catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, August 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TEERUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.99× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.170
Clustering
0.369
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TEERUSD 1 0.01181 3.99× 52.8% 17.2% DEXTUSD, KINUSD, UNIUSD, ROOKUSD, LITUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01139 3.85× 49.3% 27.9% AXSUSD, GHSTUSD, EWTUSD, SANDUSD, GMXUSD
DVFUSD 3 0.01095 3.70× 54.3% 7.1% LCXUSD, LTCBTC, CVCUSD, STORJUSD, REPUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.01094 3.70× 57.6% 30.0% NKNUSD, BLZUSD, RBCUSD, XYOUSD, TONUSD
EULUSD 5 0.01089 3.68× 55.5% 16.0% GARIUSD, BOBAUSD, MKRUSD, DOGEUSD, RBCUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00964 3.26× 45.1% 11.9% BCHEUR, TONUSD, LCXUSD, SUIUSD, USTUSD
NODLUSD 7 0.00942 3.19× 49.6% 20.2% PUNDIXUSD, ZENUSD, EWTUSD, DIMOUSD, CVXUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00861 2.91× 39.2% 16.3% TVKUSD, KILTUSD, MASKUSD, BTTUSD, LINKUSD
CTXUSD 9 0.00809 2.73× 43.3% 12.2% TOKEUSD, PROUSD, SANDUSD, PUNDIXUSD, MNAUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00800 2.71× 36.8% 47.8% KSMUSD, HOPRUSD, BCHUSD, THETAUSD, ETCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011810.00239 +0.00942
NODLUSD 0.009420.00375 +0.00567
EULUSD 0.010890.00538 +0.00552
MEDIAUSD 0.006770.00261 +0.00417
ETHBTC 0.007990.00434 +0.00365

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MULTIUSD 0.003190.00919 -0.00600
TIMEUSD 0.004820.01053 -0.00571
DIMOUSD 0.004730.00982 -0.00509
INTRUSD 0.004720.00950 -0.00478
NYMUSD 0.005200.00989 -0.00469

Foreign exchange

USDPGK was the most central name, carrying 5.71× the influence of an average node across 630 pairs.

pairs
630
Density
0.019
Clustering
0.317
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDPGK 1 0.00906 5.71× 10.3% 4.1% BWPGBP, LRDGBP, GBPBWP, MWKGBP, MXNCOP
ARSBRL 2 0.00860 5.42× 8.1% 2.7% PLNEUR, ARSPEN, PLNCHF, ARSCOP, PLNHUF
EURRUB 3 0.00852 5.37× 6.5% 2.7% NGNUSD, SGDARS, ARSCAD, KWDAED, USDRWF
SEKNOK 4 0.00830 5.23× 6.0% 4.0% COPUSD, PLNSEK, SEKPLN, NOKPLN, ARSCOP
CLPGBP 5 0.00808 5.09× 1.3% 0.3% CLPCHF, CHFCLP
ZARARS 6 0.00680 4.29× 6.8% 4.3% ARSCOP, CZKZAR, ZARCZK, PLNHUF, JPYMXN
COPARS 7 0.00606 3.81× 3.8% 0.8% HUFPLN, AUDPHP, JPYMYR, AUDMYR, PHPJPY
COPCLP 8 0.00591 3.72× 8.6% 2.4% EGPZAR, THBUSD, DKKRUB, TZSZAR, ZARGBP
XAUCNY 9 0.00587 3.70× 3.8% 1.6% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAUJPY, XAGCAD, XAUINR
XAURUB 10 0.00585 3.69× 3.3% 2.9% XAUUSD, XAGBRL, ZARTRY, PHPJPY, ZARRON

Rising influence vs 2024-08-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.009060.00096 +0.00810
CLPGBP 0.008080.00094 +0.00714
SEKNOK 0.008300.00229 +0.00601
COPARS 0.006060.00087 +0.00519
EURRUB 0.008520.00339 +0.00512

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.001220.01410 -0.01288
KWDEUR 0.002420.01216 -0.00975
ZARTND 0.000310.00791 -0.00760
THBEUR 0.000610.00733 -0.00672
NZDPKR 0.000520.00700 -0.00647

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.