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Daily network digest

Monday, May 19, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.91× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.294
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.02223 4.91× 37.7% 6.8% LCXUSD, XYOUSD, USTUSD, MIRUSD, OMNIUSD
LCXUSD 2 0.02102 4.65× 34.5% 14.1% BTTUSD, ELAUSD, FISUSD, PNKUSD, ORCAUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.01994 4.41× 25.5% 23.2% EGLDUSD, ICPUSD, BTCGBP, ALPHAUSD, QNTUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.01909 4.22× 36.8% 18.6% AUCTIONUSD, BTCUSD, PAXGUSD, RNDRUSD, ASTUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.01734 3.83× 34.5% 37.7% OXTUSD, BOBAUSD, ACHUSD, KAVAUSD, ETHAUD
ELAUSD 6 0.01519 3.36× 20.0% 17.3% REPUSD, RLCUSD, IMXUSD, HNTUSD, FXUSD
OMNIUSD 7 0.01497 3.31× 30.9% 4.5% ELAUSD, GALAUSD, ETHAUD, FORTUSD, DYDXEUR
ETHBTC 8 0.01484 3.28× 37.7% 13.6% AUCTIONUSD, WBTCUSD, HNTUSD, BTTUSD, PERPUSD
XRDUSD 9 0.01452 3.21× 28.2% 14.5% YFIUSD, RUNEUSD, CGLDUSD, TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01344 2.97× 22.7% 11.8% SGBUSD, FXUSD, TRXUSD, LTCBTC, JUPUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.022230.00440 +0.01783
ELAUSD 0.015190.00308 +0.01211
LCXUSD 0.021020.01102 +0.01000
PAXGUSD 0.017340.00778 +0.00956
SRMUSD 0.011660.00235 +0.00931

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.019090.03734 -0.01825
XDCUSD 0.004350.01643 -0.01208
KRLUSD 0.009200.02047 -0.01127
REPUSD 0.013440.02215 -0.00871
BTRSTUSD 0.012090.01869 -0.00660

Foreign exchange

SEKILS was the most central name, carrying 7.37× the influence of an average node across 893 pairs.

pairs
893
Density
0.071
Clustering
0.365
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKILS 1 0.00826 7.37× 9.2% 11.4% BRLKRW, CADRUB, IDRHKD, KRWBRL, MXNBRL
ARSEUR 2 0.00759 6.77× 31.6% 3.4% SEKILS, JPYILS, XAUBRL, ILSCHF, CHFILS
ARSMXN 3 0.00713 6.37× 33.9% 7.1% HUFZAR, SCRGBP, XAUCNY, XAUINR, BRLSEK
MXNARS 4 0.00706 6.30× 33.3% 6.8% SCRGBP, HUFZAR, XAUUSD, XAUCNY, CHFBRL
BRLEUR 5 0.00640 5.72× 1.9% 1.1% BWPEUR, EURCRC, EURBWP, EURLKR, EURBZD
GBPXPF 6 0.00628 5.61× 6.1% 10.7% MYRCAD, KRWJPY, MYRGBP, GBPMYR, JPYKRW
CNYSGD 7 0.00625 5.58× 29.0% 2.7% USDCOP, GBPCAD, PKRZAR, BRLSEK, GBPXPF
PENMXN 8 0.00620 5.54× 28.4% 9.0% ZARTRY, ZMWZAR, XAURUB, ZARCHF, GBPXPF
CNYINR 9 0.00619 5.53× 26.8% 1.7% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, SEKILS, GBPXPF, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 10 0.00618 5.52× 26.9% 1.7% KRWBRL, BRLSEK, TWDSEK, GBPXPF, GBPBRL

Rising influence vs 2025-05-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMUR 0.006180.00028 +0.00590
GBPXPF 0.006280.00047 +0.00581
MYRZAR 0.006100.00038 +0.00572
ARSEUR 0.007590.00201 +0.00558
SEKILS 0.008260.00270 +0.00556

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.002820.00960 -0.00677
JPYARS 0.001630.00835 -0.00672
ARSJPY 0.000870.00741 -0.00654
AUDBRL 0.001710.00729 -0.00558
CHFTHB 0.000320.00508 -0.00476

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.