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Daily network digest

Monday, September 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.13× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.147
Clustering
0.348
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01234 4.13× 49.1% 12.9% BNTUSD, GNOUSD, HDXUSD, STORJUSD, SGBUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01120 3.75× 37.4% 23.7% WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, RBCUSD, AKTEUR, MUSEUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.00958 3.21× 42.2% 7.5% SHPINGUSD, PAXUSD, KILTUSD, RADUSD, TRXUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00932 3.12× 35.9% 23.1% BTCJPY, XLMUSD, NYMUSD, MATICUSD, DOTUSD
TRBUSD 5 0.00900 3.02× 46.4% 11.1% AMPUSD, REPUSD, RUNEUSD, PHAUSD, BTRSTUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00856 2.87× 35.0% 18.6% RADUSD, AGLDUSD, KEYUSD, RBNUSD, DOGEUSD
BLZUSD 7 0.00814 2.73× 38.0% 23.1% ROSEUSD, DIMOUSD, RLCUSD, GTCUSD, QNTUSD
DIMOUSD 8 0.00784 2.63× 34.4% 21.3% FXUSD, REPUSD, RENUSD, BONDUSD, TRBUSD
ROOKUSD 9 0.00705 2.36× 31.4% 19.5% VTHOUSD, MEDIAUSD, NYMUSD, EULUSD, XYOUSD
MULTIUSD 10 0.00685 2.29× 29.9% 24.0% BANDUSD, KP3RUSD, DOGEUSD, KRLUSD, MIRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.012340.00369 +0.00865
TRBUSD 0.009000.00308 +0.00592
SHPINGUSD 0.009320.00445 +0.00488
BLZUSD 0.008140.00336 +0.00478
KRLUSD 0.009580.00527 +0.00431

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.003340.01026 -0.00692
DESOUSD 0.002590.00913 -0.00654
BTRSTUSD 0.005630.01164 -0.00601
CTXUSD 0.004110.01011 -0.00600
EULUSD 0.003810.00846 -0.00464

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.99× the influence of an average node across 640 pairs.

pairs
640
Density
0.022
Clustering
0.341
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00937 5.99× 3.0% 2.2% INRSEK, KRWBRL, BRLPEN, CZKJPY, JPYCZK
MXNBRL 2 0.00771 4.94× 3.8% 0.9% FJDGBP, AUDFJD, GBPFJD, MXNCOP, USDMXN
COPBRL 3 0.00744 4.76× 11.1% 3.1% DKKRUB, JPYMXN, ZARCZK, CZKZAR, ZARNZD
CHFJPY 4 0.00683 4.37× 2.0% 0.2% COPMXN
SEKNOK 5 0.00668 4.27× 7.2% 4.7% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAUZAR, XAUCNY, NZDMXN
RUBNOK 6 0.00658 4.21× 7.4% 3.9% GBPSAR, GBPTHB, AUDMAD, USDMAD, NZDAED
ILSJPY 7 0.00653 4.18× 2.7% 4.4% RUBEUR, BRLRSD, MUREUR, ARSCHF, ETBUSD
JPYCLP 8 0.00617 3.95× 1.1% 1.6% ARSCLP, NZDTRY, JPYGBP, AUDTRY, KRWTWD
MXNCOP 9 0.00555 3.55× 3.3% 1.6% EURRUB, GBPFJD, FJDGBP, USDMXN, AUDFJD
CLPARS 10 0.00553 3.54× 0.9% 0.5% EURARS, NOKRUB, PENARS

Rising influence vs 2024-09-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.009370.00190 +0.00747
MXNBRL 0.007710.00126 +0.00645
ILSJPY 0.006530.00069 +0.00584
JPYCLP 0.006170.00054 +0.00563
SEKNOK 0.006680.00146 +0.00521

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002280.01181 -0.00953
SCRGBP 0.002040.00821 -0.00616
ZARIDR 0.000460.00597 -0.00551
CHFPKR 0.001230.00669 -0.00546
SEKZAR 0.001010.00619 -0.00519

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.