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Daily network digest

Wednesday, June 4, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 6.74× the influence of an average node across 220 assets.

assets
220
Density
0.088
Clustering
0.293
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03063 6.74× 43.4% 37.4% WBTCUSD, REQUSD, ASMUSD, LTCUSD, WUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02438 5.36× 42.0% 5.0% MSOLUSD, SOLUSD, XRDUSD, BTRSTUSD, HNTUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.01876 4.13× 41.1% 29.2% QIUSD, NEOUSD, MATICUSD, LUNAUSD, BOBAUSD
TRXUSD 4 0.01834 4.03× 33.8% 19.2% QNTUSD, TUSD, NCTUSD, XDCUSD, DSHUSD
XRDUSD 5 0.01826 4.02× 26.0% 10.5% ACHUSD, FXUSD, ETHAUD, ETHUSD, AAVEUSD
XRPAUD 6 0.01716 3.78× 31.5% 6.8% CHREUR, SRMUSD, HIGHUSD, AAVEUSD, BTCJPY
XRPUSD 7 0.01674 3.68× 26.0% 7.8% CHREUR, HIGHUSD, BTCJPY, XRDUSD, BTCAUD
XRPBTC 8 0.01635 3.60× 29.7% 10.0% FXUSD, CVCUSD, FARMUSD, TRXUSD, BTCJPY
XDCUSD 9 0.01567 3.45× 32.9% 11.9% CVCUSD, STXUSD, MASKUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD 10 0.01450 3.19× 28.8% 14.2% BOBAUSD, ETHBTC, QTUMUSD, LUNAUSD, QIUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-06-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.030630.00516 +0.02547
KRLUSD 0.024380.00946 +0.01492
NEXOUSD 0.014000.00260 +0.01140
XRPAUD 0.017160.00584 +0.01132
XRDUSD 0.018260.00705 +0.01120

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ELAUSD 0.004370.01944 -0.01507
ETHBTC 0.005650.01732 -0.01167
SRMUSD 0.004930.01593 -0.01100
BTRSTUSD 0.013380.02303 -0.00965
HNTUSD 0.006690.01588 -0.00919

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 12.01× the influence of an average node across 861 pairs.

pairs
861
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.380
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01394 12.01× 7.6% 7.7% JPYIDR, ILSJPY, INRJPY, JPYILS, GBPKRW
DOPUSD 2 0.00852 7.33× 4.2% 1.0% RSDGBP, GBPRSD, GHSUSD, CHFRSD, JPYRSD
EURJMD 3 0.00755 6.50× 2.9% 0.1% CNYHKD
CNYHKD 4 0.00755 6.50× 0.6% 0.3% EURGHS, GHSEUR, EURMYR
XAUSAR 5 0.00617 5.31× 23.5% 17.1% TRYPLN, COPBRL, PLNUSD, DKKUSD, USDCZK
CNYINR 6 0.00516 4.45× 15.7% 0.1% GBPXPF
GBPJOD 7 0.00515 4.43× 15.8% 0.1% GBPXPF
CNYSGD 8 0.00509 4.38× 17.3% 2.1% PKRZAR, BRLCAD, GBPXPF, DKKPKR, GBPCAD
ARSGBP 9 0.00507 4.37× 16.3% 2.3% GBPXPF, XAUSAR, XAGCNY, XAGRUB, KRWRUB
ARSCAD 10 0.00507 4.37× 16.6% 2.6% XAUSAR, GBPXPF, XAGCNY, XAUGBP, RUBCHF

Rising influence vs 2025-06-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.013940.00055 +0.01339
EURJMD 0.007550.00134 +0.00621
DOPUSD 0.008520.00369 +0.00483
USDETB 0.004930.00096 +0.00397
ARSHKD 0.005070.00132 +0.00375

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.003980.01084 -0.00687
JPYARS 0.002910.00975 -0.00683
ARSJPY 0.002940.00893 -0.00600
AUDBRL 0.001300.00725 -0.00595
JPYBRL 0.001470.00696 -0.00549

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.