catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Saturday, September 20, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

KAVAUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.57× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.087
Clustering
0.299
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KAVAUSD 1 0.02542 5.57× 39.4% 8.3% AAVEUSD, SWFTCUSD, USTUSD, SOLUSD, BTCAUD
TRXUSD 2 0.01763 3.86× 28.9% 14.7% CVCUSD, QNTUSD, TRBUSD, FARMUSD, 1INCHUSD
BONDUSD 3 0.01740 3.81× 32.1% 19.3% OCEANUSD, KEEPUSD, AIOZUSD, RARIUSD, XMRUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01595 3.49× 28.9% 28.0% ETHAUD, KEEPUSD, CROUSD, TUSD, ELAUSD
ZECUSD 5 0.01582 3.46× 28.4% 8.7% GTCUSD, MKRUSD, OXYUSD, VOXELUSD, ASTUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01544 3.38× 33.9% 28.0% C98USD, BTRSTUSD, AUCTIONUSD, ADAUSD, SNXUSD
BTCAUD 7 0.01541 3.38× 28.4% 17.0% AVTUSD, BTRSTUSD, PNKUSD, CRVUSD, TUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.01501 3.29× 28.4% 17.4% TUSD, ORCAUSD, XRPBTC, TRBUSD, MIRUSD
MKRUSD 9 0.01455 3.19× 25.2% 17.4% UOSUSD, LTCUSD, GALAUSD, MLNUSD, NMRUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.01436 3.14× 28.9% 12.8% REQUSD, API3USD, BCHUSD, APEUSD, XAUTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-09-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZECUSD 0.015820.00207 +0.01375
LTCBTC 0.015010.00451 +0.01050
XAUTUSD 0.015440.00673 +0.00870
MIRUSD 0.012940.00426 +0.00868
MKRUSD 0.014550.00708 +0.00747

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.013430.05274 -0.03930
ELAUSD 0.004480.01659 -0.01212
SRMUSD 0.004200.01631 -0.01211
XMRUSD 0.006310.01571 -0.00940
RARIUSD 0.006050.01400 -0.00795

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.