catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Friday, January 9, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

PPL was the most central name, carrying 2.87× the influence of an average node across 1494 stocks.

stocks
1494
Density
0.176
Clustering
0.421
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PPL 1 0.00192 2.87× 26.7% 17.5% CPRT, CSX, MLM, GD, UNP
STN 2 0.00178 2.66× 29.2% 13.4% SCI, COR, V, AMT, DIS
FERG 3 0.00175 2.61× 32.2% 15.7% WES, LOPE, LMT, ARCC, TRP
FRT 4 0.00174 2.60× 30.5% 14.8% BMO, CL, ADT, TDY, NHI
CSQ 5 0.00172 2.57× 26.0% 3.6% CTAS, EWBC, ATR, QLYS, FUL
MS 6 0.00172 2.57× 27.5% 11.0% CPRT, EPRT, SR, CMS, T
WCN 7 0.00169 2.52× 27.5% 15.4% AB, FWONK, FTV, JPM, ICE
SPGI 8 0.00168 2.51× 26.3% 16.1% LIN, HBAN, CPRT, DRI, CBOE
CTAS 9 0.00165 2.47× 29.6% 14.9% MA, UNP, DUK, ESS, EGP
SO 10 0.00163 2.44× 25.7% 15.3% GWW, FHI, CCK, CTRE, FSV

Rising influence vs 2026-01-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ETN 0.001340.00010 +0.00124
LLYVA 0.001340.00010 +0.00124
BKR 0.001330.00010 +0.00123
HASI 0.001290.00010 +0.00119
MPC 0.001270.00010 +0.00117

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HALO 0.000100.00129 -0.00119
UHS 0.000100.00127 -0.00117
WH 0.000100.00126 -0.00116
MTZ 0.000100.00125 -0.00115
IRM 0.000100.00121 -0.00111

Cryptocurrency

MVUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.49× the influence of an average node across 379 assets.

assets
379
Density
0.124
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MVUSD 1 0.01185 4.49× 47.4% 41.8% AIRUSD, GNOUSD, SAFEUSD, 00USD, GUSD
KAVAUSD 2 0.01169 4.43× 49.7% 13.2% ADXUSD, AIRUSD, PLUUSD, AERGOUSD, RENUSD
CQTUSD 3 0.01149 4.35× 48.7% 27.0% DOTUSD, XRPUSD, BTCJPY, CSPRUSD, RBCUSD
REQUSD 4 0.01023 3.88× 43.4% 22.5% RBCUSD, QIUSD, DIMOUSD, 1INCHUSD, GFIUSD
AIRUSD 5 0.00893 3.39× 42.9% 14.8% DIMOUSD, KAVAUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHAUD, LSETHUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.00889 3.37× 39.7% 16.7% XRTUSD, CQTUSD, STRKUSD, TRACUSD, INVUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.00888 3.37× 45.5% 38.1% XDCUSD, AERGOUSD, SEIEUR, BADGERUSD, MASKUSD
MXCUSD 8 0.00849 3.22× 42.9% 36.8% NEOUSD, ETHAUD, CHZUSD, HBARUSD, LMWRUSD
LITUSD 9 0.00818 3.10× 36.2% 13.8% SEAMUSD, ZETACHAINUSD, TUSD, MXCUSD, MNTUSD
REPUSD 10 0.00797 3.02× 36.8% 15.6% SGBUSD, SKLUSD, MIRUSD, MULTIUSD, APTUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-01-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CQTUSD 0.011490.00368 +0.00781
MVUSD 0.011850.00539 +0.00645
MXCUSD 0.008490.00271 +0.00578
DNTUSD 0.007530.00197 +0.00556
BSXUSD 0.007640.00220 +0.00544

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SBRUSD 0.005480.01333 -0.00785
PAXGUSD 0.006310.01364 -0.00733
FLRUSD 0.001880.00855 -0.00667
KMNOUSD 0.004670.01071 -0.00603
SGBUSD 0.004730.01065 -0.00592

Foreign exchange

AUDBRL was the most central name, carrying 17.24× the influence of an average node across 827 pairs.

pairs
827
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.323
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDBRL 1 0.02085 17.24× 34.7% 8.0% USDRUB, NZDIDR, CHFUSD, CHFHKD, GBPHTG
CADBRL 2 0.01617 13.37× 17.9% 3.5% RUBCHF, PENCAD, BRLRUB, CHFRUB, KRWRUB
KRWBRL 3 0.01506 12.46× 18.2% 5.0% GBPCLP, ZARRON, RONZAR, CLPGBP, COPUSD
GBPMGA 4 0.00976 8.08× 5.8% 1.5% CHFRSD, GBPRSD, RSDGBP, JPYRSD, GHSUSD
DOPUSD 5 0.00972 8.04× 5.8% 1.5% RSDGBP, JPYRSD, GBPRSD, CHFRSD, GHSUSD
COPBRL 6 0.00945 7.82× 26.8% 15.4% NZDSEK, DKKUSD, USDDKK, DKKHKD, USDISK
PENCAD 7 0.00919 7.60× 27.4% 4.6% DKKPKR, CNYSGD, CLPCHF, USDNGN, HKDTHB
COPMXN 8 0.00913 7.55× 26.8% 7.1% PENMXN, USDCHF, THBUSD, GBPHTG, NZDSEK
CLPGBP 9 0.00911 7.54× 26.3% 7.0% PENMXN, THBHKD, CHFHKD, HKDTHB, HKDCHF
COPUSD 10 0.00904 7.48× 26.3% 7.1% GBPHTG, THBHKD, USDCHF, CHFHKD, HKDTHB

Rising influence vs 2026-01-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.020850.00097 +0.01988
CADBRL 0.016170.00230 +0.01387
KRWBRL 0.015060.00583 +0.00924
CHFTHB 0.008990.00025 +0.00874
PENCAD 0.009190.00114 +0.00805

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.000490.01365 -0.01317
TWDSEK 0.000990.01158 -0.01059
MYRZAR 0.000370.00714 -0.00677
BRLUSD 0.000330.00586 -0.00553
PENMXN 0.002560.00746 -0.00490

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.