catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.99× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.317
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.03194 6.99× 54.6% 27.5% DSHUSD, FOXUSD, BOBAUSD, TRBUSD, DASHUSD
BTCJPY 2 0.02947 6.45× 48.6% 41.7% LTCUSD, BTTUSD, LTCAUD, LTCEUR, WBTCUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02718 5.95× 52.8% 21.6% XRPBTC, BOBAUSD, XDCUSD, CROUSD, XLMUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02157 4.72× 38.5% 9.2% BOBAUSD, ABTUSD, BONDUSD, CHREUR, NANOUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01763 3.86× 38.5% 6.4% GYENUSD, UOSUSD, PAXGUSD, CVCUSD, SOLUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.01499 3.28× 30.7% 13.8% BTCAUD, TUSD, DSHUSD, QNTUSD, XDCUSD
XRPAUD 7 0.01454 3.18× 27.1% 5.5% XAUTUSD, XRDUSD, BTCJPY, PAXGUSD, GYENUSD
ORNUSD 8 0.01314 2.88× 28.4% 11.9% DOTUSD, RENUSD, IOTXUSD, KAVAUSD, DOGEUSD
XRPUSD 9 0.01264 2.77× 28.0% 6.0% GYENUSD, FORTHUSD, XRDUSD, PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD
UOSUSD 10 0.01215 2.66× 24.8% 6.9% JTOUSD, BTTUSD, ETHBTC, FISUSD, BTCJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-04-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.029470.00335 +0.02611
GYENUSD 0.031940.01254 +0.01940
XDCUSD 0.017630.00426 +0.01338
XRPAUD 0.014540.00535 +0.00919
XRPUSD 0.012640.00392 +0.00871

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LCXUSD 0.004060.01806 -0.01400
PAXGUSD 0.021570.03546 -0.01389
HNTUSD 0.008700.01978 -0.01109
ETHBTC 0.008400.01890 -0.01050
PNKUSD 0.006730.01445 -0.00772

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 14.92× the influence of an average node across 829 pairs.

pairs
829
Density
0.062
Clustering
0.392
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.01799 14.92× 27.8% 6.2% XAGEUR, CADBRL, XAURUB, BRLARS, XAGAUD
JPYARS 2 0.01416 11.73× 18.4% 3.5% BRLSEK, JPYBRL, EURBRL, SGDBRL, JPYILS
COPARS 3 0.00970 8.04× 1.3% 1.6% CNYHKD, GBPLBP, EURLSL, EURNAD, EURGHS
AUDBRL 4 0.00783 6.49× 36.4% 9.7% BRLKRW, JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLCHF, XAUBRL
COPUSD 5 0.00623 5.17× 33.7% 10.1% SCRGBP, ILSCHF, CHFILS, GBPILS, ZARIDR
COPBRL 6 0.00614 5.09× 35.7% 18.7% CHFBRL, BRLKRW, NZDSEK, HKDBRL, RUBCHF
USDCLP 7 0.00592 4.90× 31.9% 9.3% DKKPKR, KRWINR, ARSHKD, KRWIDR, GBPAED
COPMXN 8 0.00583 4.83× 28.9% 8.0% COPUSD, XAUMXN, THBUSD, RUBSEK, BRLCOP
XAUARS 9 0.00579 4.80× 33.5% 11.1% THBUSD, JPYCLP, KRWMYR, JPYMYR, JPYBRL
CHFRUB 10 0.00555 4.60× 28.7% 13.2% BRLKRW, BRLCHF, COPBRL, RUBNOK, CHFBRL

Rising influence vs 2025-04-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.017990.00305 +0.01494
JPYARS 0.014160.00075 +0.01341
COPARS 0.009700.00173 +0.00797
AUDBRL 0.007830.00179 +0.00604
COPUSD 0.006230.00163 +0.00460

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.000540.00902 -0.00848
ARSEUR 0.001570.00880 -0.00722
MYRZAR 0.000360.00719 -0.00683
GBPMUR 0.000320.00704 -0.00672
USDDOP 0.000360.00708 -0.00672

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.