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Daily network digest

Monday, August 4, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.31× the influence of an average node across 220 assets.

assets
220
Density
0.092
Clustering
0.334
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.03324 7.31× 52.1% 17.4% TRXUSD, AERGOUSD, TUSD, RARIEUR, NMRUSD
TRXUSD 2 0.02540 5.59× 39.3% 17.4% FOXUSD, ETHBTC, SRMUSD, UMAUSD, LCXUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01874 4.12× 47.0% 10.0% XMRUSD, UMAUSD, USTUSD, TRXUSD, LTCBTC
KEEPUSD 4 0.01857 4.09× 39.3% 8.7% JUPUSD, BALUSD, YFIUSD, BCHEUR, TRXUSD
FXUSD 5 0.01697 3.73× 28.3% 15.5% BTCJPY, REPUSD, ALPHAUSD, CLVUSD, FILUSD
BONDUSD 6 0.01686 3.71× 35.2% 14.6% BTCGBP, AERGOUSD, RENUSD, NEXOUSD, IOTXUSD
XMRUSD 7 0.01628 3.58× 23.7% 23.7% CLVUSD, STXUSD, MIRUSD, QNTUSD, BONKEUR
LCXUSD 8 0.01613 3.55× 31.1% 13.2% HNTUSD, FARMUSD, PUNDIXUSD, BONDUSD, FXUSD
BTCJPY 9 0.01577 3.47× 34.2% 12.3% OXYUSD, REPUSD, KSMUSD, DIAUSD, TRACUSD
BTCEUR 10 0.01425 3.13× 31.1% 11.0% LTCBTC, NANOUSD, TRXUSD, YFIUSD, LCXUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-08-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.033240.01442 +0.01882
KEEPUSD 0.018570.00283 +0.01574
BTCJPY 0.015770.00374 +0.01202
LCXUSD 0.016130.00627 +0.00986
ETHBTC 0.013160.00342 +0.00974

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUTUSD 0.007780.01879 -0.01100
PNKUSD 0.008600.01827 -0.00967
PAXGUSD 0.007960.01708 -0.00912
JTOUSD 0.004270.01271 -0.00844
XDCUSD 0.006500.01494 -0.00843

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 12.16× the influence of an average node across 900 pairs.

pairs
900
Density
0.067
Clustering
0.356
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01351 12.16× 6.1% 8.5% NZDTRY, KRWBRL, XAGZAR, TWDCHF, GBPTHB
SEKILS 2 0.01315 11.83× 9.2% 6.0% ARSEUR, BRLARS, GBPBRL, KRWBRL, CADRUB
BRLEUR 3 0.00943 8.49× 2.0% 1.1% EURLRD, BWPEUR, EURDJF, EURGTQ, EURGYD
ARSEUR 4 0.00876 7.89× 31.0% 2.1% KRWTWD, SEKILS, XAUBRL, GBPXPF, ARSCAD
TWDSEK 5 0.00744 6.70× 15.7% 9.5% XAGEUR, AUDMXN, XAGGBP, KRWRUB, XAGCAD
PENMXN 6 0.00643 5.79× 26.8% 0.4% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK, AUDSEK
CNYINR 7 0.00621 5.59× 25.5% 1.2% SEKILS, GBPXPF, KRWBRL, BRLSEK, GBPBRL
MYRZAR 8 0.00619 5.57× 25.5% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 9 0.00619 5.57× 25.5% 1.2% SEKILS, BRLSEK, GBPBRL, KRWBRL, GBPXPF
GBPMUR 10 0.00616 5.54× 25.5% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-08-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.013510.00037 +0.01314
SEKILS 0.013150.00244 +0.01071
GBPMUR 0.006160.00033 +0.00583
MYRZAR 0.006190.00045 +0.00575
BRLEUR 0.009430.00409 +0.00533

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.002960.01209 -0.00913
AUDBRL 0.002130.00898 -0.00684
JPYARS 0.004180.00999 -0.00581
CHFINR 0.000330.00490 -0.00458
AEDCHF 0.000320.00485 -0.00453

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.