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Daily network digest

Monday, May 5, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.11× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.092
Clustering
0.318
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03245 7.11× 50.5% 37.2% LTCUSD, BTTUSD, ASMUSD, LTCAUD, ETHUSD
GYENUSD 2 0.02983 6.53× 54.1% 24.8% DSHUSD, ASMUSD, GHSTUSD, TRBUSD, BOBAUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02505 5.48× 53.2% 21.6% XRPBTC, BOBAUSD, CROUSD, XDCUSD, NEOUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.01920 4.20× 38.5% 6.0% BOBAUSD, BONDUSD, UOSUSD, QIUSD, ABTUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01848 4.05× 40.4% 10.1% UOSUSD, OMGUSD, STORJUSD, ALPHAUSD, PAXGUSD
XRPAUD 6 0.01596 3.50× 30.3% 7.8% XAUTUSD, BTCJPY, XRDUSD, AAVEUSD, PAXGUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.01503 3.29× 30.7% 12.8% XDCUSD, QNTUSD, DSHUSD, JTOUSD, TUSD
UOSUSD 8 0.01426 3.12× 27.1% 10.1% FISUSD, JTOUSD, BTCJPY, ETHBTC, BTTUSD
XRPUSD 9 0.01400 3.07× 29.4% 10.1% GYENUSD, XAUTUSD, BTCJPY, PAXGUSD, FORTHUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01388 3.04× 31.2% 6.4% XRDUSD, SOLUSD, TRXUSD, GYENUSD, HNTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.032450.00493 +0.02752
GYENUSD 0.029830.01141 +0.01843
XDCUSD 0.018480.00426 +0.01422
XRPAUD 0.015960.00560 +0.01037
XRPUSD 0.014000.00502 +0.00898

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LCXUSD 0.003960.02203 -0.01807
HNTUSD 0.008130.02491 -0.01678
PAXGUSD 0.019200.03206 -0.01286
ETHBTC 0.006950.01975 -0.01279
ELAUSD 0.005180.01315 -0.00797

Foreign exchange

ARSEUR was the most central name, carrying 7.92× the influence of an average node across 910 pairs.

pairs
910
Density
0.062
Clustering
0.361
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSEUR 1 0.00871 7.92× 29.9% 1.2% GBPXPF, SEKILS, CADNOK, NOKZAR, XAUBRL
GBPXPF 2 0.00810 7.37× 4.7% 11.1% KRWJPY, MYRGBP, MYRCAD, GBPMYR, JPYKRW
SEKILS 3 0.00777 7.07× 7.5% 8.7% BRLKRW, KRWBRL, VNDCAD, JPYBRL, SEKUSD
MXNARS 4 0.00742 6.75× 29.9% 5.9% HUFZAR, GBPBRL, SCRGBP, BRLSEK, ZARHUF
USDDOP 5 0.00711 6.47× 11.0% 1.0% JPYRSD, JODILS, JPYCNY, TRYJPY, PLNILS
CNYSGD 6 0.00702 6.39× 27.3% 2.4% USDCOP, GBPCAD, KRWBRL, PKRZAR, JPYCLP
GBPMUR 7 0.00700 6.37× 25.1% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
USDARS 8 0.00698 6.35× 25.0% 1.8% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, SEKILS, TWDSEK, GBPXPF
ARSHKD 9 0.00697 6.34× 24.9% 1.8% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, GBPXPF, SEKILS, GBPBRL
ARSSGD 10 0.00697 6.34× 24.9% 1.7% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-05-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.008100.00056 +0.00754
ARSEUR 0.008710.00156 +0.00714
USDDOP 0.007110.00031 +0.00681
GBPMUR 0.007000.00031 +0.00668
MYRZAR 0.006890.00032 +0.00657

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.002880.01754 -0.01466
JPYARS 0.000710.01419 -0.01348
AUDBRL 0.001740.00799 -0.00625
USDQAR 0.001460.00704 -0.00558
CHFTHB 0.000310.00512 -0.00481

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.