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Daily network digest

Monday, February 10, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.31× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.085
Clustering
0.323
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.03433 7.31× 54.7% 25.9% LCXUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, FOXUSD, REQUSD
BTCJPY 2 0.02342 4.99× 32.5% 34.0% LTCUSD, QNTUSD, CROUSD, HIGHUSD, ICPUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02181 4.65× 38.7% 16.0% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, UOSUSD, CVXUSD, REPUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.01823 3.88× 34.0% 31.6% ETHUSD, ALPHAUSD, CROUSD, ETHAUD, YFIUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01687 3.59× 25.9% 10.4% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, REPUSD, ORNUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01512 3.22× 25.9% 13.7% GYENUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XTZUSD, ASTUSD, NCTUSD
TSDUSD 7 0.01459 3.11× 29.7% 43.9% CGLDUSD, ALGOUSD, BNTUSD, FILUSD, QTUMUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01290 2.75× 25.0% 12.7% BTTUSD, PERPUSD, BADGERUSD, AUCTIONUSD, MLNUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01272 2.71× 25.5% 8.5% TRXUSD, XAUTUSD, UOSUSD, VELOUSD, GYENUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01185 2.52× 27.4% 21.2% BTCAUD, ASTUSD, MASKUSD, GTCUSD, OXYUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.034330.01136 +0.02297
BTCJPY 0.023420.00503 +0.01839
XDCUSD 0.016870.00556 +0.01131
TSDUSD 0.014590.00342 +0.01117
XRPAUD 0.010030.00366 +0.00637

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.006930.02347 -0.01654
ETHBTC 0.005280.01955 -0.01428
LCXUSD 0.003590.01572 -0.01213
KRLUSD 0.012720.02377 -0.01105
PAXGUSD 0.021810.03215 -0.01034

Foreign exchange

MXNBRL was the most central name, carrying 5.20× the influence of an average node across 595 pairs.

pairs
595
Density
0.030
Clustering
0.367
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MXNBRL 1 0.00874 5.20× 2.7% 1.7% BRLCAD, HKDBRL, CADBRL, BRLHKD, SGDBRL
ZAREGP 2 0.00848 5.05× 20.7% 5.7% ZMWZAR, CNYSGD, THBSGD, HUFCAD, SEKZAR
COPMXN 3 0.00827 4.92× 12.1% 2.9% COPUSD, ZARMXN, THBUSD, DKKRUB, CNYZAR
COPUSD 4 0.00780 4.64× 15.2% 4.2% GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZAREGP, CHFILS, ZMWZAR
ZARMXN 5 0.00776 4.62× 20.0% 7.2% COPUSD, ZARDKK, ZARNOK, NOKJPY, TWDSEK
COPBRL 6 0.00758 4.51× 5.4% 5.2% BRLRSD, BRLKRW, GBPSZL, PENCOP, GBPLSL
SEKUSD 7 0.00744 4.42× 18.0% 2.9% TWDCHF, GBPCRC, AUDNZD, CRCGBP, CHFJPY
EURUZS 8 0.00732 4.36× 1.0% 0.5% RUBJPY, JPYRUB, RUBGBP
CNYZAR 9 0.00691 4.11× 18.4% 5.1% NZDUSD, KYDCAD, THBSGD, CNYSGD, ZARNZD
JPYTHB 10 0.00688 4.10× 17.5% 4.2% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, AUDNZD, CHFJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-02-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNBRL 0.008740.00264 +0.00610
ZAREGP 0.008480.00280 +0.00568
CHFRUB 0.006850.00124 +0.00562
BRLRSD 0.006240.00097 +0.00527
RUBCHF 0.006520.00172 +0.00480

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.006440.01912 -0.01269
LKRZAR 0.002100.00956 -0.00747
XAGMXN 0.001120.00785 -0.00673
BRLJPY 0.003670.00974 -0.00607
ZARHKD 0.002130.00797 -0.00584

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.