catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Sunday, April 6, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.07× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.305
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02851 6.07× 46.2% 6.6% XMRUSD, AERGOUSD, OCEANUSD, ORCAUSD, APEUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02428 5.17× 41.5% 7.1% TRXUSD, XRPBTC, LTCBTC, TIAUSD, BADGERUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02294 4.89× 31.1% 19.3% ABTUSD, RLCUSD, UMAUSD, SUSHIUSD, LTCAUD
LTCBTC 4 0.02130 4.54× 34.0% 21.2% TRBUSD, ARPAUSD, NEARUSD, FOXUSD, DARUSD
XMRUSD 5 0.02004 4.27× 30.2% 20.3% RNDRUSD, API3USD, JUPUSD, BCHEUR, MIRUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.01960 4.18× 28.8% 15.6% CROUSD, BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, TRXUSD, IOTXUSD
PNKUSD 7 0.01832 3.90× 37.3% 8.5% REPUSD, TUSD, RNDRUSD, METISUSD, STXUSD
ETHBTC 8 0.01817 3.87× 34.4% 21.7% MIRUSD, UOSUSD, APEUSD, ORCAUSD, ALICEUSD
GYENUSD 9 0.01684 3.59× 35.4% 30.2% ETHUSD, GRTUSD, PNKUSD, MASKUSD, QNTUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01597 3.40× 33.0% 28.8% BTCAUD, COMPUSD, CRVUSD, STXUSD, TRBUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.028510.01053 +0.01799
XMRUSD 0.020040.00679 +0.01325
LTCBTC 0.021300.00827 +0.01303
REPUSD 0.022940.01050 +0.01244
PNKUSD 0.018320.00706 +0.01126

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.016840.04847 -0.03163
BTCJPY 0.007540.02561 -0.01808
PAXGUSD 0.004370.01392 -0.00955
HNTUSD 0.004830.01345 -0.00862
XAUTUSD 0.005590.01390 -0.00832

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.