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Daily network digest

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.86× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.156
Clustering
0.360
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.01153 3.86× 53.9% 17.7% REPV2USD, STGUSD, FOXUSD, CHRUSD, AURORAUSD
MULTIUSD 2 0.01111 3.72× 46.4% 27.2% DNTUSD, CTXUSD, TLOSUSD, NEOUSD, SCRTUSD
REPUSD 3 0.00996 3.34× 44.3% 20.7% IMXUSD, MLNUSD, LCXUSD, SBRUSD, SRMUSD
NYMUSD 4 0.00974 3.26× 42.8% 13.8% NMRUSD, INDEXUSD, XRDUSD, DARUSD, FARMUSD
INTRUSD 5 0.00955 3.20× 51.8% 27.2% KAVAUSD, FLOWUSD, TUSD, OXTUSD, NMRUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00914 3.06× 51.8% 19.8% BOBAUSD, XCNUSD, XDCUSD, RBNUSD, LCXUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.00909 3.04× 43.1% 21.3% MKRUSD, BNTUSD, ACHUSD, QNTUSD, TONUSD
PAXGUSD 8 0.00903 3.03× 45.5% 25.4% SDNUSD, NKNUSD, PRIMEUSD, HNTUSD, BTTUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00852 2.85× 41.6% 25.7% ACSUSD, ETH2XUSD, ALEPHUSD, MLNUSD, NEXOUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00844 2.83× 38.0% 22.2% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, AVTUSD, RNDRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.011530.00466 +0.00687
INTRUSD 0.009550.00387 +0.00568
XYOUSD 0.007280.00257 +0.00471
DESOUSD 0.007570.00297 +0.00460
ETH2XUSD 0.007170.00335 +0.00382

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.002230.00798 -0.00575
REPUSD 0.009960.01559 -0.00563
GNOUSD 0.002660.00741 -0.00475
KRLUSD 0.007290.01169 -0.00440
TLOSUSD 0.002770.00700 -0.00423

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 9.70× the influence of an average node across 652 pairs.

pairs
652
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.327
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01487 9.70× 12.4% 7.2% XAUAUD, DKKRUB, ARSEUR, SGDJPY, XAGEUR
NZDHUF 2 0.01027 6.69× 4.3% 0.2% ZARTRY
CHFPKR 3 0.00881 5.74× 0.6% 2.3% GBPARS, SGDNOK, KRWZAR, EURNOK, CADNOK
RUBNOK 4 0.00839 5.47× 4.0% 1.2% GBPKWD, ZARPKR, PKRZAR, CNYZAR, EURZAR
SEKZAR 5 0.00799 5.21× 3.4% 0.8% CHFJPY, NOKGBP, ILSNOK, GBPNOK, EURMXN
NOKAED 6 0.00773 5.04× 4.6% 2.3% AUDZAR, INRZAR, CADZAR, HKDZAR, ZAREUR
PENCOP 7 0.00592 3.86× 8.1% 3.5% KRWUSD, THBUSD, TWDKRW, CHFMYR, ZARNZD
CHFCLP 8 0.00590 3.85× 1.7% 0.3% IDRZAR, COPMXN
THBPKR 9 0.00572 3.73× 1.1% 0.5% AUDPKR, CADPKR, ZARTND
THBEUR 10 0.00550 3.59× 3.4% 2.2% CDFGBP, GBPCDF, JPYRSD, USDSCR, SARJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-08-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.014870.00194 +0.01293
NZDHUF 0.010270.00101 +0.00926
CHFPKR 0.008810.00128 +0.00752
SEKZAR 0.007990.00102 +0.00697
CHFCLP 0.005900.00045 +0.00545

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001410.00808 -0.00667
MXNPEN 0.001410.00783 -0.00642
JPYCLP 0.000430.00634 -0.00591
BRLKRW 0.001040.00628 -0.00524
PLNILS 0.002500.00756 -0.00505

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.