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Daily network digest

Friday, February 28, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.43× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.080
Clustering
0.314
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.03941 8.43× 59.6% 31.5% LCXUSD, BOBAUSD, SEIEUR, REQUSD, VELOUSD
BTCJPY 2 0.02450 5.24× 33.3% 31.5% BTTUSD, ICPUSD, ETHAUD, HIGHUSD, LTCUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02061 4.41× 36.2% 27.7% ETHUSD, ALPHAUSD, XLMUSD, BNTUSD, MIRUSD
HNTUSD 4 0.01958 4.19× 31.0% 13.6% BADGERUSD, MLNUSD, AUCTIONUSD, SUKUUSD, RUNEUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.01675 3.58× 32.9% 43.2% CGLDUSD, ALGOUSD, BNTUSD, LRCUSD, CRVUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01440 3.08× 24.4% 9.9% CVCUSD, TUSD, REPUSD, GYENUSD, MASKUSD
REPUSD 7 0.01423 3.04× 16.4% 13.6% BTRSTUSD, RENUSD, NCTUSD, STRKUSD, PERPUSD
PAXGUSD 8 0.01390 2.97× 23.5% 6.1% REPUSD, CVXUSD, ABTUSD, ETHUSD, GYENUSD
XRPBTC 9 0.01340 2.87× 24.4% 16.9% GYENUSD, AUCTIONUSD, MKRUSD, FXUSD, CLVUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01328 2.84× 25.4% 7.0% TRXUSD, XAUTUSD, HNTUSD, GYENUSD, SOLUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.039410.01209 +0.02732
BTCJPY 0.024500.00661 +0.01789
TSDUSD 0.016750.00499 +0.01176
XDCUSD 0.014400.00312 +0.01128
CROUSD 0.008100.00189 +0.00621

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ETHBTC 0.005260.02935 -0.02409
PAXGUSD 0.013900.03319 -0.01929
BTRSTUSD 0.009540.02828 -0.01874
LCXUSD 0.005490.01602 -0.01053
VELOUSD 0.004400.01159 -0.00720

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 9.74× the influence of an average node across 553 pairs.

pairs
553
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.363
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.01762 9.74× 3.3% 0.9% BRLJPY, JPYBRL, BRLCHF, ZARTRY, BRLMXN
SGDJPY 2 0.00984 5.44× 27.5% 8.9% NOKZAR, DKKRUB, USDNOK, NZDMXN, AUDMXN
LKRZAR 3 0.00955 5.28× 15.6% 5.1% XAGARS, NZDUSD, CADTHB, GBPCAD, XAGTRY
CNYZAR 4 0.00899 4.97× 17.2% 5.6% NZDUSD, CADTHB, XAGARS, COPMXN, AUDMXN
BRLJPY 5 0.00853 4.72× 1.3% 3.3% CADRUB, INRMYR, MYRTWD, CHFTWD, BRLEUR
SGDZAR 6 0.00833 4.61× 14.7% 6.7% XAGMXN, XAGJPY, ZARSEK, CADTHB, XAGSAR
RUBDKK 7 0.00826 4.57× 3.4% 1.3% CHFBRL, ILSPLN, KRWTHB, ILSJOD, ILSAED
ZARHKD 8 0.00733 4.05× 20.7% 5.3% LKRZAR, USDZAR, EURGBP, COPMXN, SGDZAR
CHFBRL 9 0.00694 3.84× 2.7% 3.3% RUBUSD, RUBNOK, SEKRUB, ILSEUR, RUBDKK
ZARUSD 10 0.00664 3.67× 21.2% 7.6% LKRZAR, XAUARS, CNYZAR, EURGBP, OMRZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-02-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.017620.00452 +0.01309
LKRZAR 0.009550.00185 +0.00771
BRLJPY 0.008530.00237 +0.00616
SGDZAR 0.008330.00254 +0.00579
ZARHKD 0.007330.00180 +0.00553

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWUSD 0.001200.00767 -0.00647
USDZMW 0.002230.00719 -0.00497
BRLRSD 0.001080.00568 -0.00459
ZAREGP 0.002770.00719 -0.00442
KRWMYR 0.000590.00488 -0.00429

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.