catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, November 28, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.51× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.114
Clustering
0.354
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03055 6.51× 68.4% 13.2% SRMUSD, XRDUSD, TRBUSD, LCXUSD, DASHUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02715 5.78× 54.2% 19.3% XAUTUSD, TIAUSD, QTUMUSD, ABTUSD, PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02528 5.38× 60.4% 28.8% API3USD, SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, LOKAUSD, IMXUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02215 4.72× 51.9% 7.5% LTCBTC, TIAUSD, XRPBTC, ETHBTC, METISUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.02141 4.56× 51.9% 29.7% API3USD, SKLUSD, IMXUSD, BNTUSD, XLMUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01964 4.18× 40.6% 22.6% ELAUSD, XTZUSD, AERGOUSD, RLYUSD, RUNEUSD
XYOUSD 7 0.01332 2.84× 33.0% 11.3% YGGEUR, DOTUSD, JSTUSD, PAXGUSD, BTCAUD
GYENUSD 8 0.01301 2.77× 38.2% 32.5% CVCUSD, SCUSD, ICXUSD, ATOMUSD, TRBUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01287 2.74× 36.3% 14.6% REPUSD, MATICUSD, LTCBTC, TUSD, AERGOUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.01269 2.70× 33.5% 7.1% MDTUSD, VOXELUSD, GYENUSD, BTCGBP, UMAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XYOUSD 0.013320.00453 +0.00879
LTCBTC 0.019640.01203 +0.00761
XRPBTC 0.030550.02302 +0.00753
KRLUSD 0.022150.01479 +0.00736
LCXUSD 0.010820.00366 +0.00717

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001660.01933 -0.01767
TLOSUSD 0.005310.01789 -0.01257
XDCUSD 0.012690.02195 -0.00925
BTCJPY 0.003790.00998 -0.00620
GNOUSD 0.004570.00991 -0.00534

Foreign exchange

RUBNOK was the most central name, carrying 6.91× the influence of an average node across 622 pairs.

pairs
622
Density
0.024
Clustering
0.333
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBNOK 1 0.01110 6.91× 7.6% 1.6% JPYMYR, GBPSCR, AUDBRL, USDMAD, USDKHR
JPYTHB 2 0.01070 6.65× 7.4% 2.1% TWDCHF, AUDNZD, BWPZAR, ZARBWP, CHFJPY
RUBPLN 3 0.00868 5.40× 3.7% 1.4% JPYMYR, JODILS, USDRWF, ILSUSD, USDPEN
BRLCLP 4 0.00847 5.27× 4.8% 2.1% GBPSCR, KRWMYR, AUDFJD, GBPFJD, FJDGBP
AUDSEK 5 0.00783 4.87× 8.4% 1.8% JPYNZD, CNYCAD, CNYAUD, JPYTHB, CHFCLP
COPMXN 6 0.00773 4.81× 6.8% 1.1% CNYZAR, JPYTHB, EURGBP, SEKZAR, CZKSEK
GBPSCR 7 0.00760 4.73× 7.6% 2.4% XAGARS, HUFPLN, RUBNOK, GBPBRL, CHFTWD
DKKRUB 8 0.00752 4.68× 13.7% 4.0% XAGINR, XAGAUD, XAGTRY, XAGUSD, DKKPLN
USDPGK 9 0.00732 4.55× 6.6% 3.2% CHFIDR, USDLBP, CHFTWD, LBPUSD, BRLCLP
ZMWZAR 10 0.00721 4.49× 7.4% 6.0% ZARNGN, ZARSEK, IDRZAR, ZAREGP, PLNNOK

Rising influence vs 2024-11-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYTHB 0.010700.00033 +0.01037
RUBNOK 0.011100.00170 +0.00941
AUDSEK 0.007830.00068 +0.00715
EURTWD 0.005500.00057 +0.00493
USDPGK 0.007320.00279 +0.00452

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTHB 0.000290.01243 -0.01214
XAGMXN 0.001080.01067 -0.00958
SCRUSD 0.001250.00876 -0.00751
GBPCLP 0.001170.00708 -0.00591
DKKNOK 0.000360.00553 -0.00517

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.