catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, April 14, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.98× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.297
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.04196 8.98× 62.9% 23.9% LCXUSD, ASMUSD, SWFTCUSD, SEIEUR, FOXUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02278 4.87× 41.8% 5.2% ABTUSD, UNIUSD, BOBAUSD, DYDXUSD, GYENUSD
BTCJPY 3 0.02194 4.70× 36.2% 39.9% LTCUSD, ETHAUD, BTTUSD, WBTCUSD, QNTUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02113 4.52× 44.6% 21.6% XDCUSD, BOBAUSD, ETHUSD, XRPAUD, XLMUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01898 4.06× 33.8% 8.0% SOLUSD, ALPHAUSD, STORJUSD, ORNUSD, TUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.01710 3.66× 27.2% 15.5% BTCAUD, QNTUSD, TUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01489 3.19× 28.2% 3.8% XRDUSD, SOLUSD, TRXUSD, GYENUSD, HNTUSD
ORNUSD 8 0.01340 2.87× 24.4% 9.9% DOTUSD, IOTXUSD, PERPUSD, RENUSD, MDTUSD
HNTUSD 9 0.01266 2.71× 23.0% 13.1% MLNUSD, ATOMUSD, RUNEUSD, KNCUSD, BADGERUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01213 2.60× 27.7% 15.5% ASTUSD, ATOMUSD, TVKUSD, XMRUSD, CLVUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.041960.01360 +0.02835
BTCJPY 0.021940.00525 +0.01670
XDCUSD 0.018980.00384 +0.01514
XRPUSD 0.012000.00412 +0.00788
TRXUSD 0.017100.01049 +0.00661

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ETHBTC 0.007080.02629 -0.01921
LCXUSD 0.004780.02158 -0.01680
PAXGUSD 0.022780.03672 -0.01394
HNTUSD 0.012660.02183 -0.00916
BTRSTUSD 0.008810.01743 -0.00862

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 9.16× the influence of an average node across 876 pairs.

pairs
876
Density
0.038
Clustering
0.394
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.01045 9.16× 26.1% 5.9% COPUSD, THBUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, BRLCOP
COPUSD 2 0.00977 8.56× 28.5% 7.1% ZAREGP, THBUSD, GBPILS, EGPZAR, PENCAD
XAUBRL 3 0.00887 7.77× 29.8% 6.5% ZMWZAR, JPYTHB, OMRZAR, BRLUSD, GBPBRL
CHFTHB 4 0.00807 7.07× 24.7% 7.1% AUDNZD, CNYKRW, USDZAR, HKDKRW, CNYSGD
KRWBRL 5 0.00757 6.63× 16.6% 3.2% PHPUSD, AUDSEK, PHPJPY, XAGCAD, BRLAUD
AUDBRL 6 0.00686 6.01× 7.1% 3.4% BRLKRW, SGDBRL, BRLSGD, CHFBRL, BRLCAD
DKKRUB 7 0.00649 5.69× 8.3% 9.6% TZSZAR, USDNOK, TWDSEK, BRLCHF, XAGJPY
PENCAD 8 0.00626 5.49× 20.0% 9.4% ZARHKD, IDRKRW, INRKRW, BRLPEN, CNYSGD
BRLAUD 9 0.00617 5.41× 19.0% 7.5% OMRZAR, EGPZAR, CNYHKD, KRWUSD, THBHKD
CLPGBP 10 0.00612 5.36× 18.2% 7.2% DKKPKR, USDKRW, CADARS, KRWUSD, ARSGBP

Rising influence vs 2025-04-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPUSD 0.009770.00104 +0.00873
CHFTHB 0.008070.00032 +0.00775
XAUBRL 0.008870.00165 +0.00722
COPMXN 0.010450.00456 +0.00589
CLPGBP 0.006120.00035 +0.00577

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDETB 0.004540.02544 -0.02090
CHFPKR 0.002000.01478 -0.01277
AUDSEK 0.003100.01373 -0.01062
TWDSEK 0.005060.01512 -0.01006
RUBJPY 0.000470.00741 -0.00694

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.