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Daily network digest

Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.55× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.081
Clustering
0.296
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03075 6.55× 55.2% 10.4% BOBAUSD, GYENUSD, RLCUSD, SUKUUSD, ACHUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.02696 5.74× 55.2% 22.6% GTCUSD, LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, WBTCUSD, MAGICUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.02336 4.98× 36.8% 6.6% TRXUSD, XRDUSD, LCXUSD, MATICUSD, SGBUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.01916 4.08× 35.4% 11.8% RLCUSD, WBTCUSD, ACHUSD, BTCAUD, GYENUSD
LCXUSD 5 0.01714 3.65× 26.9% 11.3% TRACUSD, GTCUSD, BOBAUSD, UOSUSD, USTUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01701 3.62× 28.3% 8.0% TRXUSD, 1INCHUSD, SRMUSD, OCEANUSD, DIAUSD
VELOUSD 7 0.01534 3.27× 34.0% 9.4% SGBUSD, BATUSD, HNTUSD, TRBUSD, XRDUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01506 3.21× 27.8% 26.4% IMXUSD, DASHUSD, DOTUSD, DSHUSD, PERPUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01492 3.18× 26.4% 11.3% ORNUSD, TIAUSD, BONDUSD, ASMUSD, RUNEUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.01452 3.09× 25.0% 8.0% ALCXUSD, XRPUSD, RNDRUSD, AXSUSD, INJUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-03-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.030750.00445 +0.02630
HNTUSD 0.023360.00484 +0.01852
XAUTUSD 0.019160.00533 +0.01383
LCXUSD 0.017140.00703 +0.01012
VELOUSD 0.015340.00547 +0.00987

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.010610.02964 -0.01903
REPUSD 0.007210.02252 -0.01531
XMRUSD 0.007370.02138 -0.01401
LTCBTC 0.017010.02773 -0.01072
TRACUSD 0.006780.01658 -0.00980

Foreign exchange

CHFPKR was the most central name, carrying 10.49× the influence of an average node across 682 pairs.

pairs
682
Density
0.036
Clustering
0.359
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CHFPKR 1 0.01538 10.49× 17.9% 5.9% XAGZAR, GBPBRL, BRLPEN, XAUARS, KRWBRL
USDETB 2 0.01462 9.97× 9.5% 4.7% MXNPEN, CLPMXN, USDPGK, MXNCLP, IDRZAR
TWDSEK 3 0.01422 9.70× 23.9% 17.0% ZMWZAR, ZARMXN, BRLCOP, LKRZAR, XAURUB
AUDSEK 4 0.01134 7.74× 17.3% 4.4% NOKSEK, XAGMXN, XPFGBP, ZMWZAR, ZARMXN
RUBUSD 5 0.00878 5.99× 10.7% 4.7% RUBEUR, EURRUB, ILSAED, EURPKR, USDPKR
BRLPEN 6 0.00698 4.76× 17.0% 11.7% HUFCAD, CZKCAD, ZARAED, ZARUSD, ZAREGP
SGDJPY 7 0.00671 4.57× 25.0% 8.8% XAUBRL, NOKZAR, PHPJPY, BRLPEN, USDBRL
XAGMXN 8 0.00650 4.43× 19.7% 8.4% JPYMXN, PENMXN, MXNJPY, AUDMXN, MXNPLN
GBPBRL 9 0.00627 4.28× 16.0% 10.9% ZMWZAR, HUFCAD, CZKCAD, ZARAED, KRWSEK
BRLCOP 10 0.00606 4.13× 14.8% 11.7% HUFCAD, ZARAED, CZKCAD, HUFUSD, DKKRUB

Rising influence vs 2025-03-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CHFPKR 0.015380.00287 +0.01252
TWDSEK 0.014220.00566 +0.00856
USDETB 0.014620.00632 +0.00830
AUDSEK 0.011340.00377 +0.00758
EURKZT 0.005680.00027 +0.00542

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DKKRUB 0.002330.00846 -0.00614
AUDBRL 0.001550.00756 -0.00601
JPYTHB 0.001720.00676 -0.00504
XAUBRL 0.002400.00735 -0.00495
PENBRL 0.001030.00503 -0.00400

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.