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Daily network digest

Friday, January 10, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.91× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.326
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03273 6.91× 56.7% 21.0% MDTUSD, HBARUSD, AXSUSD, RARIUSD, DOTUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02698 5.69× 45.2% 16.2% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, SOLUSD, OXTUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02504 5.28× 44.3% 13.8% FXUSD, OXTUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, NEXOUSD
HNTUSD 4 0.02418 5.10× 41.0% 12.9% XRDUSD, TRXUSD, KRLUSD, YFIUSD, MATICUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.02379 5.02× 42.4% 6.2% TRXUSD, DYDXEUR, BANDUSD, PAXUSD, HIGHUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.02030 4.28× 46.7% 19.0% LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, DIAUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01684 3.55× 35.2% 7.1% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, YFIUSD, MAGICUSD, DIAUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01549 3.27× 26.7% 6.7% AUCTIONUSD, XAUTUSD, BTCGBP, FXUSD, LTCBTC
AUCTIONUSD 9 0.01427 3.01× 19.5% 11.0% BTCJPY, KRLUSD, ZECUSD, METISUSD, MIRUSD
ORCAUSD 10 0.01385 2.92× 26.7% 7.1% AERGOUSD, AUCTIONUSD, FISUSD, USTUSD, XDCUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.032730.00764 +0.02509
HNTUSD 0.024180.00527 +0.01891
CHRUSD 0.012150.00123 +0.01092
ORCAUSD 0.013850.00343 +0.01042
ZENUSD 0.011600.00229 +0.00931

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.012850.03339 -0.02053
LTCBTC 0.016840.03269 -0.01585
XYOUSD 0.002340.01514 -0.01280
REPUSD 0.015490.02777 -0.01227
XMRUSD 0.006640.01698 -0.01034

Foreign exchange

IDRSGD was the most central name, carrying 7.46× the influence of an average node across 550 pairs.

pairs
550
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.357
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
IDRSGD 1 0.01357 7.46× 1.1% 0.5% IDRCHF, IDRHKD, CLPARS
USDCOP 2 0.01270 6.99× 2.6% 0.9% ZARTWD, ZARINR, ARSMXN, BRLCOP, USDCLP
SGDJPY 3 0.01181 6.50× 28.1% 9.1% NOKZAR, DKKRUB, NZDMXN, USDNOK, MXNSGD
CNYZAR 4 0.00946 5.20× 17.3% 6.4% CADTHB, NZDUSD, MXNAUD, COPMXN, SEKNOK
COPBRL 5 0.00942 5.18× 4.9% 2.7% RUBDKK, ZARCNY, RUBNOK, SEKRUB, RUBSEK
SGDZAR 6 0.00850 4.68× 12.2% 5.8% ZARSEK, XAGJPY, XAGMXN, CADTHB, ZARNOK
LKRZAR 7 0.00831 4.57× 14.8% 5.1% XAGJPY, CADTHB, JPYHKD, COPMXN, NZDUSD
COPMXN 8 0.00827 4.55× 14.4% 13.7% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, ZARPHP, NZDMXN, XAGAUD
ZARHKD 9 0.00813 4.47× 20.0% 3.8% COPMXN, EURGBP, DKKRUB, USDZAR, CHFJPY
EURGBP 10 0.00789 4.34× 8.2% 4.7% DKKRUB, ZARNZD, ZARGBP, XAUMXN, ZARPHP

Rising influence vs 2025-01-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRSGD 0.013570.00032 +0.01325
USDCOP 0.012700.00206 +0.01065
ZARHKD 0.008130.00095 +0.00718
LKRZAR 0.008310.00129 +0.00702
SGDJPY 0.011810.00506 +0.00675

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLRSD 0.001310.00836 -0.00705
SEKUSD 0.000410.00605 -0.00564
KRWMYR 0.000540.00591 -0.00537
ZAREGP 0.002450.00756 -0.00512
EURRUB 0.001730.00652 -0.00479

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.