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Daily network digest

Thursday, July 3, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PNKUSD was the most central name, carrying 14.07× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.330
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PNKUSD 1 0.06366 14.07× 78.6% 7.3% LCXUSD, XRPBTC, NEARUSD, ARKMUSD, ORCAUSD
ELAUSD 2 0.02206 4.87× 34.1% 13.6% PUNDIXUSD, FXUSD, FLOWUSD, LCXUSD, ENJUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.02089 4.62× 38.2% 12.7% WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, RNDRUSD, BALUSD, PAXGUSD
TRXUSD 4 0.02051 4.53× 25.0% 11.8% EGLDUSD, BTCGBP, IMXUSD, BTCJPY, XTZUSD
BTRSTUSD 5 0.01854 4.10× 36.4% 21.8% ELAUSD, XRPUSD, BTCEUR, BTCUSD, BTCGBP
LCXUSD 6 0.01720 3.80× 22.3% 13.6% ELAUSD, FARMUSD, CTSIUSD, JUPUSD, BOBAUSD
SRMUSD 7 0.01649 3.64× 33.2% 24.1% REPUSD, TRXUSD, OXTUSD, AKTEUR, DIAUSD
KRLUSD 8 0.01632 3.61× 31.8% 4.1% TRXUSD, ZECUSD, SRMUSD, CHRUSD, SUKUUSD
AERGOUSD 9 0.01347 2.98× 27.7% 16.4% PNKUSD, LITUSD, CROUSD, QTUMUSD, FARMUSD
ETHBTC 10 0.01277 2.82× 35.0% 25.5% WBTCUSD, XDCUSD, AUCTIONUSD, NCTUSD, BTCUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-07-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.063660.01042 +0.05324
ELAUSD 0.022060.00291 +0.01915
SRMUSD 0.016490.00559 +0.01091
UOSUSD 0.012120.00260 +0.00952
NEARUSD 0.010060.00296 +0.00710

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.007410.02740 -0.02000
XMRUSD 0.005840.02139 -0.01555
KEEPUSD 0.002320.01281 -0.01049
XRPBTC 0.020890.02904 -0.00815
TRXUSD 0.020510.02865 -0.00814

Foreign exchange

BRLEUR was the most central name, carrying 8.74× the influence of an average node across 902 pairs.

pairs
902
Density
0.071
Clustering
0.374
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLEUR 1 0.00969 8.74× 1.9% 1.2% EURBWP, EURLRD, BWPEUR, EURHNL, EURBZD
SEKILS 2 0.00871 7.86× 14.4% 8.5% ARSEUR, BRLKRW, ILSCHF, BRLARS, MURUSD
ARSEUR 3 0.00713 6.43× 30.6% 1.8% XAUARS, XAUBRL, SEKILS, KRWTWD, GBPXPF
GBPXPF 4 0.00665 6.00× 6.3% 11.1% MYRCAD, MYRGBP, JPYKRW, GBPMYR, KRWJPY
TWDSEK 5 0.00663 5.98× 17.9% 17.6% AUDMXN, BRLKRW, SGDJPY, GBPMXN, MXNGBP
MXNARS 6 0.00614 5.53× 31.2% 5.0% GBPBRL, BRLSEK, XAUARS, SEKILS, XAUUSD
ARSMXN 7 0.00613 5.53× 31.7% 4.6% GBPBRL, XAUARS, BRLSEK, BRLSGD, XAGZAR
GBPMUR 8 0.00608 5.49× 25.5% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 9 0.00605 5.46× 25.5% 1.7% KRWBRL, BRLSEK, TWDSEK, SEKILS, GBPXPF
CNYINR 10 0.00605 5.46× 25.5% 1.7% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, TWDSEK, GBPXPF, SEKILS

Rising influence vs 2025-07-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.008710.00086 +0.00785
USDDOP 0.005930.00021 +0.00572
GBPMGA 0.005650.00069 +0.00497
XAUARS 0.005640.00101 +0.00463
MYRZAR 0.005990.00144 +0.00455

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYRUB 0.002030.00650 -0.00447
EURMYR 0.000190.00462 -0.00443
CADARS 0.001140.00532 -0.00418
MDLUSD 0.000260.00434 -0.00408
GBPARS 0.001240.00522 -0.00398

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.