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Daily network digest

Friday, August 15, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.57× the influence of an average node across 220 assets.

assets
220
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.291
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02079 4.57× 36.1% 25.6% QIUSD, AUCTIONUSD, C98USD, XDCUSD, CGLDUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01728 3.80× 31.5% 26.5% NEARUSD, SNXUSD, C98USD, TRUUSD, QIUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.01713 3.77× 27.9% 10.0% CVCUSD, APEUSD, LQTYUSD, FORTHUSD, METISUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01613 3.55× 22.4% 19.2% TUSD, ORCAUSD, XRPBTC, MIRUSD, FXUSD
PNKUSD 5 0.01566 3.45× 29.2% 13.7% RENUSD, BONKEUR, CLVUSD, LQTYUSD, XRPBTC
XRPUSD 6 0.01563 3.44× 26.0% 11.4% YFIUSD, OXTUSD, OMGUSD, ICXUSD, LTCBTC
JTOUSD 7 0.01451 3.19× 21.5% 16.0% BTRSTUSD, INJUSD, BTCJPY, WBTCUSD, PNKUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01437 3.16× 30.1% 9.1% FXUSD, FARMUSD, BTTUSD, AAVEUSD, OXYUSD
FXUSD 9 0.01376 3.03× 17.8% 7.8% ALPHAUSD, ICPUSD, LTCBTC, OMGUSD, ENJUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01365 3.00× 28.3% 15.5% ASTUSD, JUPUSD, FARMUSD, ANKRUSD, BTCAUD

Rising influence vs 2025-08-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JTOUSD 0.014510.00212 +0.01239
XRPUSD 0.015630.00433 +0.01131
XAUTUSD 0.020790.01038 +0.01041
MKRUSD 0.013150.00335 +0.00980
ZECUSD 0.009520.00234 +0.00718

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.015660.05958 -0.04391
KRLUSD 0.013120.02264 -0.00952
KAVAUSD 0.009870.01888 -0.00901
ETHBTC 0.003200.01174 -0.00854
ELAUSD 0.005980.01440 -0.00842

Foreign exchange

AUDBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.02× the influence of an average node across 846 pairs.

pairs
846
Density
0.064
Clustering
0.382
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDBRL 1 0.00829 7.02× 37.6% 7.2% BRLKRW, XAUBRL, USDRUB, CHFHKD, USDCHF
XAUBRL 2 0.00816 6.90× 27.3% 7.5% SCRUSD, IDRTHB, XAURUB, SEKZAR, ARSGBP
BRLJPY 3 0.00747 6.32× 17.9% 5.4% XAUJPY, COPBRL, BRLKRW, CHFTHB, RUBGBP
JPYBRL 4 0.00637 5.39× 19.2% 5.8% XAUJPY, COPBRL, BRLKRW, CHFTHB, PENCAD
BRLCHF 5 0.00627 5.31× 15.4% 9.2% BRLKRW, XAUJPY, PENCAD, COPBRL, XAUBRL
COPBRL 6 0.00626 5.30× 33.4% 16.0% NZDSEK, BRLKRW, CZKUSD, DKKAED, USDDKK
XAUINR 7 0.00603 5.10× 31.1% 10.5% KRWIDR, KRWINR, KRWUSD, ARSMXN, HKDKRW
CHFBRL 8 0.00595 5.04× 15.9% 8.9% XAUJPY, BRLKRW, COPBRL, PENCAD, XAUBRL
KRWBRL 9 0.00590 4.99× 23.2% 8.9% BRLKRW, EURSEK, CHFRUB, ARSEUR, PHPUSD
BRLKRW 10 0.00584 4.94× 18.7% 10.7% ARSMXN, QARZAR, XAGRUB, JPYARS, ARSUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-08-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.008290.00210 +0.00619
XAUBRL 0.008160.00264 +0.00552
AEDCHF 0.004990.00031 +0.00467
CHFINR 0.004970.00031 +0.00466
XAUAUD 0.005480.00124 +0.00425

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.000370.01320 -0.01283
SEKILS 0.002260.01231 -0.01005
TWDSEK 0.001360.00810 -0.00674
GBPMUR 0.000340.00613 -0.00579
MYRZAR 0.000440.00615 -0.00571

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.