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Daily network digest

Monday, September 2, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.86× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.155
Clustering
0.359
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.01156 3.86× 54.1% 17.1% REPV2USD, BTCGBP, STGUSD, AVTUSD, APEUSD
MULTIUSD 2 0.01050 3.51× 45.3% 23.4% DNTUSD, DYDXEUR, DYDXUSD, RAREUSD, NEOUSD
REPUSD 3 0.01044 3.49× 45.0% 18.0% IMXUSD, MLNUSD, RADUSD, LCXUSD, SRMUSD
DIMOUSD 4 0.01043 3.48× 47.7% 18.9% MKRUSD, BNTUSD, ACHUSD, TONUSD, LMWRUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00940 3.14× 52.0% 20.7% BOBAUSD, RBNUSD, XDCUSD, OSMOUSD, LCXUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.00883 2.95× 40.8% 13.8% DESOUSD, SUIUSD, LCXUSD, KEYUSD, ACHUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.00870 2.90× 45.9% 24.6% SDNUSD, NKNUSD, PRIMEUSD, IMXUSD, BTTUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00865 2.89× 41.1% 22.2% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, OMGUSD, AVTUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00816 2.73× 41.1% 27.3% ACSUSD, ETH2XUSD, DIMOUSD, MLNUSD, NEXOUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.00815 2.72× 39.3% 32.7% BTTUSD, COMPUSD, SGBUSD, XCNUSD, ADXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.011560.00438 +0.00718
KILTUSD 0.008130.00385 +0.00428
XYOUSD 0.007600.00334 +0.00426
DESOUSD 0.007210.00295 +0.00426
ETH2XUSD 0.006960.00316 +0.00380

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.007410.01332 -0.00591
BTCJPY 0.002130.00772 -0.00560
ASMUSD 0.003190.00777 -0.00458
REPUSD 0.010440.01416 -0.00372
BLZUSD 0.005340.00895 -0.00361

Foreign exchange

MXNBRL was the most central name, carrying 5.16× the influence of an average node across 642 pairs.

pairs
642
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.338
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MXNBRL 1 0.00804 5.16× 3.9% 0.9% GBPFJD, AUDFJD, FJDGBP, MXNCOP, USDMXN
RUBNOK 2 0.00770 4.95× 8.3% 3.9% NZDAED, GBPSAR, AUDAED, USDMAD, GBPTHB
COPBRL 3 0.00743 4.77× 10.9% 3.9% DKKRUB, JPYMXN, CZKZAR, ZARNZD, ZARCZK
JPYCLP 4 0.00704 4.52× 1.1% 1.7% ARSCLP, NZDTRY, JPYSEK, JPYIDR, JPYGBP
SEKNOK 5 0.00691 4.44× 6.4% 4.1% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAUZAR, XAUCNY, XAUINR
ILSJPY 6 0.00671 4.31× 2.7% 4.4% BRLRSD, MXNPEN, ARSCHF, MUREUR, BRLKRW
MXNCOP 7 0.00548 3.52× 3.1% 1.6% EURRUB, GBPFJD, FJDGBP, CADPEN, PENUSD
CNYAUD 8 0.00541 3.48× 3.3% 0.6% HKDPLN, PLNUSD, USDPLN, SEKZAR
XAGBRL 9 0.00538 3.45× 8.4% 5.6% ZARILS, COPBRL, MXNPLN, JPYMXN, XAUMXN
EURARS 10 0.00529 3.39× 1.4% 0.8% USDMWK, CLPARS, MWKZAR, ZARMWK, SEKRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-08-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNBRL 0.008040.00130 +0.00674
JPYCLP 0.007040.00044 +0.00661
ILSJPY 0.006710.00089 +0.00582
SEKNOK 0.006910.00217 +0.00474
KRWBRL 0.005040.00034 +0.00470

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002510.01501 -0.01250
NZDHUF 0.001100.01023 -0.00914
CHFPKR 0.001240.00896 -0.00772
SEKZAR 0.001690.00794 -0.00625
CHFCLP 0.000940.00637 -0.00543

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.