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Daily network digest

Thursday, August 21, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

EXPD was the most central name, carrying 2.89× the influence of an average node across 1493 stocks.

stocks
1493
Density
0.174
Clustering
0.433
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EXPD 1 0.00193 2.89× 31.0% 13.9% L, CL, PECO, SO, PAYX
CME 2 0.00192 2.87× 32.2% 20.3% ECL, CMS, HTGC, BIP, RSG
PBA 3 0.00178 2.66× 22.9% 13.7% ITW, L, AEE, NEU, BSX
SPG 4 0.00171 2.55× 23.1% 13.2% TGNA, CASY, ALV, GDDY, HHH
CB 5 0.00166 2.48× 26.4% 17.5% ABT, WTS, SPG, LIN, GIL
TU 6 0.00162 2.42× 31.4% 17.2% MA, MNST, TRV, OGE, ARCC
RPRX 7 0.00160 2.40× 38.1% 19.3% WTW, RSG, BXSL, INTU, BK
HIG 8 0.00158 2.36× 23.7% 15.8% REG, SKT, CSCO, SPG, ARCC
PAGP 9 0.00158 2.36× 25.4% 18.8% MSFT, WCN, JNJ, TJX, INGR
AEE 10 0.00156 2.33× 23.9% 15.7% AGNC, DGX, AJG, MO, PAYX

Rising influence vs 2025-08-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ALV 0.001470.00010 +0.00137
TMUS 0.001390.00010 +0.00129
WH 0.001380.00010 +0.00128
THO 0.001350.00010 +0.00125
TOST 0.001320.00010 +0.00122

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FERG 0.000100.00154 -0.00144
ESLT 0.000100.00153 -0.00143
KBR 0.000100.00141 -0.00131
MMM 0.000100.00139 -0.00129
OMF 0.000100.00138 -0.00128

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.77× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.286
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02179 4.77× 36.7% 24.8% QIUSD, AUCTIONUSD, C98USD, XDCUSD, YGGUSD
PNKUSD 2 0.01882 4.12× 34.9% 12.4% CLVUSD, MSOLUSD, NEXOUSD, XRPBTC, BONKEUR
PAXGUSD 3 0.01777 3.89× 33.5% 22.9% C98USD, NEARUSD, SNXUSD, TRUUSD, QIUSD
MKRUSD 4 0.01690 3.70× 29.8% 12.8% MLNUSD, BADGERUSD, FISUSD, GALAUSD, BTTUSD
TRXUSD 5 0.01618 3.54× 28.4% 17.9% CVCUSD, BADGERUSD, METISUSD, APEUSD, ARKMUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01544 3.38× 26.6% 15.6% XRPBTC, TUSD, ORCAUSD, PNKUSD, MIRUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01518 3.32× 30.3% 11.9% TRXUSD, MSOLUSD, LTCBTC, BONDUSD, XRDUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01506 3.30× 28.4% 8.7% FARMUSD, OXYUSD, YFIUSD, JUPUSD, BTTUSD
USTUSD 9 0.01390 3.04× 29.4% 11.9% ASTUSD, FARMUSD, JUPUSD, OXTUSD, TVKUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.01377 3.02× 25.7% 13.8% REQUSD, SOLUSD, ELAUSD, PAXGUSD, TNSRUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-08-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MKRUSD 0.016900.00371 +0.01319
XAUTUSD 0.021790.00972 +0.01208
LTCBTC 0.015440.00741 +0.00803
JTOUSD 0.010180.00240 +0.00778
XRPUSD 0.012870.00540 +0.00747

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.018820.05591 -0.03709
KAVAUSD 0.011110.02363 -0.01252
ELAUSD 0.005550.01733 -0.01178
CHREUR 0.003200.01207 -0.00887
KRLUSD 0.015180.02362 -0.00844

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 11.59× the influence of an average node across 895 pairs.

pairs
895
Density
0.069
Clustering
0.368
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01295 11.59× 6.3% 8.7% XAGZAR, NZDTRY, XAGGBP, KRWBRL, TWDCHF
SEKILS 2 0.01227 10.98× 9.6% 5.8% ARSEUR, CADRUB, KRWBRL, BRLARS, GBPBRL
BRLEUR 3 0.00884 7.91× 1.9% 1.0% EURLRD, BWPEUR, EURMWK, EURDJF, EURGYD
TWDSEK 4 0.00832 7.45× 17.0% 7.4% BRLKRW, KRWBRL, XAUJPY, KRWRUB, XAGEUR
ARSEUR 5 0.00824 7.37× 33.6% 2.7% SEKILS, KRWTWD, GBPXPF, XAUBRL, XAURUB
GBPMUR 6 0.00618 5.53× 26.0% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYINR 7 0.00618 5.53× 26.0% 1.3% GBPXPF, GBPBRL, KRWBRL, SEKILS, TWDSEK
MYRZAR 8 0.00618 5.53× 25.7% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
PENMXN 9 0.00617 5.52× 25.8% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 10 0.00614 5.50× 25.7% 1.3% GBPXPF, KRWBRL, SEKILS, GBPBRL, BRLSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-08-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.012270.00071 +0.01156
BRLEUR 0.008840.00171 +0.00713
TWDSEK 0.008320.00238 +0.00594
MYRZAR 0.006180.00122 +0.00496
PENMXN 0.006170.00146 +0.00471

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURHNL 0.000940.00830 -0.00737
ARSGBP 0.001420.00686 -0.00544
GBPARS 0.001430.00665 -0.00522
JPYRUB 0.001450.00642 -0.00497
CADARS 0.002960.00700 -0.00404

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.