catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Friday, March 7, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.00× the influence of an average node across 216 assets.

assets
216
Density
0.090
Clustering
0.324
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.02777 6.00× 37.7% 16.3% TRACUSD, BTCAUD, TRXUSD, TRBUSD, FOXUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02624 5.67× 48.4% 10.2% XMRUSD, DIAUSD, WBTCUSD, FOXUSD, TIAUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02390 5.16× 40.5% 19.5% ABTUSD, RLCUSD, FOXUSD, VETUSD, UMAUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02121 4.58× 45.1% 33.5% C98USD, CTSIUSD, RARIUSD, ALPHAUSD, PYRUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.02106 4.55× 40.9% 6.5% TRXUSD, LTCBTC, TIAUSD, XRPBTC, KSMUSD
XMRUSD 6 0.01953 4.22× 33.5% 21.9% JUPUSD, ETCUSD, MASKUSD, MDTUSD, AKTEUR
PNKUSD 7 0.01727 3.73× 37.7% 7.9% LTCBTC, REPUSD, TUSD, FXUSD, XRPUSD
XAUTUSD 8 0.01696 3.66× 43.7% 38.1% C98USD, CTSIUSD, RARIUSD, API3USD, PYRUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01591 3.44× 20.9% 14.9% ALCXUSD, ABTUSD, LCXUSD, BADGERUSD, FOXUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01504 3.25× 35.8% 22.8% BTCAUD, XMRUSD, ELAUSD, TRXUSD, SRMUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-03-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.027770.01063 +0.01715
XRPBTC 0.026240.01238 +0.01386
PNKUSD 0.017270.00436 +0.01292
XMRUSD 0.019530.00785 +0.01167
REPUSD 0.023900.01274 +0.01116

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.014340.03666 -0.02232
BTCJPY 0.007080.02505 -0.01797
TSDUSD 0.002200.01731 -0.01511
HNTUSD 0.005100.01455 -0.00944
XDCUSD 0.004880.01386 -0.00898

Foreign exchange

SGDJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.34× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.026
Clustering
0.356
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SGDJPY 1 0.01152 7.34× 22.5% 5.5% NOKZAR, DKKRUB, NZDMXN, NZDJPY, MXNSGD
LKRZAR 2 0.01040 6.62× 11.6% 3.0% NZDUSD, CADTHB, GBPCAD, JPYTHB, ZARSEK
CNYZAR 3 0.00947 6.03× 12.4% 3.5% NZDUSD, CADTHB, COPMXN, CZKMXN, SEKNOK
SGDZAR 4 0.00909 5.79× 11.2% 3.6% ZARSEK, CADTHB, NZDUSD, CNYSGD, ZARNOK
COPMXN 5 0.00774 4.93× 10.4% 9.6% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, NZDMXN, ZARPHP, CHFMXN
EURGBP 6 0.00742 4.73× 6.9% 3.0% DKKRUB, ZARNZD, ZARPHP, NOKZAR, ZARSGD
ZARHKD 7 0.00676 4.31× 15.7% 3.6% LKRZAR, USDZAR, COPMXN, EURGBP, TRYZAR
USDGHS 8 0.00647 4.12× 3.1% 1.3% USDTZS, JODILS, GBPLRD, LRDGBP, KRWTHB
RUBDKK 9 0.00645 4.11× 5.3% 10.4% CLPBRL, GBPAMD, EURRUB, USDTJS, USDKZT
ZARUSD 10 0.00632 4.03× 15.6% 4.9% LKRZAR, CNYZAR, TRYZAR, EURGBP, OMRZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-03-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LKRZAR 0.010400.00213 +0.00827
SGDJPY 0.011520.00530 +0.00622
SGDZAR 0.009090.00368 +0.00541
USDGHS 0.006470.00158 +0.00490
JODILS 0.006010.00149 +0.00452

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCLP 0.001770.00762 -0.00585
MXNBRL 0.001150.00642 -0.00527
XAUMXN 0.001290.00618 -0.00489
COPUSD 0.004830.00947 -0.00464
ZARMXN 0.004570.00900 -0.00443

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.