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Daily network digest

Friday, February 14, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.87× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.341
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03225 6.87× 58.0% 10.4% KRLUSD, XRDUSD, SRMUSD, DIAUSD, FOXUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02942 6.27× 60.8% 29.7% CTSIUSD, IMXUSD, TIAUSD, C98USD, API3USD
REPUSD 3 0.02826 6.02× 47.6% 17.0% XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, VETUSD, FXUSD, CVCUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02313 4.93× 52.8% 31.6% IMXUSD, BNTUSD, API3USD, HNTUSD, C98USD
KRLUSD 5 0.02232 4.76× 43.4% 7.5% TRXUSD, LTCBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, PERPUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.02230 4.75× 35.4% 14.6% PRIMEUSD, FOXUSD, TRBUSD, ELAUSD, TRXUSD
XMRUSD 7 0.01865 3.97× 36.8% 21.2% FARMUSD, AAVEUSD, SANDUSD, AKTEUR, JUPUSD
GYENUSD 8 0.01741 3.71× 37.7% 30.7% PNKUSD, GRTUSD, ETHUSD, ETHAUD, ENJUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01632 3.48× 25.0% 16.5% ALCXUSD, BADGERUSD, ABTUSD, FOXUSD, LCXUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01595 3.40× 37.7% 11.8% REPUSD, LTCBTC, FXUSD, XRPUSD, XRPAUD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.028260.00732 +0.02094
XRPBTC 0.032250.01513 +0.01712
LTCBTC 0.022300.00735 +0.01495
KRLUSD 0.022320.00990 +0.01243
PNKUSD 0.015950.00389 +0.01207

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.003950.02441 -0.02046
GYENUSD 0.017410.03371 -0.01630
TSDUSD 0.001780.01462 -0.01284
HNTUSD 0.007150.01668 -0.00953
JTOUSD 0.001810.01008 -0.00827

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 10.27× the influence of an average node across 554 pairs.

pairs
554
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.371
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.01853 10.27× 3.3% 0.7% BRLJPY, JPYBRL, BRLCHF, BRLARS
SGDJPY 2 0.01016 5.63× 27.8% 8.1% DKKRUB, NOKZAR, AUDMXN, PENMXN, NZDJPY
LKRZAR 3 0.01007 5.58× 17.2% 4.2% CADTHB, GBPCAD, NZDUSD, XAGINR, XAGARS
SGDZAR 4 0.00860 4.77× 14.8% 7.6% XAGMXN, CADTHB, ZARSEK, XAGJPY, XAGGBP
CNYZAR 5 0.00853 4.72× 17.4% 5.4% NZDUSD, CADTHB, AUDMXN, MXNAUD, ZARNGN
XAGMXN 6 0.00812 4.50× 18.3% 9.9% JPYMXN, PENMXN, MXNJPY, USDSEK, MXNPLN
ZARHKD 7 0.00778 4.31× 20.8% 4.7% LKRZAR, EURGBP, USDZAR, COPMXN, DKKRUB
BRLJPY 8 0.00744 4.12× 1.4% 2.9% CADRUB, BRLEUR, CADMYR, TWDMYR, HKDMYR
RUBDKK 9 0.00738 4.09× 4.0% 2.0% CHFBRL, KRWTHB, ILSAED, CADBRL, ILSPLN
ZARUSD 10 0.00680 3.77× 21.7% 7.1% LKRZAR, XAUARS, EURGBP, AEDZAR, OMRZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-02-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.018530.00431 +0.01422
LKRZAR 0.010070.00201 +0.00807
XAGMXN 0.008120.00158 +0.00655
ZARHKD 0.007780.00176 +0.00602
SGDZAR 0.008600.00278 +0.00582

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLRSD 0.001130.00646 -0.00533
BRLCLP 0.000630.00566 -0.00503
ZMWUSD 0.001340.00606 -0.00472
RUBEUR 0.001520.00594 -0.00442
ZAREGP 0.002780.00713 -0.00435

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.