catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, June 8, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Foreign exchange

US equities

EMA was the most central name, carrying 3.12× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.188
Clustering
0.451
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EMA 1 0.00208 3.12× 30.9% 12.6% TU, FTV, CSQ, BRK.A, BPOP
APG 2 0.00201 3.00× 31.7% 11.0% TU, PFE, CVX, DRI, CR
CM 3 0.00199 2.97× 29.3% 17.0% STWD, ECL, COST, RF, PAGP
PNW 4 0.00198 2.97× 28.0% 19.5% SYK, AIZ, OTIS, SO, AME
NWS 5 0.00196 2.93× 35.3% 16.9% AXS, PFE, PFG, APG, HAS
ED 6 0.00194 2.89× 31.6% 13.9% DOX, MAA, ES, VICI, SCI
CSQ 7 0.00193 2.88× 29.9% 5.7% DOV, PFE, D, CNA, AMZN
BNS 8 0.00189 2.82× 30.9% 15.5% PFG, EXC, HIG, IDA, BIP
RGA 9 0.00184 2.75× 28.0% 12.9% BMO, CMS, FTS, VICI, EIX
BHF 10 0.00183 2.74× 33.2% 25.6% VTR, DE, CMS, INGR, CDP

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
MU 0.9856 9.35%
AAOI 0.9811 11.72%
IREN 0.9801 8.06%
RGTI 0.9791 9.45%
NBIS 0.9791 5.92%
BTDR 0.9785 6.97%
SA 0.9782 7.67%
CIFR 0.9777 8.92%
ALAB 0.9774 9.11%
USAR 0.9772 8.78%

Rising influence vs 2026-06-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CF 0.001290.00010 +0.00119
GIL 0.001290.00010 +0.00119
AXP 0.001210.00010 +0.00111
UTHR 0.001200.00010 +0.00110
MATX 0.001180.00010 +0.00108

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COO 0.000100.00140 -0.00130
INTU 0.000100.00139 -0.00129
ARLP 0.000100.00139 -0.00128
VST 0.000100.00128 -0.00118
AEP 0.001170.00227 -0.00109

Foreign exchange

ZMWZAR was the most central name, carrying 8.17× the influence of an average node across 548 pairs.

pairs
548
Density
0.037
Clustering
0.410
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZMWZAR 1 0.01490 8.17× 19.9% 8.8% DOPGBP, NOKRUB, INRMYR, THBMYR, ZARMYR
ZARNGN 2 0.01048 5.74× 10.2% 10.6% XAUBRL, NOKRUB, LKRZAR, XAUZAR, RUBSEK
ARSAUD 3 0.00874 4.79× 17.4% 9.5% XAGSAR, XAGBRL, XAGTRY, XAGMXN, MYRIDR
EGPZAR 4 0.00781 4.28× 8.4% 8.8% LKRZAR, XAUZAR, SEKUSD, ZARNGN, TWDEUR
USDMUR 5 0.00717 3.93× 4.4% 2.9% COPMXN, JPYRSD, CADZAR, EGPJPY, KWDEUR
GBPUYU 6 0.00698 3.82× 6.2% 1.6% DOPUSD, COPDKK, DKKCOP, CADCOP, COPCLP
UYUGBP 7 0.00686 3.76× 5.9% 1.5% DKKCOP, DOPUSD, COPDKK, CADCOP, COPCLP
USDUYU 8 0.00682 3.74× 6.0% 1.6% DOPUSD, DKKCOP, COPDKK, GBPCOP, CADCOP
UYUEUR 9 0.00680 3.73× 4.4% 1.3% EURMUR, GBPNPR, GBPBTN, MXNCLP, EGPEUR
DOPGBP 10 0.00649 3.56× 10.8% 4.6% XAUKRW, XAURUB, XAUAUD, HUFCAD, INRMYR

Rising influence vs 2026-06-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.014900.00480 +0.01011
ARSAUD 0.008740.00196 +0.00678
ZARNGN 0.010480.00470 +0.00578
EGPZAR 0.007810.00216 +0.00565
DOPGBP 0.006490.00121 +0.00528

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.002660.02375 -0.02110
ARSCOP 0.001160.00965 -0.00849
CADHUF 0.001260.00746 -0.00620
ZARMYR 0.001370.00752 -0.00614
ZARINR 0.002660.00858 -0.00592

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.