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Daily network digest

Monday, March 10, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

JSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.30× the influence of an average node across 216 assets.

assets
216
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.322
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
JSTUSD 1 0.02916 6.30× 49.8% 3.7% LTCBTC, TIAUSD, ZENUSD, BTCJPY, TRACUSD
LTCBTC 2 0.02646 5.72× 34.4% 22.3% TRBUSD, TRACUSD, BTCAUD, UOSUSD, JSTUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.02458 5.31× 44.7% 10.2% TUSD, XMRUSD, KRLUSD, DIAUSD, XRDUSD
REPUSD 4 0.02204 4.76× 34.4% 20.5% ABTUSD, VETUSD, CROUSD, FOXUSD, RLCUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.02178 4.70× 49.8% 28.8% C98USD, RARIUSD, CTSIUSD, PYRUSD, API3USD
KRLUSD 6 0.01984 4.29× 43.3% 5.1% TRXUSD, LTCBTC, XRPBTC, KSMUSD, TIAUSD
XMRUSD 7 0.01940 4.19× 35.3% 20.0% ETCUSD, AKTEUR, BCHGBP, GTCUSD, JUPUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.01744 3.77× 40.0% 10.2% REPUSD, TUSD, FXUSD, METISUSD, XRPUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01718 3.71× 22.8% 15.3% ALCXUSD, ABTUSD, LCXUSD, JSTUSD, BADGERUSD
XAUTUSD 10 0.01582 3.42× 40.5% 38.1% CTSIUSD, C98USD, RARIUSD, API3USD, PYRUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-03-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.026460.01057 +0.01589
PNKUSD 0.017440.00436 +0.01308
XMRUSD 0.019400.00814 +0.01126
XYOUSD 0.013970.00359 +0.01038
XRPBTC 0.024580.01461 +0.00997

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JSTUSD 0.029160.05873 -0.02957
BTCJPY 0.008640.02655 -0.01791
GYENUSD 0.013770.03053 -0.01676
GNOUSD 0.002760.01748 -0.01472
TSDUSD 0.002130.01628 -0.01415

Foreign exchange

EURCRC was the most central name, carrying 10.26× the influence of an average node across 697 pairs.

pairs
697
Density
0.023
Clustering
0.359
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EURCRC 1 0.01472 10.26× 3.6% 0.1% EURCLP
EURCLP 2 0.01300 9.06× 0.1% 0.1% IDRCNY
IDRCNY 3 0.01144 7.98× 0.3% 0.1% EURCRC
USDETB 4 0.01003 6.99× 8.6% 7.2% MXNCLP, MXNPEN, CLPMXN, MXNCOP, USDPGK
COPUSD 5 0.00852 5.94× 13.9% 3.4% GBPILS, ZAREGP, ZMWZAR, EGPZAR, CHFILS
ZARMXN 6 0.00790 5.51× 17.2% 6.0% COPUSD, ZARNOK, ZARDKK, JPYNOK, TWDSEK
COPMXN 7 0.00741 5.17× 10.5% 1.9% COPUSD, ZARMXN, USDCNH, JPYTHB, THBUSD
JPYTHB 8 0.00733 5.11× 15.1% 3.0% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
DKKRUB 9 0.00681 4.75× 8.3% 10.6% SEKAUD, TZSZAR, ILSSEK, CNYZAR, USDNOK
PENBRL 10 0.00666 4.64× 11.5% 8.3% CLPBRL, BRLRSD, GBPAMD, RUBPLN, RUBSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-03-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURCRC 0.014720.00094 +0.01378
EURCLP 0.013000.00037 +0.01263
IDRCNY 0.011440.00100 +0.01044
USDETB 0.010030.00081 +0.00921
PENBRL 0.006660.00050 +0.00615

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LKRZAR 0.002140.01040 -0.00825
SGDJPY 0.004600.01152 -0.00692
SGDZAR 0.003290.00909 -0.00580
USDGHS 0.001420.00647 -0.00506
ZARUSD 0.001570.00632 -0.00475

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.