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Daily network digest

Thursday, November 7, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.21× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.119
Clustering
0.355
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02903 6.21× 66.2% 18.3% KRLUSD, XRDUSD, SRMUSD, ICXUSD, MAGICUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02444 5.23× 50.2% 25.4% XLMUSD, TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, SGBUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02338 5.00× 50.7% 8.5% LTCBTC, LCXUSD, ETHBTC, REPUSD, BCHUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02272 4.86× 52.6% 22.5% SKLUSD, LPTUSD, RNDRUSD, GNOUSD, CTSIUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01644 3.52× 45.5% 25.4% SKLUSD, GNOUSD, LPTUSD, FORTHUSD, API3USD
LTCBTC 6 0.01603 3.43× 36.2% 31.5% ELAUSD, AERGOUSD, XLMUSD, XRPUSD, SOLUSD
FORTUSD 7 0.01360 2.91× 34.3% 17.8% BTCEUR, BTCUSD, XLMUSD, BTCGBP, JSTUSD
XDCUSD 8 0.01304 2.79× 29.6% 10.8% BTCEUR, OGNUSD, ANKRUSD, VOXELUSD, UMAUSD
TRACUSD 9 0.01270 2.72× 37.6% 12.7% DYDXUSD, TRBUSD, LTCAUD, JASMYUSD, EGLDUSD
TRBUSD 10 0.01226 2.62× 34.7% 6.6% XRPBTC, ACHUSD, DUSKUSD, BATUSD, SHIBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.023380.01025 +0.01313
XRPBTC 0.029030.01682 +0.01221
PAXGUSD 0.022720.01262 +0.01011
FORTUSD 0.013600.00355 +0.01006
LCXUSD 0.011610.00302 +0.00860

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001540.01780 -0.01626
BTCJPY 0.002490.01400 -0.01151
XDCUSD 0.013040.02302 -0.00998
MKRUSD 0.009960.01534 -0.00538
DOTUSD 0.001530.00679 -0.00526

Foreign exchange

IDRZAR was the most central name, carrying 9.98× the influence of an average node across 622 pairs.

pairs
622
Density
0.034
Clustering
0.319
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
IDRZAR 1 0.01604 9.98× 4.8% 1.6% ZARILS, USDZAR, ZARNOK, ZARKRW, ZMWZAR
COPMXN 2 0.01401 8.72× 3.7% 2.4% BRLEUR, PENMXN, INRSEK, SGDNOK, CZKJPY
CHFJPY 3 0.01208 7.52× 3.1% 0.2% COPMXN
XAUARS 4 0.00810 5.04× 1.6% 1.6% EURPHP, ARSZAR, AUDMAD, VNDJPY, MYRINR
RUBNOK 5 0.00745 4.63× 14.8% 6.4% USDNOK, SCRUSD, ETBUSD, XAGGBP, RUBEUR
BRLZAR 6 0.00718 4.47× 17.7% 7.9% RUBNOK, RUBEUR, ILSAED, ILSJOD, ILSUSD
ZARBRL 7 0.00679 4.22× 18.0% 5.6% RUBNOK, ILSUSD, ILSJOD, ILSAED, DKKRUB
USDSZL 8 0.00671 4.18× 18.0% 3.9% RUBNOK, USDBWP, DKKRUB, EURRUB, MXNCOP
USDTHB 9 0.00604 3.76× 9.3% 2.9% MUREUR, EURMUR, CADMXN, XAUMXN, MXNCAD
XAGBRL 10 0.00591 3.68× 13.4% 8.5% CADMXN, MXNCAD, DKKMXN, JPYMXN, USDMAD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CHFJPY 0.012080.00165 +0.01043
COPMXN 0.014010.00474 +0.00927
XAUARS 0.008100.00148 +0.00662
IDRZAR 0.016040.00993 +0.00611
BRLEUR 0.005590.00047 +0.00512

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCAD 0.000350.00705 -0.00670
BRLCLP 0.002130.00806 -0.00593
EURUZS 0.001120.00594 -0.00482
AUDSEK 0.001280.00601 -0.00473
RUBEUR 0.004370.00882 -0.00445

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.