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Daily network digest

Wednesday, August 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.89× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.158
Clustering
0.366
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01148 3.89× 47.3% 20.4% IMXUSD, MLNUSD, LCXUSD, EWTUSD, BONDUSD
INTRUSD 2 0.01001 3.39× 56.2% 27.8% KAVAUSD, NMRUSD, FXUSD, TLOSUSD, FLOWUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.00984 3.33× 53.8% 14.8% BOBAUSD, RBNUSD, HMTUSD, LCXUSD, XDCUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.00975 3.31× 45.0% 20.4% CHRUSD, REPV2USD, STGUSD, APEUSD, FOXUSD
MULTIUSD 5 0.00971 3.29× 44.1% 30.2% DNTUSD, DYDXEUR, SCRTUSD, MATHUSD, RARIEUR
DVFUSD 6 0.00923 3.13× 49.7% 13.0% REPUSD, NYMUSD, QTFUSD, ROOKUSD, ZECUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.00914 3.10× 45.3% 16.9% ACHUSD, MKRUSD, LQTYUSD, BNTUSD, NODLUSD
NYMUSD 8 0.00892 3.02× 40.8% 14.2% NMRUSD, DARUSD, XRDUSD, MIRUSD, INDEXUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.00875 2.97× 41.4% 9.8% KEYUSD, DESOUSD, ACHUSD, RADUSD, SUIUSD
PAXGUSD 10 0.00844 2.86× 41.4% 24.0% SDNUSD, IMXUSD, HNTUSD, PRIMEUSD, LPTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
INTRUSD 0.010010.00391 +0.00610
DESOUSD 0.007440.00291 +0.00453
HMTUSD 0.007360.00300 +0.00436
TIMEUSD 0.009750.00591 +0.00384
KILTUSD 0.007030.00337 +0.00366

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000750.00844 -0.00769
DVFUSD 0.009230.01369 -0.00446
TRBUSD 0.004400.00884 -0.00444
REPUSD 0.011480.01579 -0.00431
MKRUSD 0.002880.00716 -0.00428

Foreign exchange

ARSCOP was the most central name, carrying 6.01× the influence of an average node across 651 pairs.

pairs
651
Density
0.020
Clustering
0.335
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSCOP 1 0.00923 6.01× 7.7% 7.8% DKKRUB, USDKRW, JPYMXN, JPYNOK, NOKJPY
DKKRUB 2 0.00918 5.98× 6.8% 6.2% USDNOK, GBPNGN, XAGAUD, NZDPLN, AUDUSD
COPUSD 3 0.00875 5.70× 9.4% 2.2% ZARIDR, ARSCOP, GBPBRL, CHFTWD, CHFIDR
EUROMR 4 0.00834 5.43× 4.8% 3.7% KWDEUR, AMDGBP, GBPAMD, MWKZAR, USDHNL
EURJOD 5 0.00626 4.07× 2.9% 0.3% CHFSZL, SZLCHF
ZARMXN 6 0.00574 3.74× 4.3% 1.7% EURJOD, ZARDKK, CHFKRW, ZARNOK, USDMXN
RUBEUR 7 0.00547 3.56× 5.8% 4.5% MWKGBP, GBPMWK, BRLSGD, MWKZAR, ZARMWK
USDPGK 8 0.00546 3.56× 6.5% 2.3% BWPGBP, USDBWP, GBPBWP, LBPUSD, BWPUSD
CHFTHB 9 0.00522 3.40× 3.4% 2.3% KRWCAD, KRWSEK, CHFPKR, CADTHB, TWDCHF
ZARTRY 10 0.00520 3.39× 8.0% 7.7% ARSEUR, SGDJPY, BRLCLP, XAUMXN, KRWMYR

Rising influence vs 2024-08-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSCOP 0.009230.00220 +0.00702
COPUSD 0.008750.00287 +0.00588
EURJOD 0.006260.00048 +0.00578
ZARMXN 0.005740.00073 +0.00501
USDPGK 0.005460.00121 +0.00426

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.005200.01290 -0.00770
KWDEUR 0.004400.01178 -0.00737
ZARTND 0.000730.00766 -0.00692
NZDPKR 0.000400.00677 -0.00637
THBEUR 0.001680.00737 -0.00568

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.