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Daily network digest

Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.79× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.320
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03190 6.79× 52.4% 12.7% AVAXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, MKRUSD, OXTUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02740 5.84× 46.7% 14.6% ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, MKRUSD, AERGOUSD, BTCEUR
BTRSTUSD 3 0.02469 5.26× 46.7% 17.9% AXSUSD, TRACUSD, KRLUSD, GNOUSD, XRPUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02439 5.20× 40.6% 9.0% TRXUSD, PAXUSD, HIGHUSD, TRACUSD, BANDUSD
ETHBTC 5 0.02183 4.65× 50.9% 20.3% DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, XDCUSD, QNTUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.02102 4.48× 40.6% 11.8% TRXUSD, MATICUSD, KRLUSD, YFIUSD, AERGOUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01648 3.51× 34.9% 5.2% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD, GNOUSD, HBARUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01457 3.10× 28.3% 15.1% IMXUSD, HBARUSD, CHREUR, ALCXUSD, ICXUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01396 2.97× 11.3% 25.0% LCXUSD, PYTHUSD, ENJUSD, HIGHUSD, EGLDUSD
LCXUSD 10 0.01387 2.95× 21.7% 15.6% BTCJPY, BTCGBP, ORCAUSD, MKRUSD, AUCTIONUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.024690.00688 +0.01781
HNTUSD 0.021020.00643 +0.01459
ETHBTC 0.021830.01017 +0.01165
LCXUSD 0.013870.00528 +0.00858
CHRUSD 0.009570.00168 +0.00788

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.008630.03179 -0.02316
REPUSD 0.012080.03221 -0.02012
XMRUSD 0.003690.01870 -0.01501
XYOUSD 0.003550.01267 -0.00911
PNKUSD 0.009140.01735 -0.00821

Foreign exchange

RUBPLN was the most central name, carrying 4.87× the influence of an average node across 566 pairs.

pairs
566
Density
0.033
Clustering
0.365
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBPLN 1 0.00860 4.87× 3.5% 3.9% MXNBRL, PLNILS, ILSEUR, AUDBRL, HKDBRL
ARSBRL 2 0.00758 4.29× 4.4% 3.4% KZTUSD, GBPKZT, USDKZT, GBPSZL, KZTGBP
RUBUSD 3 0.00724 4.10× 5.3% 1.8% RUBPLN, MXNBRL, PLNILS, EURILS, JODILS
RUBCHF 4 0.00701 3.97× 3.7% 2.1% KRWEUR, BRLCHF, GBPBRL, BRLCLP, BRLMXN
DKKRUB 5 0.00697 3.94× 6.2% 7.1% ILSSEK, XAUGBP, HUFZAR, TWDSEK, ZARMXN
CHFRUB 6 0.00684 3.87× 3.7% 2.8% GBPBRL, KRWEUR, BRLCHF, BRLCLP, BRLMXN
NGNUSD 7 0.00675 3.82× 6.5% 4.2% USDZMW, SCRGBP, ZMWUSD, USDMAD, USDALL
COPCLP 8 0.00667 3.78× 6.4% 2.5% NGNUSD, ZMWUSD, LRDGBP, EURRUB, USDIQD
USDALL 9 0.00653 3.70× 4.4% 1.8% AMDGBP, TZSUSD, GBPAMD, EURBHD, CLPMXN
PLNILS 10 0.00647 3.66× 5.1% 3.5% MXNBRL, BRLZAR, ZARBRL, ILSPLN, RUBDKK

Rising influence vs 2025-02-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.007580.00097 +0.00661
PLNILS 0.006470.00097 +0.00550
RUBCHF 0.007010.00175 +0.00527
CHFRUB 0.006840.00204 +0.00480
ARSMXN 0.005360.00069 +0.00468

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.002450.01804 -0.01559
BRLJPY 0.001360.00959 -0.00823
ZARHKD 0.000400.00817 -0.00777
SGDJPY 0.002300.00980 -0.00750
SGDZAR 0.001470.00813 -0.00666

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.