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Daily network digest

Monday, January 20, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.01× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.320
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02385 5.01× 41.1% 29.7% PNKUSD, REQUSD, UNIUSD, DNTUSD, RARIUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02194 4.61× 38.8% 12.0% MKRUSD, BONDUSD, REPUSD, UOSUSD, ASTUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02100 4.41× 37.3% 21.5% MKRUSD, ETHUSD, ALPHAUSD, TRACUSD, CROUSD
BTCJPY 4 0.01887 3.96× 28.2% 34.4% LTCUSD, QNTUSD, CROUSD, LTCAUD, ICPUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01857 3.90× 34.0% 9.6% TUSD, STORJUSD, GYENUSD, ORNUSD, ABTUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.01811 3.80× 25.8% 18.7% DASHUSD, DSHUSD, BTCAUD, FLOWUSD, ARPAUSD
GNOUSD 7 0.01633 3.43× 24.9% 19.1% DNTUSD, AUCTIONUSD, BTTUSD, BCHGBP, RARIUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01443 3.03× 25.8% 13.4% AUCTIONUSD, MLNUSD, RUNEUSD, BADGERUSD, GNOUSD
AUCTIONUSD 9 0.01347 2.83× 24.4% 16.7% UOSUSD, CLVUSD, LTCUSD, BTCJPY, GYENUSD
XRPBTC 10 0.01260 2.65× 27.3% 16.3% XTZUSD, BTRSTUSD, FXUSD, XDCUSD, AUCTIONUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.023850.00593 +0.01793
BTCJPY 0.018870.00445 +0.01442
XDCUSD 0.018570.00504 +0.01353
TRXUSD 0.018110.00919 +0.00892
GNOUSD 0.016330.00900 +0.00732

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.012310.03806 -0.02575
KRLUSD 0.010760.02595 -0.01519
LTCBTC 0.008010.02309 -0.01508
ETHBTC 0.008640.01968 -0.01104
HNTUSD 0.014430.02542 -0.01099

Foreign exchange

EURUZS was the most central name, carrying 5.84× the influence of an average node across 584 pairs.

pairs
584
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.356
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EURUZS 1 0.00999 5.84× 1.0% 0.5% RUBJPY, JPYRUB, RUBGBP
ZAREGP 2 0.00904 5.28× 21.6% 5.8% ZMWZAR, THBSGD, CNYSGD, CNYCAD, HUFCAD
COPBRL 3 0.00900 5.26× 5.1% 5.7% BRLRSD, SEKRUB, BRLKRW, GBPKZT, GBPLSL
COPUSD 4 0.00869 5.07× 16.1% 4.1% GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZMWZAR, ZAREGP, ILSCHF
ZARMXN 5 0.00868 5.07× 21.8% 7.0% COPUSD, ZARDKK, NOKJPY, INRSEK, CNYZAR
COPMXN 6 0.00858 5.01× 12.3% 2.9% COPUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, THBUSD, SEKUSD
MXNBRL 7 0.00850 4.96× 2.7% 1.9% BRLCAD, CADBRL, HKDBRL, SGDBRL, BRLHKD
SEKUSD 8 0.00785 4.59× 18.4% 2.7% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, CHFJPY, GBPCRC, AUDNZD
CNYZAR 9 0.00766 4.47× 19.0% 6.2% NZDUSD, CNYSGD, THBSGD, KYDCAD, ZARNZD
JPYTHB 10 0.00726 4.24× 18.5% 4.3% TWDCHF, AUDNZD, CHFJPY, ZARBWP, BWPZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-01-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKUSD 0.007850.00044 +0.00741
BRLRSD 0.007250.00116 +0.00610
ZAREGP 0.009040.00330 +0.00574
MXNBRL 0.008500.00284 +0.00566
USDPGK 0.006070.00117 +0.00490

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRSGD 0.000340.01274 -0.01240
USDCOP 0.001840.01260 -0.01076
ZARHKD 0.001920.00900 -0.00708
IDRCHF 0.000520.00748 -0.00696
IDRHKD 0.000500.00743 -0.00693

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.