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Daily network digest

Monday, January 6, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.82× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.100
Clustering
0.353
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.03250 6.82× 50.7% 13.9% ELAUSD, DIAUSD, XLMUSD, DARUSD, AERGOUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.03035 6.37× 64.6% 10.0% TRBUSD, KRLUSD, TRACUSD, XRDUSD, MAGICUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02894 6.08× 58.9% 21.5% VETUSD, XAUTUSD, QTUMUSD, PAXGUSD, ASTUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02392 5.02× 56.0% 28.7% CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, HIGHUSD, IMXUSD, GTCUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.02307 4.84× 47.8% 4.8% LTCBTC, USTUSD, ETHBTC, TRXUSD, XAUTUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.02093 4.40× 35.9% 15.3% DOGEUSD, KEEPUSD, ABTUSD, BADGERUSD, ICPUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.02070 4.35× 52.2% 31.6% CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, BNTUSD, IMXUSD, API3USD
PNKUSD 8 0.01909 4.01× 43.5% 11.0% REPUSD, LTCBTC, MATICUSD, FXUSD, ETCUSD
XMRUSD 9 0.01859 3.90× 35.4% 21.5% ALGOUSD, PYRUSD, BTCJPY, SANDUSD, FARMUSD
ETHBTC 10 0.01571 3.30× 35.9% 13.9% DSHUSD, LTCUSD, XRPBTC, DASHUSD, CVCUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.032500.00869 +0.02381
REPUSD 0.028940.00985 +0.01909
XRPBTC 0.030350.01736 +0.01299
PNKUSD 0.019090.00767 +0.01142
XYOUSD 0.015180.00449 +0.01070

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.004530.01949 -0.01496
GYENUSD 0.014790.02841 -0.01362
BTCJPY 0.004250.01743 -0.01318
XDCUSD 0.010020.02187 -0.01185
GNOUSD 0.003450.01336 -0.00991

Foreign exchange

COPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.58× the influence of an average node across 572 pairs.

pairs
572
Density
0.032
Clustering
0.357
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPUSD 1 0.00976 5.58× 17.2% 5.3% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZAREGP, ZARDKK, GBPCAD
ZAREGP 2 0.00967 5.53× 20.5% 6.3% ZMWZAR, CZKCAD, SGDSEK, SEKZAR, CNYCAD
COPBRL 3 0.00953 5.45× 5.6% 5.8% BRLRSD, BRLKRW, SEKRUB, GBPKZT, GBPSZL
COPMXN 4 0.00937 5.36× 13.7% 2.6% COPUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, SEKUSD, USDCNH
SEKUSD 5 0.00865 4.95× 19.1% 3.0% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, GBPCRC, CHFJPY, AUDNZD
ZARMXN 6 0.00815 4.66× 19.6% 8.8% COPUSD, CNYZAR, ZARNOK, ZARDKK, JPYNOK
CNYZAR 7 0.00795 4.55× 17.9% 8.4% NZDUSD, KYDCAD, HUFCAD, CZKCAD, ZARNZD
MXNBRL 8 0.00794 4.54× 2.6% 1.9% BRLCAD, HKDBRL, CADBRL, SGDBRL, CHFBRL
BRLRSD 9 0.00790 4.52× 5.8% 4.2% NZDAED, DKKCOP, GBPCOP, COPDKK, CADCOP
DKKRUB 10 0.00786 4.50× 11.2% 3.0% CNYZAR, TRYZAR, CADTHB, SEKEUR, USDNOK

Rising influence vs 2025-01-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKUSD 0.008650.00042 +0.00823
ZAREGP 0.009670.00259 +0.00709
BRLRSD 0.007900.00147 +0.00643
BRLCLP 0.006850.00061 +0.00623
EURNGN 0.006170.00064 +0.00553

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDCOP 0.001810.01313 -0.01132
ZARHKD 0.000960.00867 -0.00772
LKRZAR 0.001300.00850 -0.00720
SGDJPY 0.005270.01187 -0.00660
SGDZAR 0.002830.00909 -0.00626

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.