7% ZARINR, XAUKRW, XAUBRL, XAUAUD

Rising influence vs 2026-06-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUGBP 0.012670.00204 +0.01063
USDMUR 0.008250.00216 +0.00610
PENCAD 0.006010.00150 +0.00451
XAUAUD 0.006570.00215 +0.00443
ZARUSD 0.004800.00072 +0.00408

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.001010.02333 -0.02231
KRWTHB 0.002030.01067 -0.00864
ARSCOP 0.001200.00866 -0.00747
NADUSD 0.000520.00709 -0.00657
CADHUF 0.000930.00666 -0.00573

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.