catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, January 5, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

PBA was the most central name, carrying 2.91× the influence of an average node across 1494 stocks.

stocks
1494
Density
0.175
Clustering
0.420
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PBA 1 0.00194 2.91× 25.1% 15.1% L, RY, WTM, ULS, RLI
CSX 2 0.00185 2.76× 22.7% 13.1% CL, V, MSGS, DIS, FCN
EPD 3 0.00180 2.69× 27.5% 9.5% MKL, PBH, CSX, CSCO, ITW
CME 4 0.00173 2.59× 27.9% 19.0% OTEX, OHI, ALLE, OGE, DOX
COST 5 0.00166 2.49× 29.5% 14.1% VLTO, DIS, MTB, EGP, NXST
ROP 6 0.00164 2.45× 24.4% 14.7% BNS, JCI, AEP, STE, MSM
ITW 7 0.00157 2.35× 21.8% 10.2% SUI, UHAL.B, WTM, PAYX, NEE
AIG 8 0.00157 2.34× 30.0% 19.2% ROP, MTG, OHI, CFG, RLI
INTU 9 0.00155 2.32× 27.9% 12.7% CMS, CIGI, DLB, HLI, COST
OHI 10 0.00153 2.29× 27.7% 16.7% TRMB, DPZ, O, AEE, JKHY

Rising influence vs 2026-01-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AYI 0.001340.00010 +0.00124
WH 0.001270.00010 +0.00117
MTZ 0.001250.00010 +0.00114
RNST 0.001240.00010 +0.00114
IRM 0.001220.00010 +0.00112

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DBX 0.000100.00147 -0.00137
BTSG 0.000100.00138 -0.00128
COKE 0.000100.00133 -0.00123
BKR 0.000100.00128 -0.00118
PEN 0.000100.00124 -0.00114

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.31× the influence of an average node across 379 assets.

assets
379
Density
0.111
Clustering
0.353
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.01402 5.31× 60.6% 27.2% UNIUSD, ORCAUSD, QIUSD, HFTUSD, REPUSD
SBRUSD 2 0.01366 5.18× 52.9% 21.2% TONUSD, INDEXUSD, COWUSD, OPUSD, NCTUSD
AIRUSD 3 0.01172 4.44× 47.1% 26.2% CSPRUSD, AXLUSD, AUDIOUSD, JUPUSD, TRXUSD
SGBUSD 4 0.01130 4.28× 42.3% 14.6% SBRUSD, RAREUSD, BNCUSD, UNFIUSD, UMAUSD
KAVAUSD 5 0.01089 4.13× 40.2% 10.1% AIRUSD, ETHFIUSD, IOTXUSD, XAUTUSD, POLSUSD
KMNOUSD 6 0.01060 4.02× 46.6% 9.0% KAVAUSD, SGBUSD, LSETHUSD, ZEUSUSD, MVUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.00917 3.48× 42.1% 13.5% GLMUSD, FOXUSD, PERPUSD, LSKUSD, CVCUSD
XAUTUSD 8 0.00881 3.34× 40.5% 33.6% OMGUSD, HFTUSD, ORCAUSD, 1INCHUSD, UNIUSD
KEYUSD 9 0.00872 3.31× 41.3% 19.0% ALPHAUSD, BCHNUSD, MEMEUSD, AIRUSD, REPV2USD
FLRUSD 10 0.00864 3.27× 34.1% 7.9% TLMUSD, AIRUSD, BONDUSD, MNDEUSD, ACHUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-01-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.014020.00573 +0.00828
SBRUSD 0.013660.00587 +0.00779
KMNOUSD 0.010600.00351 +0.00709
AIRUSD 0.011720.00508 +0.00664
KAVAUSD 0.010890.00472 +0.00616

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BSXUSD 0.002060.01156 -0.00950
ASMUSD 0.003170.01071 -0.00754
REQUSD 0.007400.01371 -0.00630
LCXUSD 0.005330.01153 -0.00620
PROUSD 0.004490.01047 -0.00598

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 12.09× the influence of an average node across 865 pairs.

pairs
865
Density
0.048
Clustering
0.361
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01397 12.09× 4.7% 8.0% NZDTRY, TWDCHF, BRLSEK, TWDCAD, KRWEUR
TWDSEK 2 0.01152 9.97× 5.8% 4.9% KRWBRL, GBPBRL, RONCHF, ZARRON, CHFRON
BRLJPY 3 0.01012 8.76× 12.5% 7.2% CADRUB, RUBCAD, RUBUSD, USDRUB, BRLUSD
JPYBRL 4 0.00982 8.50× 12.4% 6.7% USDRUB, CADRUB, RUBCAD, BRLUSD, RUBUSD
EURCRC 5 0.00818 7.08× 1.5% 0.3% EURTTD, EURUYU, EURNGN
PENMXN 6 0.00743 6.43× 21.8% 0.2% GBPXPF, TWDSEK
CNYSGD 7 0.00724 6.26× 23.0% 2.3% GBPXPF, DKKPKR, GBPCAD, COPMXN, TWDSEK
MYRZAR 8 0.00717 6.21× 21.4% 0.2% GBPXPF, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 9 0.00711 6.15× 21.4% 1.0% TWDSEK, BRLSEK, GBPXPF, GBPBRL, KRWBRL
ARSMXN 10 0.00686 5.94× 24.5% 1.6% BRLJPY, JPYBRL, GBPXPF, TWDSEK, BRLCHF

Rising influence vs 2026-01-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.013970.00050 +0.01348
TWDSEK 0.011520.00095 +0.01057
MYRZAR 0.007170.00036 +0.00681
EURRWF 0.006570.00026 +0.00632
BRLUSD 0.005970.00032 +0.00565

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.001050.01989 -0.01883
CADBRL 0.002130.01532 -0.01319
CHFTHB 0.000260.00905 -0.00878
KRWBRL 0.005530.01410 -0.00857
PENCAD 0.001210.00955 -0.00834

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.