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Daily network digest

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.18× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.308
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.03824 8.18× 59.6% 17.8% LCXUSD, TRBUSD, APEUSD, FOXUSD, GHSTUSD
BTCJPY 2 0.02861 6.12× 43.7% 34.3% LTCUSD, WBTCUSD, ETHAUD, BTTUSD, ETHUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02861 6.12× 54.5% 21.6% BOBAUSD, XRPBTC, XDCUSD, ETHUSD, XRPAUD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02266 4.85× 37.1% 8.0% BOBAUSD, SGBUSD, LITUSD, ABTUSD, NANOUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.02069 4.43× 39.0% 6.6% GYENUSD, SOLUSD, UOSUSD, PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.01783 3.81× 33.3% 12.7% QNTUSD, DSHUSD, BTCAUD, RARIUSD, AERGOUSD
ORNUSD 7 0.01395 2.99× 25.8% 8.5% DOTUSD, RENUSD, ABTUSD, TUSD, JTOUSD
XRPAUD 8 0.01291 2.76× 25.4% 5.6% XAUTUSD, ORNUSD, XRDUSD, GYENUSD, PAXGUSD
UOSUSD 9 0.01221 2.61× 24.4% 9.9% JTOUSD, CROUSD, EGLDUSD, ETHBTC, FISUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01139 2.44× 27.7% 17.8% BTCAUD, FARMUSD, ATOMUSD, ASTUSD, AMPUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.038240.01250 +0.02574
BTCJPY 0.028610.00461 +0.02400
XDCUSD 0.020690.00490 +0.01578
XAUTUSD 0.028610.02037 +0.00824
ORNUSD 0.013950.00641 +0.00754

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LCXUSD 0.004390.02133 -0.01694
HNTUSD 0.009530.02355 -0.01402
PAXGUSD 0.022660.03628 -0.01361
ETHBTC 0.007380.02068 -0.01329
BONDUSD 0.007030.01699 -0.00996

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 42.74× the influence of an average node across 827 pairs.

pairs
827
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.377
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.05168 42.74× 5.1% 3.1% GBPILS, HUFCHF, XAURUB, NZDHUF, ILSCAD
ARSUSD 2 0.00822 6.80× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
ARSSGD 3 0.00821 6.79× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
USDARS 4 0.00821 6.79× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
ARSHKD 5 0.00821 6.79× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
CNYINR 6 0.00818 6.77× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
CADARS 7 0.00816 6.75× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
ARSGBP 8 0.00815 6.74× 16.6% 0.1% GBPXPF
CNYSGD 9 0.00803 6.64× 18.3% 1.9% BRLCAD, PKRZAR, GBPCAD, DKKPKR, JPYBRL
ARSEUR 10 0.00719 5.95× 17.7% 0.7% GBPXPF, TWDSEK, RUBCHF, CHFRUB, CHFPKR

Rising influence vs 2025-04-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.051680.00062 +0.05107
ARSUSD 0.008220.00201 +0.00621
USDARS 0.008210.00201 +0.00620
ARSSGD 0.008210.00205 +0.00616
ARSHKD 0.008210.00206 +0.00615

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.004330.02105 -0.01672
JPYARS 0.000790.01686 -0.01607
AUDBRL 0.001470.00824 -0.00677
COPUSD 0.000880.00613 -0.00525
COPMXN 0.002380.00747 -0.00509

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.