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Daily network digest

Monday, January 13, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.09× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.090
Clustering
0.333
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03852 8.09× 59.8% 14.8% MDTUSD, AXSUSD, HBARUSD, KRLUSD, DNTUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02575 5.41× 43.5% 6.7% TRXUSD, DYDXEUR, BANDUSD, PAXUSD, HIGHUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.02478 5.20× 46.4% 10.5% TRXUSD, YFIUSD, KRLUSD, XRDUSD, NEXOUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02430 5.10× 44.5% 13.9% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, ICXUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.02190 4.60× 42.1% 13.9% FXUSD, OXTUSD, ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, AVAXUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.02061 4.33× 48.8% 22.5% LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD, DIAUSD, DASHUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01787 3.75× 38.3% 7.7% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, DIAUSD, GNOUSD, YFIUSD
AUCTIONUSD 8 0.01547 3.25× 21.1% 12.9% KRLUSD, BTCJPY, ZECUSD, MIRUSD, METISUSD
REPUSD 9 0.01509 3.17× 26.8% 6.7% XAUTUSD, AUCTIONUSD, LTCBTC, BTCGBP, LPTUSD
BONDUSD 10 0.01409 2.96× 34.0% 17.7% HBARUSD, KRLUSD, AUCTIONUSD, IMXUSD, NEXOUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.038520.00733 +0.03120
HNTUSD 0.024780.00538 +0.01941
CHRUSD 0.011800.00126 +0.01054
ORCAUSD 0.012800.00317 +0.00963
ZENUSD 0.012050.00305 +0.00900

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.011910.03022 -0.01831
LTCBTC 0.017870.03475 -0.01688
XYOUSD 0.002270.01714 -0.01487
XMRUSD 0.006900.02099 -0.01409
REPUSD 0.015090.02660 -0.01151

Foreign exchange

ZAREGP was the most central name, carrying 5.86× the influence of an average node across 578 pairs.

pairs
578
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZAREGP 1 0.01015 5.86× 20.8% 5.5% ZMWZAR, CNYAUD, SEKZAR, CNYCAD, HKDSEK
COPMXN 2 0.00971 5.62× 13.5% 3.1% COPUSD, ZARMXN, DKKRUB, CNYZAR, THBUSD
COPUSD 3 0.00970 5.61× 17.0% 4.9% GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZMWZAR, PENCAD, ZAREGP
COPBRL 4 0.00943 5.45× 5.2% 5.2% BRLRSD, BRLKRW, SEKRUB, GBPKZT, GBPLSL
SEKUSD 5 0.00854 4.93× 18.5% 2.9% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, AUDNZD, GBPCRC, CHFJPY
JPYTHB 6 0.00814 4.71× 18.7% 4.2% TWDCHF, BWPZAR, ZARBWP, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
ZARMXN 7 0.00810 4.68× 18.7% 9.7% ZARDKK, CNYZAR, COPUSD, ZARNOK, ZMWZAR
DKKRUB 8 0.00808 4.67× 10.7% 4.0% CNYZAR, TZSZAR, USDNOK, TRYZAR, SEKCZK
EURUZS 9 0.00785 4.54× 0.9% 0.3% RUBJPY, JPYRUB
BRLRSD 10 0.00782 4.52× 5.9% 4.0% COPCAD, DKKCOP, COPDKK, NZDAED, GBPCOP

Rising influence vs 2025-01-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKUSD 0.008540.00041 +0.00813
ZAREGP 0.010150.00245 +0.00770
EURUZS 0.007850.00035 +0.00751
BRLRSD 0.007820.00131 +0.00651
JPYTHB 0.008140.00273 +0.00541

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRSGD 0.000330.01357 -0.01324
USDCOP 0.001720.01270 -0.01098
ZARHKD 0.000990.00813 -0.00714
IDRCHF 0.000510.00745 -0.00694
LKRZAR 0.001770.00831 -0.00654

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.