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Daily network digest

Thursday, December 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.31× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.103
Clustering
0.338
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02949 6.31× 51.2% 16.0% AXSUSD, DNTUSD, RNDRUSD, FETUSD, APEUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02347 5.02× 45.1% 14.1% FXUSD, OXTUSD, ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, AVAXUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02232 4.78× 46.9% 8.9% FORTHUSD, TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD, DARUSD, PAXUSD
HNTUSD 4 0.02142 4.58× 48.8% 13.1% TRXUSD, KRLUSD, AAVEUSD, OXYUSD, 1INCHUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.02129 4.56× 44.1% 9.9% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, DIAUSD, HBARUSD, VTHOUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.01987 4.25× 51.2% 22.1% LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01934 4.14× 37.1% 18.3% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, ICXUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01599 3.42× 38.0% 16.9% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, CHRUSD, XAUTUSD, RNDRUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01387 2.97× 31.9% 11.3% EGLDUSD, FISUSD, AUCTIONUSD, JASMYUSD, AERGOUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01244 2.66× 30.0% 9.4% AUCTIONUSD, FXUSD, ORNUSD, SGBUSD, XAUTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.029490.00785 +0.02163
HNTUSD 0.021420.00607 +0.01535
ORCAUSD 0.013870.00293 +0.01094
CHRUSD 0.011190.00349 +0.00771
FXUSD 0.009390.00259 +0.00681

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.012440.03134 -0.01891
XRPBTC 0.015990.03342 -0.01743
GYENUSD 0.006010.01722 -0.01121
TRACUSD 0.004200.01355 -0.00934
XYOUSD 0.002910.01199 -0.00908

Foreign exchange

RUBNOK was the most central name, carrying 5.63× the influence of an average node across 589 pairs.

pairs
589
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.329
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBNOK 1 0.00956 5.63× 4.3% 1.7% JPYMYR, USDRWF, USDKHR, JODILS, JPYIDR
ARSCOP 2 0.00946 5.57× 1.4% 0.3% EURZMW, ZARARS
BRLCLP 3 0.00844 4.97× 4.3% 2.0% KRWMYR, GBPFJD, FJDGBP, AUDFJD, USDSCR
DKKRUB 4 0.00835 4.92× 14.3% 4.6% USDNOK, BRLMXN, BRLCHF, SGDPLN, DKKPLN
IDRZAR 5 0.00789 4.65× 3.1% 1.2% JPYGBP, CHFMYR, USDMAD, USDDOP, USDSCR
EURBRL 6 0.00780 4.59× 1.2% 0.9% RUBUSD, CADRUB, RUBCHF, CHFRUB, CLPBRL
ZAREGP 7 0.00759 4.47× 15.6% 4.8% ZMWZAR, GBPMUR, DKKRUB, MURUSD, EURTWD
JPYTHB 8 0.00753 4.43× 7.1% 1.9% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, CHFJPY, BWPZAR, AUDNZD
USDPGK 9 0.00751 4.42× 5.4% 3.1% NZDAED, CHFIDR, AUDAED, CHFTWD, NOKAED
ZMWZAR 10 0.00742 4.37× 7.7% 4.8% EURTWD, ZARSEK, CZKZAR, DKKRUB, ZARDKK

Rising influence vs 2024-12-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSCOP 0.009460.00033 +0.00913
EURBRL 0.007800.00033 +0.00747
IDRZAR 0.007890.00055 +0.00733
JPYTHB 0.007530.00033 +0.00719
COPBRL 0.007350.00033 +0.00701

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBEUR 0.003880.01348 -0.00961
DKKRUB 0.008350.01735 -0.00901
USDNGN 0.002760.01163 -0.00887
GBPNGN 0.000630.00906 -0.00844
XAGMXN 0.001040.00856 -0.00752

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.