catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

PBA was the most central name, carrying 2.70× the influence of an average node across 1494 stocks.

stocks
1494
Density
0.178
Clustering
0.428
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PBA 1 0.00180 2.70× 22.5% 11.1% RY, L, RLI, ULS, UNM
EPD 2 0.00170 2.53× 26.2% 11.5% CSCO, PBH, COR, OGS, PRU
CSX 3 0.00167 2.50× 23.4% 12.0% CL, VLTO, V, ORLY, TXNM
ROP 4 0.00158 2.36× 24.6% 16.8% BNS, AEP, SYY, STE, CPA
CSQ 5 0.00156 2.33× 23.2% 1.4% SU, RS, SFBS, UNF, PEG
AGO 6 0.00156 2.33× 26.1% 11.7% WM, AGNC, FFIN, TRMB, UNP
OHI 7 0.00156 2.33× 29.3% 15.5% AEP, POR, TRMB, AER, WEC
CME 8 0.00155 2.32× 27.4% 17.7% SLF, OHI, NNN, OGE, SPGI
JNJ 9 0.00151 2.26× 23.5% 15.7% ROP, TRNO, FHI, AVB, MSFT
COST 10 0.00151 2.26× 29.1% 12.1% VLTO, VZ, OHI, EGP, SXT

Rising influence vs 2025-12-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CLX 0.001350.00010 +0.00125
AYI 0.001320.00010 +0.00122
HPQ 0.001300.00010 +0.00120
WSFS 0.001270.00010 +0.00117
MTZ 0.001240.00010 +0.00114

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DBX 0.000100.00140 -0.00130
BTSG 0.000100.00138 -0.00127
BLKB 0.000100.00137 -0.00127
COKE 0.000100.00131 -0.00121
BKR 0.000100.00130 -0.00120

Cryptocurrency

KAVAUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.28× the influence of an average node across 380 assets.

assets
380
Density
0.114
Clustering
0.348
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KAVAUSD 1 0.01389 5.28× 52.8% 10.3% SWFTCUSD, SPAUSD, XDCUSD, PROUSD, CVCUSD
CQTUSD 2 0.01184 4.50× 40.9% 26.4% GFIUSD, BTCJPY, DOTUSD, SCUSD, BTTUSD
REQUSD 3 0.01055 4.01× 40.6% 21.9% SAFEUSD, RBCUSD, DIMOUSD, EIGENUSD, MVUSD
KINUSD 4 0.01050 3.99× 49.6% 25.1% MULTIUSD, MNGOUSD, HNTUSD, BTCJPY, LDOUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.00985 3.74× 46.2% 26.4% XDCUSD, BCHNUSD, MULTIUSD, SEIEUR, BADGERUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.00952 3.62× 41.7% 42.5% XDCUSD, SEIEUR, AERGOUSD, SDNUSD, PYRUSD
MXCUSD 7 0.00949 3.60× 45.6% 35.1% HBARUSD, BNTUSD, SRMUSD, ETHUSD, BANDUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00946 3.59× 38.0% 15.3% GLMUSD, TUSD, KEEPUSD, GNOUSD, PROUSD
KEEPUSD 9 0.00911 3.46× 38.0% 11.9% NEXOUSD, TIMEUSD, LUNAUSD, SAFEUSD, XRTUSD
LITUSD 10 0.00891 3.39× 38.0% 12.9% SEAMUSD, BTCJPY, CVCUSD, MNTUSD, PROUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-12-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DNTUSD 0.008340.00167 +0.00667
KINUSD 0.010500.00436 +0.00614
MIRUSD 0.008000.00234 +0.00566
CQTUSD 0.011840.00638 +0.00546
ZECUSD 0.007620.00277 +0.00485

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SBRUSD 0.005830.01461 -0.00878
KMNOUSD 0.004230.01207 -0.00784
FLRUSD 0.002220.00932 -0.00710
INVUSD 0.004240.01048 -0.00624
AIRUSD 0.006690.01196 -0.00527

Foreign exchange

AUDBRL was the most central name, carrying 14.47× the influence of an average node across 830 pairs.

pairs
830
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.338
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDBRL 1 0.01743 14.47× 35.7% 7.4% NZDIDR, HKDCHF, THBUSD, USDRUB, THBHKD
CADBRL 2 0.01292 10.72× 18.6% 3.7% BRLRUB, KRWRUB, MXNRUB, CHFRUB, COPUSD
KRWBRL 3 0.01193 9.90× 18.2% 4.0% CLPGBP, GBPCLP, ZARRON, RONZAR, CHFTHB
CLPGBP 4 0.00913 7.58× 26.8% 7.0% CHFUSD, HKDCHF, THBUSD, THBHKD, CHFHKD
GBPCLP 5 0.00911 7.56× 26.8% 7.1% GBPHTG, PENMXN, THBHKD, USDCHF, HKDTHB
COPMXN 6 0.00897 7.44× 26.9% 7.1% CHFHKD, HKDTHB, THBUSD, CHFUSD, NZDSEK
CHFTHB 7 0.00895 7.43× 26.8% 7.2% HKDCHF, GBPHTG, PENMXN, HKDTHB, CHFUSD
COPUSD 8 0.00892 7.41× 26.8% 7.2% GBPHTG, USDCHF, HKDTHB, HKDCHF, CHFUSD
COPBRL 9 0.00892 7.40× 27.4% 15.4% NZDSEK, DKKINR, HKDEUR, CZKUSD, USDEUR
PENCAD 10 0.00756 6.27× 28.1% 4.9% CNYSGD, IDRKRW, INRKRW, DKKPKR, THBSGD

Rising influence vs 2025-12-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.017430.00067 +0.01676
CADBRL 0.012920.00178 +0.01114
CHFTHB 0.008950.00023 +0.00872
KRWBRL 0.011930.00413 +0.00780
GBPCLP 0.009110.00214 +0.00697

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYHKD 0.007470.01824 -0.01077
HUFZAR 0.000290.01012 -0.00984
GBPXPF 0.000390.00994 -0.00955
SEKILS 0.001150.00955 -0.00841
TWDSEK 0.001430.00901 -0.00758

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.