catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

TGNA was the most central name, carrying 2.92× the influence of an average node across 1493 stocks.

stocks
1493
Density
0.169
Clustering
0.426
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TGNA 1 0.00196 2.92× 31.3% 13.4% EQIX, BRC, HD, ET, NNI
BXSL 2 0.00181 2.70× 33.0% 16.2% VICI, BR, EGP, NDAQ, AFG
CCEP 3 0.00180 2.69× 24.1% 15.1% T, AWI, AVA, CSQ, IRT
AMCR 4 0.00173 2.58× 27.7% 20.0% FTS, CCEP, WPC, FSV, DIS
FRT 5 0.00170 2.54× 31.5% 13.5% SCHW, RITM, GATX, EG, IDA
BR 6 0.00170 2.53× 27.2% 11.3% MA, MKL, PRI, BRO, JKHY
AIG 7 0.00169 2.52× 28.7% 18.9% REG, POR, V, CSQ, SSNC
NJR 8 0.00168 2.51× 26.7% 13.4% KIM, CSCO, BYD, BMRN, CB
SCHW 9 0.00167 2.49× 30.4% 16.0% CME, MCD, EQIX, VRSN, FTS
TD 10 0.00166 2.48× 23.2% 14.9% SLF, AVB, VRSK, GBDC, ARCC

Rising influence vs 2025-09-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ESLT 0.001560.00010 +0.00146
PRI 0.001450.00010 +0.00135
HD 0.001440.00010 +0.00134
CMA 0.001430.00010 +0.00133
KBR 0.001410.00010 +0.00131

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ULTA 0.000100.00154 -0.00144
MSM 0.000100.00149 -0.00139
STLA 0.000100.00147 -0.00137
VIK 0.000100.00145 -0.00135
BKR 0.000100.00144 -0.00134

Cryptocurrency

TRXUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.01× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.317
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TRXUSD 1 0.03202 7.01× 52.3% 11.0% ETHBTC, LSKUSD, SEIUSD, FOXUSD, WUSD
LTCBTC 2 0.03035 6.65× 49.1% 21.6% TRXUSD, TUSD, AERGOUSD, XRPBTC, KEEPUSD
KEEPUSD 3 0.02227 4.88× 40.4% 8.3% NEXOUSD, TRXUSD, PNKUSD, ORCAUSD, CROUSD
LCXUSD 4 0.02148 4.70× 35.3% 13.3% BTRSTUSD, LSKUSD, HNTUSD, SRMUSD, PUNDIXUSD
XMRUSD 5 0.02112 4.62× 30.3% 22.0% DYDXEUR, QNTUSD, HBARUSD, TRBUSD, ETCUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.01932 4.23× 31.2% 11.9% WBTCUSD, XMRUSD, LTCBTC, BTCJPY, TRXUSD
BTCEUR 7 0.01840 4.03× 39.0% 12.4% LTCBTC, CHZUSD, TRXUSD, NANOUSD, KAVAUSD
KRLUSD 8 0.01690 3.70× 41.7% 11.9% USTUSD, XMRUSD, GNOUSD, NEXOUSD, PNKUSD
ASMUSD 9 0.01546 3.39× 40.4% 12.8% XMRUSD, TRXUSD, PUNDIXUSD, UOSUSD, MKRUSD
KAVAUSD 10 0.01429 3.13× 26.1% 8.7% UNIUSD, MSOLUSD, SOLUSD, BTRSTUSD, TRXUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-09-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KEEPUSD 0.022270.00242 +0.01985
LCXUSD 0.021480.00679 +0.01469
XMRUSD 0.021120.00751 +0.01361
BTCEUR 0.018400.00490 +0.01350
LTCBTC 0.030350.01693 +0.01341

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUTUSD 0.003320.01816 -0.01484
OXYUSD 0.006660.01616 -0.00950
PAXGUSD 0.004910.01430 -0.00939
KAVAUSD 0.014290.02292 -0.00864
MIRUSD 0.007980.01569 -0.00771

Foreign exchange

DOPUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.86× the influence of an average node across 846 pairs.

pairs
846
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.389
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DOPUSD 1 0.01047 8.86× 3.8% 1.1% JPYRSD, RSDGBP, GBPRSD, CHFRSD, GHSUSD
GBPXPF 2 0.00941 7.96× 7.7% 7.5% XAGCNY, KRWGBP, GBPMYR, MYRJPY, MYRGBP
EURMYR 3 0.00863 7.30× 0.4% 0.6% EURHTG, EURJMD, EURZMW, GHSEUR, EURGHS
CNYHKD 4 0.00856 7.24× 1.4% 0.1% EURMYR
RUBCHF 5 0.00727 6.15× 23.1% 24.0% XAGZAR, XAGEUR, ARSBRL, EURBRL, XAGAUD
CHFRUB 6 0.00687 5.81× 18.8% 25.0% XAGZAR, XAGAUD, ARSBRL, EURBRL, USDBRL
SGDARS 7 0.00634 5.36× 20.6% 2.2% RUBCHF, CHFRUB, GBPXPF, RUBJPY, GBPRUB
ARSHKD 8 0.00631 5.34× 21.2% 3.2% CADRUB, CHFRUB, RUBCHF, XAGINR, JPYRUB
ARSSGD 9 0.00626 5.30× 24.4% 2.2% CADRUB, GBPXPF, RUBCHF, CHFRUB, RUBJPY
CNYSGD 10 0.00625 5.29× 18.3% 2.4% BRLHKD, GBPXPF, ZARPKR, HKDBRL, PKRZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-09-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.009410.00036 +0.00905
EURMYR 0.008630.00019 +0.00844
RUBCHF 0.007270.00161 +0.00566
DOPUSD 0.010470.00515 +0.00532
CHFRUB 0.006870.00187 +0.00500

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSEUR 0.005550.02111 -0.01557
AUDBRL 0.001680.00955 -0.00787
USDCLP 0.000610.00706 -0.00645
BRLEUR 0.000260.00564 -0.00538
CADBRL 0.000990.00626 -0.00527

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.