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Daily network digest

Friday, February 21, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.96× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.082
Clustering
0.306
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03253 6.96× 53.5% 14.1% AVAXUSD, ACHUSD, BOBAUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.02875 6.15× 47.9% 16.0% AXSUSD, TRACUSD, ALCXUSD, KRLUSD, XRPUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02868 6.14× 47.9% 13.1% ACHUSD, MKRUSD, GHSTUSD, SOLUSD, BTCEUR
KRLUSD 4 0.02739 5.86× 41.8% 7.5% TRXUSD, PAXUSD, LTCBTC, BADGERUSD, TIAUSD
HNTUSD 5 0.02001 4.28× 38.0% 10.3% TRXUSD, KRLUSD, XRDUSD, MATICUSD, LCXUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.01752 3.75× 43.2% 17.8% DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, GTCUSD, FXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01625 3.48× 31.5% 8.5% PAXGUSD, TRXUSD, XAUTUSD, GNOUSD, SOLUSD
LCXUSD 8 0.01583 3.39× 23.9% 10.8% BTCJPY, HNTUSD, MKRUSD, BTCGBP, ORCAUSD
BONDUSD 9 0.01455 3.11× 31.0% 18.8% IMXUSD, HBARUSD, ALCXUSD, AUCTIONUSD, CHREUR
TRXUSD 10 0.01418 3.03× 10.3% 36.2% EGLDUSD, CHRUSD, BADGERUSD, LCXUSD, NKNUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.028750.00735 +0.02140
HNTUSD 0.020010.00676 +0.01324
LCXUSD 0.015830.00691 +0.00892
XAUTUSD 0.028680.01992 +0.00876
KRLUSD 0.027390.02024 +0.00715

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.010530.03412 -0.02359
XMRUSD 0.003600.02221 -0.01861
XRPBTC 0.008790.02369 -0.01490
XYOUSD 0.004380.01502 -0.01064
PNKUSD 0.010720.01821 -0.00749

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 9.65× the influence of an average node across 550 pairs.

pairs
550
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.366
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.01755 9.65× 3.1% 0.5% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLCHF
SGDJPY 2 0.01004 5.52× 27.7% 9.5% NOKZAR, MXNSGD, DKKRUB, EURSEK, PENMXN
LKRZAR 3 0.00947 5.21× 16.2% 4.7% CADTHB, XAGARS, NZDUSD, GBPCAD, XAGINR
XAGMXN 4 0.00895 4.93× 21.9% 10.6% JPYMXN, MXNJPY, PENMXN, USDSEK, AUDMXN
SGDZAR 5 0.00831 4.57× 14.9% 6.6% XAGMXN, XAGJPY, ZARSEK, CADTHB, XAGGBP
CNYZAR 6 0.00828 4.55× 17.3% 5.8% NZDUSD, CADTHB, MXNAUD, XAGARS, ZARNGN
RUBDKK 7 0.00814 4.48× 3.8% 1.5% CHFBRL, CADBRL, KRWTHB, ILSPLN, EURBRL
BRLJPY 8 0.00755 4.15× 1.3% 2.7% CADRUB, BRLEUR, CADMYR, HKDMYR, MYRTWD
ZARHKD 9 0.00750 4.12× 20.6% 6.0% LKRZAR, EURGBP, COPMXN, SGDZAR, USDZAR
COPMXN 10 0.00695 3.82× 14.8% 13.3% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGJPY, XAGAUD, NZDMXN

Rising influence vs 2025-02-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.017550.00469 +0.01286
XAGMXN 0.008950.00150 +0.00745
LKRZAR 0.009470.00204 +0.00743
SGDZAR 0.008310.00242 +0.00589
ZARHKD 0.007500.00174 +0.00576

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURUZS 0.000320.00914 -0.00883
RUBJPY 0.000640.00624 -0.00560
BRLCLP 0.000630.00559 -0.00496
BRLRSD 0.001080.00585 -0.00477
ZAREGP 0.002610.00703 -0.00442

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.