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Daily network digest

Monday, November 11, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.42× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.110
Clustering
0.333
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03500 7.42× 55.9% 28.9% AXSUSD, APEUSD, KRLUSD, GALAUSD, STORJUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02188 4.64× 39.3% 10.9% HIGHUSD, DARUSD, BTRSTUSD, BANDUSD, PAXUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.02002 4.24× 49.3% 25.1% KRLUSD, NEOUSD, FTMUSD, AAVEUSD, 1INCHUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.01843 3.91× 48.3% 25.6% XDCUSD, DASHUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, KRLUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01420 3.01× 32.2% 18.0% MASKUSD, VTHOUSD, HBARUSD, PAXGUSD, TVKUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01394 2.96× 33.6% 4.7% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, NKNUSD, GHSTUSD, LPTUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01375 2.91× 29.4% 5.7% BTRSTUSD, NKNUSD, XMRUSD, OXTUSD, AVAXUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01334 2.83× 30.3% 22.3% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, TVKUSD, LINKUSD, BTTUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01267 2.69× 32.7% 14.2% EGLDUSD, AUCTIONUSD, FORTHUSD, ALCXUSD, FISUSD
HIGHUSD 10 0.01184 2.51× 31.8% 11.4% AKTEUR, HNTUSD, XDCUSD, ASMUSD, MAGICUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.035000.00941 +0.02558
HNTUSD 0.020020.00635 +0.01367
ORCAUSD 0.012670.00269 +0.00998
HIGHUSD 0.011840.00289 +0.00895
ETHBTC 0.018430.01246 +0.00597

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.013340.02819 -0.01484
REPUSD 0.011740.02545 -0.01371
XYOUSD 0.002440.01171 -0.00927
PAXGUSD 0.013750.02204 -0.00830
TRACUSD 0.004430.01264 -0.00821

Foreign exchange

KRWBRL was the most central name, carrying 9.91× the influence of an average node across 605 pairs.

pairs
605
Density
0.029
Clustering
0.323
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRWBRL 1 0.01638 9.91× 5.3% 1.3% AUDNZD, CZKJPY, COPMXN, NZDJPY, JPYCZK
EURRUB 2 0.01063 6.43× 5.6% 3.1% ETBUSD, EURPKR, AUDMYR, GBPRWF, NGNUSD
BRLZAR 3 0.01004 6.08× 17.1% 5.6% RUBNOK, ILSUSD, ILSJOD, ILSAED, PLNCHF
ZARBRL 4 0.00932 5.64× 17.4% 4.1% RUBNOK, ILSUSD, ILSJOD, ILSAED, DKKRUB
USDSZL 5 0.00929 5.62× 17.7% 3.1% RUBNOK, DKKRUB, RUBPLN, AUDILS, ILSCAD
JPYCLP 6 0.00850 5.14× 6.3% 3.0% RUBEUR, JPYSEK, ZMWUSD, JPYIDR, KESUSD
RUBUSD 7 0.00840 5.08× 1.0% 0.7% CHFRUB, CADRUB, RUBCHF, ARSCOP
RUBEUR 8 0.00835 5.05× 5.1% 1.7% RWFGBP, GBPKZT, USDDJF, HKDBRL, GBPRWF
COPMXN 9 0.00758 4.59× 3.0% 1.8% PENMXN, INRSEK, JPYCZK, CZKJPY, SGDNOK
CHFRUB 10 0.00689 4.17× 1.5% 0.2% RUBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.016380.00039 +0.01599
RUBUSD 0.008400.00036 +0.00804
JPYCLP 0.008500.00117 +0.00733
CHFRUB 0.006890.00031 +0.00658
USDSZL 0.009290.00302 +0.00627

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.000620.01156 -0.01095
JPYPKR 0.000330.01046 -0.01013
USDALL 0.002700.01211 -0.00941
SCRUSD 0.002910.01179 -0.00888
RUBPLN 0.002810.00986 -0.00705

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.