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Daily network digest

Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.86× the influence of an average node across 220 assets.

assets
220
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.279
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02209 4.86× 36.5% 22.8% QIUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XDCUSD, C98USD, CGLDUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01797 3.95× 31.5% 24.7% NEARUSD, SNXUSD, C98USD, QIUSD, HNTUSD
JTOUSD 3 0.01789 3.94× 22.8% 16.0% BTRSTUSD, INJUSD, BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, 1INCHUSD
TRXUSD 4 0.01643 3.61× 28.3% 13.7% CVCUSD, METISUSD, FORTHUSD, QNTUSD, KNCUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01620 3.56× 22.8% 17.8% TUSD, ORCAUSD, FXUSD, XRPBTC, NCTUSD
PNKUSD 6 0.01602 3.52× 30.6% 13.7% FXUSD, RENUSD, BTRSTUSD, CLVUSD, XRPBTC
XRPUSD 7 0.01599 3.52× 27.9% 10.0% YFIUSD, ALPHAUSD, OMGUSD, OXTUSD, LITUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01523 3.35× 27.4% 9.6% FXUSD, FARMUSD, PAXGUSD, BTTUSD, AAVEUSD
FXUSD 9 0.01470 3.23× 18.7% 8.7% LTCBTC, OMGUSD, ALPHAUSD, ICPUSD, GLMUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01399 3.08× 28.3% 14.6% ASTUSD, JUPUSD, ANKRUSD, FARMUSD, TVKUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-08-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JTOUSD 0.017890.00201 +0.01588
XAUTUSD 0.022090.01015 +0.01194
XRPUSD 0.015990.00449 +0.01151
MKRUSD 0.013810.00338 +0.01043
LTCBTC 0.016200.00578 +0.01042

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.016020.05119 -0.03517
KRLUSD 0.011870.03023 -0.01836
SRMUSD 0.006330.02246 -0.01612
ETHBTC 0.002600.01385 -0.01125
KAVAUSD 0.007820.01870 -0.01088

Foreign exchange

AUDBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.01× the influence of an average node across 847 pairs.

pairs
847
Density
0.063
Clustering
0.378
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDBRL 1 0.00827 7.01× 37.5% 7.3% BRLKRW, XAUBRL, CHFHKD, GBPAED, INRTHB
XAUBRL 2 0.00824 6.98× 28.3% 7.9% SEKZAR, SCRUSD, IDRTHB, XAURUB, ZARNGN
BRLJPY 3 0.00771 6.53× 18.9% 6.0% XAUJPY, COPBRL, CHFTHB, BRLKRW, RUBGBP
BRLCHF 4 0.00701 5.94× 15.6% 8.9% BRLKRW, XAUJPY, COPBRL, PENCAD, XAUBRL
JPYBRL 5 0.00663 5.62× 19.5% 6.4% XAUJPY, COPBRL, CHFTHB, BRLKRW, RUBGBP
CHFBRL 6 0.00642 5.44× 16.5% 8.9% XAUJPY, BRLKRW, COPBRL, PENCAD, XAUBRL
COPBRL 7 0.00622 5.27× 32.6% 16.0% NZDSEK, BRLKRW, USDEUR, DKKHKD, HKDEUR
KRWBRL 8 0.00614 5.20× 22.8% 9.0% BRLKRW, PHPUSD, EURSEK, GBPCLP, CLPGBP
XAUINR 9 0.00579 4.90× 30.7% 10.5% KRWIDR, KRWINR, USDKRW, ARSMXN, KRWUSD
BRLKRW 10 0.00576 4.88× 18.4% 10.0% ARSMXN, QARZAR, XAGRUB, ARSEUR, JPYARS

Rising influence vs 2025-08-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.008270.00207 +0.00620
XAUBRL 0.008240.00253 +0.00570
CHFINR 0.004940.00032 +0.00463
AEDCHF 0.004890.00032 +0.00457
BRLJPY 0.007710.00326 +0.00445

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.000380.01323 -0.01285
SEKILS 0.002470.01245 -0.00998
TWDSEK 0.001410.00811 -0.00670
GBPMUR 0.000330.00611 -0.00578
MYRZAR 0.000440.00615 -0.00571

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.