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Daily network digest

Friday, August 30, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.86× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.154
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.01148 3.86× 53.1% 14.6% REPV2USD, CHRUSD, PEPEUSD, BTCUSD, FOXUSD
MULTIUSD 2 0.01080 3.63× 44.8% 22.7% DNTUSD, CTXUSD, RAREUSD, NEOUSD, TIMEUSD
REPUSD 3 0.01043 3.51× 43.3% 21.2% IMXUSD, LCXUSD, MLNUSD, SRMUSD, RADUSD
DIMOUSD 4 0.01018 3.42× 48.1% 21.2% BNTUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, QNTUSD, TONUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00978 3.29× 52.5% 17.9% BOBAUSD, RBNUSD, OSMOUSD, LCXUSD, XDCUSD
INTRUSD 6 0.00902 3.03× 47.5% 26.6% KAVAUSD, TUSD, ARBUSD, FLOWUSD, VETUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.00878 2.95× 44.8% 24.8% SDNUSD, PRIMEUSD, NKNUSD, XDCUSD, BTTUSD
KILTUSD 8 0.00861 2.89× 37.6% 23.0% CBETHUSD, ETHAUD, ETHUSD, GNOUSD, BONDUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.00856 2.87× 40.0% 11.6% KEYUSD, RADUSD, ANKRUSD, NYMUSD, DESOUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00852 2.86× 42.4% 30.1% ACSUSD, ETH2XUSD, ALEPHUSD, UOSUSD, DIMOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.011480.00464 +0.00684
XYOUSD 0.007430.00230 +0.00513
INTRUSD 0.009020.00405 +0.00497
KILTUSD 0.008610.00426 +0.00435
DESOUSD 0.007140.00298 +0.00415

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000670.00925 -0.00858
BTCJPY 0.002160.00775 -0.00559
REPUSD 0.010430.01560 -0.00517
KRLUSD 0.007670.01268 -0.00501
GNOUSD 0.003000.00700 -0.00400

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 9.79× the influence of an average node across 652 pairs.

pairs
652
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.316
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01501 9.79× 12.0% 7.1% DKKRUB, XAUAUD, XAGEUR, SGDJPY, ARSEUR
NZDHUF 2 0.01023 6.67× 4.3% 0.2% ZARTRY
CHFPKR 3 0.00896 5.84× 0.6% 2.3% GBPARS, NOKEUR, AUDNOK, GBPNOK, ZARHKD
RUBNOK 4 0.00799 5.21× 4.0% 1.5% GBPKWD, ZARPKR, GBPOMR, PKRZAR, EURZAR
SEKZAR 5 0.00794 5.18× 2.9% 0.8% CHFJPY, ILSNOK, GBPNOK, EURMXN, NOKGBP
NOKAED 6 0.00682 4.45× 4.3% 2.6% CNYZAR, NZDZAR, RUBNOK, GBPTHB, CADZAR
SCRGBP 7 0.00671 4.37× 5.4% 2.5% USDSCR, EURTHB, AEDEUR, INRTHB, MYRTHB
CHFCLP 8 0.00637 4.15× 1.8% 0.6% MXNCZK, IDRZAR, COPMXN, ILSSEK
PENCOP 9 0.00598 3.90× 6.8% 3.2% CHFMYR, TWDKRW, KRWUSD, ZARNZD, DKKPHP
THBEUR 10 0.00585 3.81× 3.4% 2.2% CDFGBP, GBPCDF, JPYRSD, USDSCR, SARJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-08-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.015010.00351 +0.01150
NZDHUF 0.010230.00126 +0.00898
CHFPKR 0.008960.00128 +0.00768
SEKZAR 0.007940.00109 +0.00686
CHFCLP 0.006370.00041 +0.00595

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001350.00781 -0.00646
EURRUB 0.001970.00766 -0.00569
ARSBRL 0.004230.00977 -0.00554
PLNILS 0.002450.00768 -0.00524
BRLUSD 0.003320.00824 -0.00493

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.