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Daily network digest

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.08× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.080
Clustering
0.282
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02296 5.08× 38.2% 35.9% QIUSD, XRPUSD, XDCUSD, DYDXUSD, IMXUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02261 5.00× 43.2% 7.3% XRDUSD, TRXUSD, MSOLUSD, OMGUSD, BTRSTUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.02122 4.69× 30.9% 17.3% QNTUSD, CLVUSD, BTCAUD, TUSD, BONKEUR
PNKUSD 4 0.02007 4.44× 34.1% 6.4% MSOLUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, BTCAUD, SOLUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.01710 3.78× 30.5% 25.9% DYDXUSD, QTUMUSD, XDCUSD, 1INCHUSD, BOBAUSD
BTCAUD 6 0.01623 3.59× 22.3% 10.0% EGLDUSD, TUSD, XRPAUD, ZKXUSD, OXYUSD
XRDUSD 7 0.01622 3.58× 22.3% 8.6% ETHAUD, ACHUSD, ETHUSD, PUNDIXUSD, FXUSD
USTUSD 8 0.01612 3.56× 31.4% 9.5% ASTUSD, REPUSD, FARMUSD, JUPUSD, TVKUSD
XRPBTC 9 0.01544 3.41× 21.8% 11.8% FARMUSD, FXUSD, CHREUR, CVCUSD, BTCJPY
BONDUSD 10 0.01506 3.33× 32.7% 20.0% BTCEUR, CVCUSD, ENJUSD, XTZUSD, ETHAUD

Rising influence vs 2025-06-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUTUSD 0.022960.00855 +0.01441
TUSD 0.014590.00191 +0.01268
AMPUSD 0.013210.00206 +0.01115
BTCAUD 0.016230.00669 +0.00954
XDCUSD 0.014320.00570 +0.00861

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PNKUSD 0.020070.06498 -0.04491
ELAUSD 0.004150.02136 -0.01721
NEARUSD 0.001790.01279 -0.01101
SRMUSD 0.002960.01391 -0.01095
TRACUSD 0.003090.01390 -0.01081

Foreign exchange

DOPUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.45× the influence of an average node across 863 pairs.

pairs
863
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.399
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DOPUSD 1 0.00979 8.45× 3.6% 1.0% RSDGBP, GBPRSD, JPYRSD, GHSUSD, CHFRSD
GBPXPF 2 0.00926 7.99× 7.5% 7.2% JPYIDR, JPYILS, INRJPY, GBPKRW, NZDHUF
BRLEUR 3 0.00718 6.20× 1.6% 0.1% EURKZT
EURKZT 4 0.00691 5.97× 0.7% 0.2% BRLEUR, EURHNL
CNYHKD 5 0.00653 5.63× 0.7% 0.3% GHSEUR, EURGHS, EURMYR
JPYRUB 6 0.00643 5.55× 20.0% 15.9% XAGZAR, XAGCAD, MYRNZD, BRLCHF, BRLSEK
EURJMD 7 0.00592 5.11× 2.9% 0.1% CNYHKD
ARSGBP 8 0.00527 4.55× 20.9% 1.7% SEKUSD, EURTWD, GBPXPF, JPYRUB, XAGCNY
ARSCAD 9 0.00526 4.54× 20.6% 2.4% SEKUSD, EURTWD, XAUSAR, GBPXPF, RUBNOK
GBPARS 10 0.00526 4.54× 20.4% 1.6% EURTWD, GBPXPF, SEKUSD, RUBJPY, XAUSAR

Rising influence vs 2025-06-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.009260.00057 +0.00868
EURKZT 0.006910.00125 +0.00566
JPYRUB 0.006430.00129 +0.00515
DOPUSD 0.009790.00492 +0.00487
EURJMD 0.005920.00115 +0.00477

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.001260.00859 -0.00733
USDCLP 0.001210.00634 -0.00513
CHFTHB 0.000230.00535 -0.00512
JPYBRL 0.001630.00653 -0.00490
BRLCHF 0.001870.00662 -0.00475

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.