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Daily network digest

Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.88× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.308
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03683 7.88× 64.3% 16.0% RLCUSD, ACHUSD, UOSUSD, HNTUSD, APEUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02445 5.23× 40.4% 8.5% LCXUSD, MATICUSD, XRDUSD, TRXUSD, MIRUSD
ETHBTC 3 0.02131 4.56× 49.3% 21.6% DSHUSD, WBTCUSD, GTCUSD, LUNAUSD, AUCTIONUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02049 4.38× 38.5% 15.0% WBTCUSD, RLCUSD, ACHUSD, BTCEUR, APEUSD
LCXUSD 5 0.01960 4.20× 31.9% 9.9% PNKUSD, FARMUSD, TRACUSD, BONDUSD, USTUSD
BONDUSD 6 0.01749 3.74× 32.9% 28.6% DOTUSD, DASHUSD, GTCUSD, ALCXUSD, PERPUSD
BTRSTUSD 7 0.01587 3.40× 30.0% 13.6% DIAUSD, XRPUSD, RARIUSD, ALCXUSD, LTCAUD
VELOUSD 8 0.01451 3.11× 31.0% 8.5% BATUSD, MIRUSD, SGBUSD, FILUSD, TRBUSD
GYENUSD 9 0.01368 2.93× 31.0% 19.2% LUNAUSD, DYDXUSD, MDTUSD, ACHUSD, APEUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.01304 2.79× 27.7% 7.0% TRXUSD, XMRUSD, RENUSD, SOLUSD, PAXGUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.036830.00696 +0.02988
HNTUSD 0.024450.00465 +0.01980
XAUTUSD 0.020490.00503 +0.01546
LCXUSD 0.019600.00909 +0.01052
RUNEUSD 0.012370.00263 +0.00974

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.011120.02810 -0.01698
KRLUSD 0.010450.02590 -0.01545
XMRUSD 0.006160.01998 -0.01382
REPUSD 0.007580.02100 -0.01343
TRXUSD 0.010030.02118 -0.01115

Foreign exchange

MXNARS was the most central name, carrying 7.21× the influence of an average node across 843 pairs.

pairs
843
Density
0.049
Clustering
0.365
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MXNARS 1 0.00855 7.21× 27.1% 2.9% HUFZAR, CZKZAR, ZARHUF, SEKCZK, ZMWZAR
CNYSGD 2 0.00834 7.03× 24.1% 1.1% GBPCAD, PKRZAR, CHFPKR, DKKPKR, CLPCHF
ARSSGD 3 0.00815 6.87× 21.7% 0.0%
CNYCAD 4 0.00815 6.87× 21.7% 0.0%
USDARS 5 0.00814 6.86× 21.7% 0.0%
ARSUSD 6 0.00813 6.86× 21.7% 0.0%
ARSHKD 7 0.00813 6.85× 21.7% 0.0%
PENMXN 8 0.00798 6.72× 22.7% 4.3% ZMWZAR, SEKZAR, ZARMXN, ZARCHF, CZKZAR
MYRZAR 9 0.00796 6.71× 22.2% 6.2% INRMYR, DKKMXN, CZKZAR, MXNGBP, GBPMXN
COPMXN 10 0.00561 4.73× 31.1% 11.4% COPUSD, CADBMD, CADKYD, XAUUSD, XAGARS

Rising influence vs 2025-04-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MYRZAR 0.007960.00062 +0.00734
CNYCAD 0.008150.00157 +0.00658
PENMXN 0.007980.00212 +0.00586
MXNARS 0.008550.00381 +0.00474
QARZAR 0.005160.00059 +0.00456

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDUZS 0.000270.00897 -0.00870
USDETB 0.000490.00885 -0.00836
RUBJPY 0.002310.00910 -0.00678
CADARS 0.001160.00780 -0.00664
BRLEUR 0.003330.00995 -0.00662

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.