catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TRXUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.89× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.293
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TRXUSD 1 0.02214 4.89× 28.6% 25.5% EGLDUSD, ALPHAUSD, JUPUSD, NKNUSD, XTZUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.01979 4.37× 34.5% 10.5% TRXUSD, AMPUSD, OMNIUSD, XYOUSD, PRIMEUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.01755 3.88× 35.0% 19.1% AUCTIONUSD, RNDRUSD, ASTUSD, BTCUSD, PAXGUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01682 3.72× 30.9% 19.5% XRPUSD, BTCUSD, BTCEUR, DIAUSD, WBTCUSD
ETHBTC 5 0.01644 3.63× 37.7% 17.3% AUCTIONUSD, HNTUSD, WBTCUSD, TIAUSD, BTTUSD
REPUSD 6 0.01497 3.31× 23.6% 7.3% TRXUSD, FXUSD, AUCTIONUSD, METISUSD, SGBUSD
ELAUSD 7 0.01446 3.20× 19.1% 18.6% REPUSD, XRPAUD, FXUSD, FLOWUSD, YFIUSD
SRMUSD 8 0.01425 3.15× 25.5% 26.8% SANDUSD, SHIBUSD, OXTUSD, KRLUSD, PNKUSD
OMNIUSD 9 0.01349 2.98× 29.5% 5.0% ETHAUD, GALAUSD, SWFTCUSD, ELAUSD, DYDXEUR
XAUTUSD 10 0.01314 2.90× 20.0% 35.5% ACHUSD, WBTCUSD, ETHAUD, OXTUSD, TRACUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.019790.00525 +0.01454
ELAUSD 0.014460.00279 +0.01167
SRMUSD 0.014250.00274 +0.01151
FORTHUSD 0.011180.00316 +0.00802
XAUTUSD 0.013140.00530 +0.00784

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.017550.03499 -0.01745
XDCUSD 0.004310.01720 -0.01290
KRLUSD 0.009770.02250 -0.01273
REPUSD 0.014970.02504 -0.01007
MIRUSD 0.003320.00958 -0.00626

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 13.39× the influence of an average node across 861 pairs.

pairs
861
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.383
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01555 13.39× 7.3% 7.8% JPYIDR, INRJPY, JPYILS, ILSJPY, XAGRUB
EURJMD 2 0.00766 6.60× 2.9% 0.1% CNYHKD
CNYHKD 3 0.00759 6.54× 0.7% 0.3% EURGHS, GHSEUR, EURMYR
RUBCHF 4 0.00735 6.33× 24.7% 18.0% XAGARS, USDNGN, CADBRL, XAGEUR, HKDBRL
DOPUSD 5 0.00699 6.02× 4.0% 1.0% GBPRSD, RSDGBP, GHSUSD, JPYRSD, CHFRSD
XAUGBP 6 0.00633 5.45× 24.2% 15.6% GBPCRC, ILSSEK, TRYJPY, CNYCAD, CADCNY
JPYRUB 7 0.00620 5.34× 20.7% 17.2% XAGZAR, XAGCAD, XAGGBP, XAGEUR, TWDSEK
ARSSGD 8 0.00573 4.93× 16.7% 1.3% GBPXPF, XAUGBP, RUBCHF, XAUSAR, COPMXN
ARSGBP 9 0.00572 4.92× 16.7% 1.4% GBPXPF, RUBDKK, RUBJPY, XAUGBP, GBPRUB
GBPARS 10 0.00571 4.91× 16.7% 1.2% GBPXPF, XAUGBP, GBPRUB, JPYRUB, COPMXN

Rising influence vs 2025-05-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.015550.00051 +0.01505
EURJMD 0.007660.00229 +0.00537
JPYRUB 0.006200.00186 +0.00434
GBPRUB 0.005400.00123 +0.00417
RUBCHF 0.007350.00325 +0.00410

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.001250.00798 -0.00673
JPYBRL 0.001450.00714 -0.00569
JPYARS 0.003150.00871 -0.00557
XAUBRL 0.004360.00965 -0.00529
BRLJPY 0.001530.00661 -0.00507

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.