catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

PBA was the most central name, carrying 2.70× the influence of an average node across 1494 stocks.

stocks
1494
Density
0.175
Clustering
0.426
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PBA 1 0.00181 2.70× 23.8% 10.2% L, ULS, RY, PCAR, AGNC
CSX 2 0.00176 2.63× 24.8% 11.0% V, CL, ORLY, DIS, CWEN
EPD 3 0.00161 2.41× 24.6% 9.8% CSCO, MKL, PRU, VNT, PBH
CME 4 0.00160 2.38× 26.5% 18.4% OGE, DOX, NNN, TT, FSV
OHI 5 0.00157 2.35× 28.8% 14.6% WEC, DPZ, TRMB, LIN, AER
ROP 6 0.00157 2.35× 23.8% 15.7% BNS, AEP, TRP, CPK, NBIX
AIG 7 0.00156 2.33× 27.3% 18.2% PBA, ROP, PG, OHI, GIB
BMO 8 0.00155 2.32× 23.5% 14.3% CSQ, EVRG, AGO, OTTR, MTG
AGO 9 0.00155 2.32× 25.4% 11.7% RY, CMS, FFIN, PHG, FHI
CSQ 10 0.00154 2.30× 22.3% 1.2% RS, PEG, UNF, SFBS, APG

Rising influence vs 2025-12-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
WSFS 0.001320.00010 +0.00122
UTHR 0.001280.00010 +0.00118
WFC 0.001260.00010 +0.00116
IRM 0.001250.00010 +0.00115
MTZ 0.001250.00010 +0.00115

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DBX 0.000100.00147 -0.00137
BLKB 0.000100.00142 -0.00132
BTSG 0.000100.00142 -0.00132
LBTYK 0.000100.00141 -0.00131
COKE 0.000100.00135 -0.00125

Cryptocurrency

GARIUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.14× the influence of an average node across 387 assets.

assets
387
Density
0.108
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GARIUSD 1 0.01587 6.14× 65.3% 23.3% INVUSD, NYMUSD, BRICKUSD, APEUSD, AURORAUSD
MNGOUSD 2 0.01301 5.04× 55.7% 29.5% TUSD, GLMUSD, EGLDUSD, BCHUSD, CELRUSD
BSXUSD 3 0.01285 4.97× 53.6% 9.8% FLOKIUSD, REQUSD, PRIMEUSD, PAXGUSD, REPUSD
BRICKUSD 4 0.01279 4.95× 50.3% 14.2% POLISUSD, MDTUSD, GUSD, OPUSD, FIDAUSD
PROUSD 5 0.01270 4.92× 56.2% 21.2% HNTUSD, ASMUSD, PNKUSD, ATOMUSD, BANDUSD
REQUSD 6 0.01249 4.83× 46.4% 12.2% MVUSD, QIUSD, VELOUSD, AXLUSD, TUSD
LCXUSD 7 0.01241 4.80× 47.4% 11.4% PIRATEUSD, LSKUSD, REPV2USD, MATHUSD, ALEPHUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01006 3.89× 38.1% 15.0% RARIEUR, ALEPHUSD, AXSUSD, RAREUSD, GHSTUSD
ASMUSD 9 0.00965 3.73× 40.9% 13.5% BNCUSD, XMRUSD, PUNDIXUSD, MDTUSD, JTOUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.00856 3.31× 34.7% 15.5% WBTCUSD, SUKUUSD, WHBTUSD, MNTUSD, FARMUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-12-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GARIUSD 0.015870.00568 +0.01020
LCXUSD 0.012410.00461 +0.00779
MNGOUSD 0.013010.00543 +0.00758
PROUSD 0.012700.00522 +0.00748
KEEPUSD 0.008150.00173 +0.00642

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KAVAUSD 0.004850.01397 -0.00913
CQTUSD 0.002970.01107 -0.00811
MXCUSD 0.004810.00973 -0.00493
XAUTUSD 0.004410.00922 -0.00482
LITUSD 0.003350.00816 -0.00481

Foreign exchange

CNYHKD was the most central name, carrying 16.18× the influence of an average node across 893 pairs.

pairs
893
Density
0.047
Clustering
0.368
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CNYHKD 1 0.01812 16.18× 1.6% 0.4% GHSUSD, PENCOP, CLPCOP, COPCLP
HUFZAR 2 0.01074 9.59× 5.7% 3.9% DOPGBP, GBPDOP, COPUSD, SGDNOK, CLPAUD
GBPXPF 3 0.01028 9.18× 4.6% 7.7% NZDTRY, KRWBRL, TWDNZD, DKKTWD, TWDCHF
SEKILS 4 0.00890 7.95× 7.0% 5.4% ILSNOK, GBPBRL, KRWBRL, RUBCAD, JPYBRL
TWDSEK 5 0.00794 7.09× 10.4% 7.2% TZSZAR, KRWBRL, GBPBRL, ZARMXN, HUFZAR
KRWEUR 6 0.00774 6.91× 4.5% 1.2% CHFRON, RONCHF, GBPDOP, DOPGBP, RONZAR
JPYBRL 7 0.00772 6.89× 12.2% 8.7% USDRUB, CADRUB, RUBCAD, RUBUSD, RUBKRW
BRLJPY 8 0.00770 6.87× 12.4% 8.9% CADRUB, USDRUB, RUBCAD, RUBUSD, RUBKRW
ARSPEN 9 0.00724 6.46× 11.4% 2.0% GBPCDF, CDFUSD, CDFGBP, EURCDF, GBPBWP
GBPMGA 10 0.00685 6.12× 10.9% 0.1% CNYHKD

Rising influence vs 2025-12-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HUFZAR 0.010740.00021 +0.01053
CNYHKD 0.018120.00956 +0.00856
SEKILS 0.008900.00090 +0.00800
KRWEUR 0.007740.00066 +0.00708
TWDSEK 0.007940.00100 +0.00694

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURHNL 0.000720.00671 -0.00599
BWPZAR 0.000580.00613 -0.00555
EURIDR 0.000230.00500 -0.00477
CHFRUB 0.001440.00591 -0.00448
GBPARS 0.002930.00696 -0.00404

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.