catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Friday, June 27, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PNKUSD was the most central name, carrying 14.24× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.081
Clustering
0.326
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PNKUSD 1 0.06445 14.24× 80.9% 5.9% NEARUSD, XRPBTC, LCXUSD, ARKMUSD, MATICUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02343 5.18× 36.4% 18.2% WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, IMXUSD, RNDRUSD, BALUSD
ELAUSD 3 0.02027 4.48× 32.3% 14.5% FXUSD, FLOWUSD, PUNDIXUSD, XMRUSD, LCXUSD
TRXUSD 4 0.01937 4.28× 24.5% 16.4% EGLDUSD, XTZUSD, NKNUSD, BTCGBP, BTCJPY
AERGOUSD 5 0.01855 4.10× 30.9% 16.4% PNKUSD, FARMUSD, LITUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01751 3.87× 34.5% 4.1% TRXUSD, PNKUSD, SUKUUSD, LOKAUSD, ABTUSD
BTRSTUSD 7 0.01655 3.66× 33.6% 23.2% XRPUSD, DIAUSD, ELAUSD, BTCEUR, BTCUSD
SRMUSD 8 0.01631 3.61× 30.0% 25.5% REPUSD, SANDUSD, OXTUSD, KRLUSD, GNOUSD
LCXUSD 9 0.01617 3.57× 20.5% 12.7% ELAUSD, FARMUSD, CTSIUSD, BTTUSD, FISUSD
NEARUSD 10 0.01510 3.34× 15.5% 6.8% SPELLUSD, SRMUSD, ORCAUSD, KRLUSD, XRPAUD

Rising influence vs 2025-06-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.064450.01204 +0.05241
ELAUSD 0.020270.00263 +0.01764
SRMUSD 0.016310.00419 +0.01212
NEARUSD 0.015100.00322 +0.01189
AERGOUSD 0.018550.00978 +0.00876

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.006660.02931 -0.02265
KEEPUSD 0.001660.01591 -0.01425
XRPBTC 0.023430.03621 -0.01278
XMRUSD 0.008790.01983 -0.01104
ASMUSD 0.006930.01486 -0.00794

Foreign exchange

AUDBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.52× the influence of an average node across 864 pairs.

pairs
864
Density
0.063
Clustering
0.372
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDBRL 1 0.00870 7.52× 35.9% 11.2% XAUBRL, BRLKRW, USDRUB, GBPAED, GBPHTG
XAUBRL 2 0.00849 7.34× 27.2% 6.8% SCRGBP, RUBPLN, CADRUB, XAURUB, GBPRUB
COPBRL 3 0.00786 6.79× 36.5% 14.4% NZDSEK, ARSBRL, DKKHKD, EURHKD, USDMKD
JPYARS 4 0.00738 6.38× 22.4% 3.5% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLCHF, SGDBRL, CHFBRL
BRLCHF 5 0.00709 6.13× 29.8% 8.0% XAUJPY, COPBRL, BRLKRW, XAURUB, XAUUSD
ARSJPY 6 0.00693 5.99× 22.8% 2.1% JPYBRL, BRLCHF, BRLJPY, BRLKRW, CHFBRL
CHFBRL 7 0.00688 5.94× 30.1% 7.5% XAUJPY, BRLKRW, COPBRL, XAURUB, XAUUSD
JPYBRL 8 0.00686 5.93× 23.5% 5.7% COPBRL, XAUJPY, CHFTHB, RUBDKK, EURSEK
BRLJPY 9 0.00662 5.72× 24.2% 5.3% COPBRL, CHFTHB, MXNBRL, XAUJPY, COPUSD
USDCLP 10 0.00638 5.51× 33.4% 8.2% THBHKD, AEDGBP, CNYINR, GBPHTG, INRTHB

Rising influence vs 2025-06-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.008700.00178 +0.00692
XAUBRL 0.008490.00236 +0.00613
JPYARS 0.007380.00167 +0.00571
ARSJPY 0.006930.00129 +0.00564
CHFTHB 0.005460.00031 +0.00515

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.001840.00858 -0.00673
GBPXPF 0.000530.00670 -0.00617
GBPMUR 0.000310.00609 -0.00578
MYRZAR 0.000380.00607 -0.00569
USDDOP 0.000250.00577 -0.00551

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.