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Daily network digest

Friday, March 21, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

JSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 11.55× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.088
Clustering
0.322
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
JSTUSD 1 0.05370 11.55× 79.4% 4.2% XRDUSD, GNOUSD, LTCEUR, XRPUSD, LTCUSD
GYENUSD 2 0.02971 6.39× 61.2% 30.8% LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, SEIEUR, REQUSD, LRCUSD
BTCJPY 3 0.02635 5.67× 46.7% 34.6% LTCUSD, ICPUSD, QNTUSD, BTTUSD, ETHAUD
TSDUSD 4 0.01690 3.63× 53.3% 19.6% LINKUSD, OXTUSD, CGLDUSD, BONDUSD, BNTUSD
REPUSD 5 0.01680 3.61× 27.6% 15.4% BTRSTUSD, FXUSD, API3USD, RENUSD, PERPUSD
GNOUSD 6 0.01540 3.31× 17.8% 14.0% BCHGBP, XMRUSD, LTCAUD, BCHUSD, DNTUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.01500 3.22× 24.8% 22.4% RARIEUR, RARIUSD, BTCAUD, ETHUSD, JSTUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.01451 3.12× 9.8% 6.5% FXUSD, ACHUSD, JSTUSD, ETHAUD, XMRUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.01445 3.11× 28.5% 11.7% REPUSD, SOLUSD, TUSD, MASKUSD, GYENUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01407 3.02× 30.4% 3.7% SOLUSD, TRXUSD, XRDUSD, GYENUSD, JSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-03-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.026350.00449 +0.02186
GYENUSD 0.029710.01035 +0.01936
TSDUSD 0.016900.00225 +0.01466
XDCUSD 0.014450.00331 +0.01114
GNOUSD 0.015400.00486 +0.01054

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.013100.03898 -0.02587
ETHBTC 0.004970.02083 -0.01586
BTRSTUSD 0.007230.02259 -0.01535
LCXUSD 0.003360.01479 -0.01143
BONDUSD 0.005490.01412 -0.00863

Foreign exchange

USDETB was the most central name, carrying 11.42× the influence of an average node across 685 pairs.

pairs
685
Density
0.030
Clustering
0.334
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDETB 1 0.01668 11.42× 9.9% 3.9% MXNPEN, IDRZAR, USDPGK, CLPMXN, MXNCLP
CHFPKR 2 0.01657 11.35× 16.7% 3.2% BRLPEN, GBPBRL, KRWMYR, KRWBRL, BRLUSD
TWDSEK 3 0.01445 9.90× 20.5% 15.6% ZMWZAR, ZARMXN, LKRZAR, BRLCOP, ZARNOK
AUDSEK 4 0.01271 8.71× 15.1% 3.7% NOKSEK, XPFGBP, ZMWZAR, ZARMXN, USDCNH
RUBUSD 5 0.01020 6.99× 11.5% 4.7% RUBEUR, EURRUB, RUBDKK, SEKRUB, ILSUSD
XAUCNY 6 0.01000 6.85× 3.7% 1.2% CHFRUB, RUBCHF, NZDIDR, AUDIDR, MURGBP
BRLPEN 7 0.00809 5.54× 16.1% 10.7% HUFCAD, CZKCAD, ZARAED, HUFUSD, ZARUSD
EURCOP 8 0.00803 5.50× 4.2% 0.9% COPARS, GHSEUR, EURGHS, SZLEUR, EURSZL
SGDJPY 9 0.00727 4.98× 23.5% 6.6% NOKZAR, PHPJPY, BRLCOP, USDBRL, BRLPEN
GBPBRL 10 0.00694 4.76× 14.3% 9.8% HUFCAD, CZKCAD, ZARAED, ZMWZAR, KRWSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-03-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CHFPKR 0.016570.00408 +0.01249
USDETB 0.016680.00654 +0.01013
AUDSEK 0.012710.00394 +0.00878
XAUCNY 0.010000.00146 +0.00855
TWDSEK 0.014450.00637 +0.00808

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDBRL 0.000520.00778 -0.00726
EURCRC 0.000250.00715 -0.00690
EURLRD 0.000460.00734 -0.00688
JPYRUB 0.001410.00778 -0.00637
JPYTHB 0.002210.00827 -0.00606

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.