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Daily network digest

Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.58× the influence of an average node across 222 assets.

assets
222
Density
0.081
Clustering
0.294
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02063 4.58× 40.7% 31.2% QIUSD, CGLDUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XRPUSD, C98USD
PNKUSD 2 0.02021 4.49× 35.7% 10.9% MSOLUSD, XRPBTC, RENUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.01903 4.22× 33.9% 18.6% APEUSD, TRBUSD, QNTUSD, ANKRUSD, CVCUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01795 3.98× 38.5% 11.8% XRDUSD, MSOLUSD, LTCBTC, ASTUSD, ZECUSD
BTCAUD 5 0.01793 3.98× 27.1% 10.0% EGLDUSD, TUSD, XMRUSD, CRVUSD, BTRSTUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01730 3.84× 28.1% 10.0% FXUSD, BTTUSD, CVCUSD, TRBUSD, FARMUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01632 3.62× 33.9% 22.2% ETHBTC, BTRSTUSD, NEARUSD, HNTUSD, DYDXUSD
USTUSD 8 0.01552 3.44× 30.3% 14.5% ASTUSD, BTCAUD, JUPUSD, OGNUSD, TVKUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.01548 3.44× 26.2% 10.4% REQUSD, XAUTUSD, MASKUSD, OMGUSD, QIUSD
XRDUSD 10 0.01417 3.15× 22.2% 10.4% FXUSD, ETHUSD, ACHUSD, ETHAUD, PUNDIXUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-07-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.015480.00349 +0.01198
XAUTUSD 0.020630.00908 +0.01155
BTCAUD 0.017930.00707 +0.01086
JTOUSD 0.011650.00270 +0.00894
XRDUSD 0.014170.00550 +0.00868

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.020210.05588 -0.03567
SRMUSD 0.004250.02055 -0.01630
ELAUSD 0.003440.01925 -0.01581
LCXUSD 0.007320.01551 -0.00819
ETHBTC 0.004050.01183 -0.00778

Foreign exchange

DOPUSD was the most central name, carrying 9.95× the influence of an average node across 864 pairs.

pairs
864
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.410
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DOPUSD 1 0.01151 9.95× 3.7% 1.0% CHFRSD, RSDGBP, GHSUSD, GBPRSD, JPYRSD
GBPXPF 2 0.01022 8.83× 7.8% 6.3% KRWGBP, GBPKRW, TWDCAD, TWDINR, TWDHKD
EURSVC 3 0.00620 5.36× 2.3% 0.1% EURHNL
EURHNL 4 0.00618 5.34× 0.5% 0.9% EURSVC, EURGYD, EURKYD, EURGNF, EURKES
JPYRUB 5 0.00591 5.11× 21.4% 16.9% XAGZAR, XAGCAD, BRLCHF, MYRNZD, XAGJPY
HKDARS 6 0.00529 4.57× 20.3% 2.3% GBPXPF, RUBJPY, CADRUB, RUBNOK, JPYRUB
SGDARS 7 0.00529 4.57× 19.7% 1.9% GBPXPF, RUBJPY, XAGKRW, JPYRUB, NOKRUB
ARSUSD 8 0.00528 4.56× 19.8% 2.1% GBPXPF, XAUINR, RUBNOK, RUBJPY, NOKRUB
CNYHKD 9 0.00527 4.55× 0.9% 0.1% EURMYR
USDARS 10 0.00526 4.55× 20.0% 2.3% GBPXPF, JPYRUB, XAUSAR, RUBJPY, CADRUB

Rising influence vs 2025-07-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.010220.00039 +0.00982
DOPUSD 0.011510.00469 +0.00682
EURHNL 0.006180.00038 +0.00580
EURSVC 0.006200.00056 +0.00563
JPYRUB 0.005910.00102 +0.00489

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.001220.00755 -0.00634
USDCLP 0.000910.00611 -0.00520
CHFTHB 0.000230.00508 -0.00485
COPUSD 0.000890.00543 -0.00454
BRLCHF 0.001910.00628 -0.00437

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.